TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #12461455
Played Aug 20Finished
Viktoria Kurtenko
Home
3.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
117611911511––
Ulana Dronova
Away
1.36
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:02 and never touched — 71.5% is still 71.5%
Graded at full timeUlana Dronova to win
71.5%
71.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingViktoria Kurtenko above · Ulana Dronova below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 71 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Ulana Dronova at 71.5%
71 points played in total.
H2H Viktoria Kurtenko 4–5 Ulana Dronova Viktoria Kurtenko has won 4 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:02What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Dronova
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-5 in 9
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kurtenko 1511 vs Dronova 1589
Dronova
Correct
both rated, 78 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kurtenko 60% vs Dronova 40%
Kurtenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kurtenko 70% vs Dronova 50%
Kurtenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kurtenko +2 · Dronova -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Clear lean (leans Dronova) · live re-read · sealed at 72% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dronova form (40%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKurtenko 3.00 / Dronova 1.36
Signal prob.30% / 70%
Edge (Dronova)+1.0pp
Setka Cup Women · #12461455
Kurtenko3.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Dronova1.36
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeKurtenko4wins
AwayDronova5wins
3 of 9 to a deciderDronova leads 5–4, and 3 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKurtenkon = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayDronova57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kurtenko2Dronova7n = 9Dronova took 7 of 9
S2Kurtenko4Dronova5n = 9Dronova took 5 of 9
S3Kurtenko4Dronova5n = 9Dronova took 5 of 9
S4Kurtenko4Dronova3n = 7Kurtenko took 4 of 7
S5Kurtenko2Dronova1n = 3Kurtenko took 2 of 3
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home222%
3–2Decider, home222%
2–3Decider, away111%
1–3Four sets, away222%
0–3Straight, away222%
These 9 meetings
MetricKurtenkoDronovaK − DBasisWins45−1in 9 meetingsFirst set27−5of 9Avg pointsper match35.440.6−5.2per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKurtenkoDronovaBasisWin rate · lifetime93 / 181 vs 46 / 10151.4%45.5%93 / 181 vs 46 / 101Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.135.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DronovaKurtenko 3.00/Dronova 1.36
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
69.8%
Dronova · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Dronova won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LAug 20 · 15:40V. Kurtenko—116951U. Dronova—71111113
LJul 16 · 07:00V. Kurtenko—3410U. Dronova—1111113
WApr 7 · 05:30V. Kurtenko—1111139113U. Dronova—79151182
WApr 6 · 11:40V. Kurtenko—111111113U. Dronova—132791
WFeb 26 · 08:35V. Kurtenko—81111123U. Dronova—1197101
WJun 1 · 04:30V. Kurtenko—841212113U. Dronova—1111101092
LMay 18 · 04:30V. Kurtenko—32100U. Dronova—1111123
LMay 11 · 09:29V. Kurtenko—761181U. Dronova—11117113
LMay 11 · 04:30V. Kurtenko—71171192U. Dronova—117119113
V. Kurtenko10
WSep 1 · 10:30A. Rzhevska1.28109100V. Kurtenko3.501211123WSep 1 · 09:30V. Kurtenko1.911111113S. Yureneva1.804770LSep 1 · 08:30V. Kurtenko1.73111113552P. Pashchenko2.00481511113WSep 1 · 07:00V. Kurtenko1.301111113Y. Mykhailyk3.405760WSep 1 · 05:00V. Kurtenko1.141111113A. Plashchynska5.006990LAug 20 · 16:40A. Kurtenko1.6781111113V. Kurtenko2.10114571WAug 20 · 14:40V. Kurtenko1.141111113A. Plashchynska5.009580WAug 20 · 13:10V. Kurtenko1.831211113S. Yureneva1.8310960LAug 20 · 11:10V. Kurtenko3.7591111432A. Rzhevska1.25118811113LAug 16 · 17:10V. Kurtenko1.307990O. Kolbasenko3.401111113
U. Dronova10
WAug 21 · 09:00Y. Mykhailyk3.40136811102U. Dronova1.301111115123LAug 21 · 07:30U. Dronova1.801250A. Rzhevska1.911111113LAug 21 · 06:00U. Dronova1.30118111382S. Yureneva3.40611715113LAug 21 · 04:30U. Dronova1.576131171P. Pashchenko2.2511157113LAug 20 · 17:40U. Dronova1.7311114142A. Rzhevska2.00431111113LAug 20 · 13:40A. Kurtenko2.2551111113U. Dronova1.57117641WAug 20 · 12:40U. Dronova1.131111113A. Plashchynska5.503470WAug 20 · 11:40S. Yureneva3.2511118652U. Dronova1.33491111113LAug 13 · 10:30N. Plokhotniuk1.501111113U. Dronova2.508720LAug 13 · 09:30U. Dronova2.005680A. Ovriakh1.731111113
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