Polina Pashchenko vs Yana Mykhailyk 3-1

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women

Setka Cup WomenMatch #12469539

Played Aug 21Finished

Polina Pashchenko

Home

2.25

At publish

Lost last 3

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Lost last 3

Final

3 – 1

Set by set

114116911114––

Yana Mykhailyk

Away

1.57

At publish

Lost last 3

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Lost last 3

How it is goingPolina Pashchenko above · Yana Mykhailyk below

Set 1 · 11-4

Set 2 · 11-6

Set 3 · 9-11

Set 4 · 11-4

Point 67 set 4, 11-4

67 points played in total.

H2H Polina Pashchenko 5–13 Yana Mykhailyk Polina Pashchenko has won 5 of their 18 meetings.

Last 10 · 2–8Same sideHead to head

Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Mykhailyk)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Mykhailyk form (20%) is below what odds imply (64%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsPashchenko 2.25 / Mykhailyk 1.57

Signal prob.44% / 56%

Edge (Mykhailyk)-3.0pp (anti-value)

Setka Cup Women · #12469539

Pashchenko2.25

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Lost last 3

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

Mykhailyk1.57

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Lost last 3

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomePashchenko2wins

AwayMykhailyk8wins

Mykhailyk leads 8–2.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomePashchenkon = 1, below the 3 needed

AwayMykhailyk88.9%8 of 9

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Pashchenko1Mykhailyk9n = 10Mykhailyk took 9 of 10

S2Pashchenko3Mykhailyk7n = 10Mykhailyk took 7 of 10

S3Pashchenko4Mykhailyk6n = 10Mykhailyk took 6 of 10

S4Pashchenko2Mykhailyk2n = 4split evenly

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home110%

3–1Four sets, home110%

3–2Decider, home00%

2–3Decider, away00%

1–3Four sets, away220%

0–3Straight, away550%

These 10 meetings

MetricPashchenkoMykhailykP − MBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match27.033.2−6.2per matchSweeps15−43–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricPashchenkoMykhailykBasisWin rate · lifetime63 / 116 vs 242 / 50554.3%47.9%63 / 116 vs 242 / 505Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.035.6per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Mykhailyk

Pashchenko 2.25/Mykhailyk 1.57

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

55.9%

Mykhailyk · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–1

Pashchenko won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

LAug 21 · 05:30P. Pashchenko—591131Y. Mykhailyk—11118113

LAug 4 · 08:30P. Pashchenko—76100Y. Mykhailyk—1111123

LAug 2 · 10:40P. Pashchenko—5680Y. Mykhailyk—1111113

LJul 26 · 04:30P. Pashchenko—991181Y. Mykhailyk—11116113

LJul 21 · 06:30P. Pashchenko—6670Y. Mykhailyk—1111113

LJul 18 · 08:30P. Pashchenko—8620Y. Mykhailyk—1111113

LJul 12 · 09:05P. Pashchenko—10390Y. Mykhailyk—1211113

WJul 7 · 07:35P. Pashchenko—91111113Y. Mykhailyk—116681

LJul 1 · 10:04P. Pashchenko—611776Y. Mykhailyk—11911310

WJul 1 · 09:05P. Pashchenko—1111113Y. Mykhailyk—8660

P. Pashchenko10

LSep 1 · 11:00Y. Mykhailyk1.8011411113P. Pashchenko1.91811781 WSep 1 · 10:00A. Plashchynska6.004390P. Pashchenko1.111111113 WSep 1 · 08:30V. Kurtenko1.73111113552P. Pashchenko2.00481511113 WSep 1 · 06:30S. Yureneva1.44111141042P. Pashchenko2.63641112113 WSep 1 · 04:30A. Rzhevska1.738480P. Pashchenko2.001111113 LAug 21 · 08:30A. Rzhevska1.9171111113P. Pashchenko1.80117291 LAug 21 · 07:00S. Yureneva1.531111113P. Pashchenko2.383770 LAug 21 · 05:30Y. Mykhailyk1.5711118113P. Pashchenko2.25591131 WAug 21 · 04:30U. Dronova1.576131171P. Pashchenko2.2511157113 WAug 16 · 16:10P. Pashchenko1.331111113O. Kolbasenko3.259840

Y. Mykhailyk10

LSep 6 · 16:09Y. Mykhailyk2.201011751A. Rzhevska1.6112211113 WSep 6 · 14:40Y. Mykhailyk1.221171111113A. Plashchynska4.0013117842 WSep 6 · 13:40A. Rzhevska1.50811481Y. Mykhailyk2.5011211113 WSep 6 · 12:40O. Melnik3.00561181Y. Mykhailyk1.3611118113 WSep 6 · 11:10O. Kolbasenko1.3685110Y. Mykhailyk3.001111133 WSep 1 · 11:00Y. Mykhailyk1.8011411113P. Pashchenko1.91811781 LSep 1 · 09:00A. Rzhevska1.50119114113Y. Mykhailyk2.5071141192 WSep 1 · 08:00Y. Mykhailyk1.251111113A. Plashchynska3.757870 LSep 1 · 07:00V. Kurtenko1.301111113Y. Mykhailyk3.405760 WAug 21 · 05:30Y. Mykhailyk1.5711118113P. Pashchenko2.25591131

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