TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #12461418
Played Aug 20Finished
Viktoria Kurtenko
Home
1.14
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119115118––––
Anhelina Plashchynska
Away
5.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:03 and never touched — 95.0% is still 95.0%
Graded at full timeViktoria Kurtenko to win
95.0%
95.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingViktoria Kurtenko above · Anhelina Plashchynska below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 55 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Viktoria Kurtenko at 95.0%
55 points played in total.
H2H Viktoria Kurtenko 13–3 Anhelina Plashchynska Anhelina Plashchynska has won 3 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:03What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.14 (81%)
Kurtenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-3 in 16
Kurtenko
Correct
gap of 10 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kurtenko 1511 vs Plashchynska 1256
Kurtenko
Correct
both rated, 255 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kurtenko 60% vs Plashchynska 40%
Kurtenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kurtenko 60% vs Plashchynska 30%
Kurtenko
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kurtenko +1 · Plashchynska -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 90% — Strong (leans Kurtenko) · live re-read · sealed at 95% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Plashchynska form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (20%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKurtenko 1.14 / Plashchynska 5.00
Signal prob.90% / 10%
Edge (Kurtenko)+8.8pp
Setka Cup Women · #12461418
Kurtenko1.14
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Plashchynska5.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKurtenko9wins
AwayPlashchynska1wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKurtenko leads 9–1, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKurtenko100%8 of 8
AwayPlashchynskan = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kurtenko8Plashchynska2n = 10Kurtenko took 8 of 10
S2Kurtenko10Plashchynska0n = 10Kurtenko took 10 of 10
S3Kurtenko7Plashchynska3n = 10Kurtenko took 7 of 10
S4Kurtenko3Plashchynska1n = 4Kurtenko took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home660%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKurtenkoPlashchynskaK − PBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match40.232.7+7.5per matchSweeps60+63–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKurtenkoPlashchynskaBasisWin rate · lifetime93 / 181 vs 88 / 29051.4%30.3%93 / 181 vs 88 / 290Avg sets wonper match1.91.4per matchAvg pointsper match36.132.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KurtenkoKurtenko 1.14/Plashchynska 5.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
90.2%
Kurtenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kurtenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 20 · 14:40V. Kurtenko—1111113A. Plashchynska—9580
WAug 11 · 10:18V. Kurtenko—1113113A. Plashchynska—51170
WAug 11 · 07:35V. Kurtenko—1111113A. Plashchynska—9570
WAug 9 · 15:10V. Kurtenko—81111153A. Plashchynska—1137131
LJul 21 · 05:00V. Kurtenko—141181182A. Plashchynska—164119113
WJun 4 · 08:30V. Kurtenko—1711105113A. Plashchynska—159121162
WJun 2 · 05:35V. Kurtenko—1111113A. Plashchynska—8790
WMay 26 · 11:05V. Kurtenko—1314113A. Plashchynska—111290
WMay 24 · 14:10V. Kurtenko—11127113A. Plashchynska—8101171
WMar 28 · 05:30V. Kurtenko—1314113A. Plashchynska—111280
V. Kurtenko10
WSep 1 · 10:30A. Rzhevska1.28109100V. Kurtenko3.501211123WSep 1 · 09:30V. Kurtenko1.911111113S. Yureneva1.804770LSep 1 · 08:30V. Kurtenko1.73111113552P. Pashchenko2.00481511113WSep 1 · 07:00V. Kurtenko1.301111113Y. Mykhailyk3.405760WSep 1 · 05:00V. Kurtenko1.141111113A. Plashchynska5.006990LAug 20 · 16:40A. Kurtenko1.6781111113V. Kurtenko2.10114571LAug 20 · 15:40V. Kurtenko3.00116951U. Dronova1.3671111113WAug 20 · 13:10V. Kurtenko1.831211113S. Yureneva1.8310960LAug 20 · 11:10V. Kurtenko3.7591111432A. Rzhevska1.25118811113LAug 16 · 17:10V. Kurtenko1.307990O. Kolbasenko3.401111113
A. Plashchynska10
LSep 6 · 15:42A. Plashchynska1.83811101182O. Kolbasenko1.83115128113LSep 6 · 14:40Y. Mykhailyk1.221171111113A. Plashchynska4.0013117842WSep 6 · 13:10O. Kolbasenko1.30115611102A. Plashchynska3.40211116123WSep 6 · 11:40O. Melnik2.636380A. Plashchynska1.441111113LSep 6 · 10:40A. Rzhevska1.051211113A. Plashchynska8.5010560LSep 1 · 11:30S. Yureneva1.221181111113A. Plashchynska4.0081113452LSep 1 · 10:00A. Plashchynska6.004390P. Pashchenko1.111111113LSep 1 · 08:00Y. Mykhailyk1.251111113A. Plashchynska3.757870LSep 1 · 06:00A. Rzhevska1.061111113A. Plashchynska8.007630LSep 1 · 05:00V. Kurtenko1.141111113A. Plashchynska5.006990
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