TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #12406548
Played Aug 12Finished
Alina Ovriakh
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
119811911511––
Ulana Dronova
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:44 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeAlina Ovriakh to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingAlina Ovriakh above · Ulana Dronova below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 75 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Alina Ovriakh at 58.9%
75 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:44What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Ovriakh
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Ovriakh 1859 vs Dronova 1573
Ovriakh
Wrong
both rated, 285 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ovriakh 60% vs Dronova 20%
Ovriakh
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ovriakh 70% vs Dronova 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Ovriakh -2 · Dronova -3
Dronova
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Ovriakh) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dronova form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOvriakh 1.50 / Dronova 2.50
Signal prob.63% / 38%
Edge (Ovriakh)+0.0pp
Setka Cup Women · #12406548
Ovriakh1.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Dronova2.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricOvriakhDronovaBasisWin rate · lifetime46 / 71 vs 43 / 9964.8%43.4%46 / 71 vs 43 / 99Avg sets wonper match2.41.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.235.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OvriakhOvriakh 1.50/Dronova 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.5%
Ovriakh · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Dronova won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
A. Ovriakh10
WAug 13 · 11:30A. Ovriakh1.171111113A. Rzhevska4.509970WAug 13 · 09:30U. Dronova2.005680A. Ovriakh1.731111113WAug 13 · 07:30N. Plokhotniuk1.8010750A. Ovriakh1.911211113WAug 13 · 06:30A. Ovriakh1.25981113113A. Kurtenko3.75111131162LAug 13 · 05:30I. Yevtodii1.83811711113A. Ovriakh1.8311911792WAug 12 · 10:30N. Plokhotniuk1.83971191A. Ovriakh1.8311118113LAug 12 · 08:30A. Ovriakh1.44118681R. Budnyk2.6391111113LAug 12 · 07:00A. Ovriakh1.80101111562I. Yevtodii1.91129311113WAug 12 · 05:00A. Ovriakh1.301111113A. Kurtenko3.407520WJul 23 · 10:03A. Ovriakh1.91119117123N. Plokhotniuk1.80411711102
U. Dronova10
WAug 21 · 09:00Y. Mykhailyk3.40136811102U. Dronova1.301111115123LAug 21 · 07:30U. Dronova1.801250A. Rzhevska1.911111113LAug 21 · 06:00U. Dronova1.30118111382S. Yureneva3.40611715113LAug 21 · 04:30U. Dronova1.576131171P. Pashchenko2.2511157113LAug 20 · 17:40U. Dronova1.7311114142A. Rzhevska2.00431111113WAug 20 · 15:40V. Kurtenko3.00116951U. Dronova1.3671111113LAug 20 · 13:40A. Kurtenko2.2551111113U. Dronova1.57117641WAug 20 · 12:40U. Dronova1.131111113A. Plashchynska5.503470WAug 20 · 11:40S. Yureneva3.2511118652U. Dronova1.33491111113LAug 13 · 09:30U. Dronova2.005680A. Ovriakh1.731111113
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