TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #13055156
Played Sep 1Finished
Yana Mykhailyk
Home
3.00
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811117611511––
Svitlana Yureneva
Away
1.36
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:06 and never touched — 73.2% is still 73.2%
Graded at full timeSvitlana Yureneva to win
73.2%
73.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYana Mykhailyk above · Svitlana Yureneva below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 70 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Svitlana Yureneva at 73.2%
70 points played in total.
H2H Yana Mykhailyk 42–103 Svitlana Yureneva Yana Mykhailyk has won 42 of their 145 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:06What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Yureneva
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
42-103 in 145
Yureneva
Correct
gap of 61 in 145, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mykhailyk 1452 vs Yureneva 1532
Yureneva
Correct
both rated, 80 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mykhailyk 20% vs Yureneva 80%
Yureneva
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mykhailyk 30% vs Yureneva 50%
Yureneva
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mykhailyk -4 · Yureneva -1
Mykhailyk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Yureneva)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mykhailyk form (20%) is below what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMykhailyk 3.00 / Yureneva 1.36
Signal prob.27% / 73%
Edge (Yureneva)+4.4pp
Setka Cup Women · #13055156
Mykhailyk3.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Yureneva1.36
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMykhailyk3wins
AwayYureneva7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderYureneva leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMykhailyk100%3 of 3
AwayYureneva100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mykhailyk3Yureneva7n = 10Yureneva took 7 of 10
S2Mykhailyk3Yureneva7n = 10Yureneva took 7 of 10
S3Mykhailyk3Yureneva7n = 10Yureneva took 7 of 10
S4Mykhailyk2Yureneva2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricMykhailykYurenevaM − YBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match30.237.8−7.6per matchSweeps15−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMykhailykYurenevaBasisWin rate · lifetime234 / 492 vs 356 / 58747.6%60.7%234 / 492 vs 356 / 587Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match35.637.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
YurenevaMykhailyk 3.00/Yureneva 1.36
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
73.2%
Yureneva · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Yureneva won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 21 · 08:00Y. Mykhailyk—410120S. Yureneva—1112143
LAug 5 · 06:00Y. Mykhailyk—8520S. Yureneva—1111113
LAug 4 · 09:31Y. Mykhailyk—1112125102S. Yureneva—13101011123
LAug 4 · 06:30Y. Mykhailyk—87120S. Yureneva—1111143
LJul 21 · 05:30Y. Mykhailyk—5730S. Yureneva—1111113
WJul 16 · 11:30Y. Mykhailyk—1112133S. Yureneva—910110
LJul 15 · 12:10Y. Mykhailyk—4980S. Yureneva—1111113
WJul 12 · 10:38Y. Mykhailyk—119611113S. Yureneva—71111782
WJul 12 · 08:05Y. Mykhailyk—12311113S. Yureneva—1011781
LJul 1 · 07:05Y. Mykhailyk—311851S. Yureneva—11711113
Y. Mykhailyk10
LSep 6 · 16:09Y. Mykhailyk2.201011751A. Rzhevska1.6112211113WSep 6 · 14:40Y. Mykhailyk1.221171111113A. Plashchynska4.0013117842WSep 6 · 13:40A. Rzhevska1.50811481Y. Mykhailyk2.5011211113WSep 6 · 12:40O. Melnik3.00561181Y. Mykhailyk1.3611118113WSep 6 · 11:10O. Kolbasenko1.3685110Y. Mykhailyk3.001111133WSep 1 · 11:00Y. Mykhailyk1.8011411113P. Pashchenko1.91811781LSep 1 · 09:00A. Rzhevska1.50119114113Y. Mykhailyk2.5071141192WSep 1 · 08:00Y. Mykhailyk1.251111113A. Plashchynska3.757870LSep 1 · 07:00V. Kurtenko1.301111113Y. Mykhailyk3.405760LAug 21 · 10:14P. Pashchenko2.2511119113Y. Mykhailyk1.57461141
S. Yureneva10
WSep 1 · 11:30S. Yureneva1.221181111113A. Plashchynska4.0081113452LSep 1 · 09:30V. Kurtenko1.911111113S. Yureneva1.804770WSep 1 · 07:30A. Rzhevska2.205860S. Yureneva1.611111113LSep 1 · 06:30S. Yureneva1.44111141042P. Pashchenko2.63641112113LAug 21 · 09:45A. Rzhevska2.10511512123S. Yureneva1.671191110102WAug 21 · 08:00Y. Mykhailyk3.00410120S. Yureneva1.361112143WAug 21 · 07:00S. Yureneva1.531111113P. Pashchenko2.383770WAug 21 · 06:00U. Dronova1.30118111382S. Yureneva3.40611715113WAug 21 · 05:00S. Yureneva1.67971111113A. Rzhevska2.1011119482LAug 20 · 17:10S. Yureneva1.1710940A. Plashchynska4.501211113
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