TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #12461431
Played Aug 20Finished
Viktoria Kurtenko
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1210119116––––
Svitlana Yureneva
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:04 and never touched — 59.0% is still 59.0%
Graded at full timeSvitlana Yureneva to win
59.0%
59.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingViktoria Kurtenko above · Svitlana Yureneva below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 59 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Svitlana Yureneva at 59.0%
59 points played in total.
H2H Viktoria Kurtenko 9–16 Svitlana Yureneva Viktoria Kurtenko has won 9 of their 25 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:04What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Yureneva
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-16 in 25
Yureneva
Wrong
gap of 7 in 25, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kurtenko 1508 vs Yureneva 1527
Yureneva
Wrong
both rated, 19 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kurtenko 60% vs Yureneva 40%
Kurtenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kurtenko 60% vs Yureneva 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kurtenko -2 · Yureneva -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Yureneva) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Yureneva form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKurtenko 1.83 / Yureneva 1.83
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Yureneva)+11.0pp
Setka Cup Women · #12461431
Kurtenko1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Yureneva1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKurtenko3wins
AwayYureneva7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderYureneva leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKurtenko100%3 of 3
AwayYureneva100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kurtenko3Yureneva7n = 10Yureneva took 7 of 10
S2Kurtenko4Yureneva6n = 10Yureneva took 6 of 10
S3Kurtenko5Yureneva5n = 10split evenly
S4Kurtenko1Yureneva5n = 6Yureneva took 5 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricKurtenkoYurenevaK − YBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match32.136.6−4.5per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKurtenkoYurenevaBasisWin rate · lifetime91 / 177 vs 365 / 59351.4%61.6%91 / 177 vs 365 / 593Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.337.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
YurenevaKurtenko 1.83/Yureneva 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61%
Yureneva · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kurtenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 11 · 08:35V. Kurtenko—7870S. Yureneva—1111113
LAug 4 · 08:00V. Kurtenko—8760S. Yureneva—1111113
LJul 30 · 09:30V. Kurtenko—911981S. Yureneva—11911113
LJul 21 · 07:00V. Kurtenko—731181S. Yureneva—11117113
WJul 16 · 09:30V. Kurtenko—11911113S. Yureneva—811491
WJun 11 · 08:00V. Kurtenko—1111113S. Yureneva—3690
WJun 9 · 10:05V. Kurtenko—118116113S. Yureneva—81171192
LJun 2 · 10:05V. Kurtenko—5980S. Yureneva—1111113
LMay 24 · 11:40V. Kurtenko—711331S. Yureneva—11811113
LApr 9 · 09:30V. Kurtenko—51111982S. Yureneva—117811113
V. Kurtenko10
WSep 1 · 10:30A. Rzhevska1.28109100V. Kurtenko3.501211123WSep 1 · 09:30V. Kurtenko1.911111113S. Yureneva1.804770LSep 1 · 08:30V. Kurtenko1.73111113552P. Pashchenko2.00481511113WSep 1 · 07:00V. Kurtenko1.301111113Y. Mykhailyk3.405760WSep 1 · 05:00V. Kurtenko1.141111113A. Plashchynska5.006990LAug 20 · 16:40A. Kurtenko1.6781111113V. Kurtenko2.10114571LAug 20 · 15:40V. Kurtenko3.00116951U. Dronova1.3671111113WAug 20 · 14:40V. Kurtenko1.141111113A. Plashchynska5.009580LAug 20 · 11:10V. Kurtenko3.7591111432A. Rzhevska1.25118811113LAug 16 · 17:10V. Kurtenko1.307990O. Kolbasenko3.401111113
S. Yureneva10
WSep 1 · 11:30S. Yureneva1.221181111113A. Plashchynska4.0081113452LSep 1 · 09:30V. Kurtenko1.911111113S. Yureneva1.804770WSep 1 · 07:30A. Rzhevska2.205860S. Yureneva1.611111113LSep 1 · 06:30S. Yureneva1.44111141042P. Pashchenko2.63641112113WSep 1 · 05:30Y. Mykhailyk3.00811651S. Yureneva1.3611711113LAug 21 · 09:45A. Rzhevska2.10511512123S. Yureneva1.671191110102WAug 21 · 08:00Y. Mykhailyk3.00410120S. Yureneva1.361112143WAug 21 · 07:00S. Yureneva1.531111113P. Pashchenko2.383770WAug 21 · 06:00U. Dronova1.30118111382S. Yureneva3.40611715113WAug 21 · 05:00S. Yureneva1.67971111113A. Rzhevska2.1011119482
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