TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #13055141
Played Sep 1Finished
Anhelina Plashchynska
Home
6.00
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
411311911––––
Polina Pashchenko
Away
1.11
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:07 and never touched — 87.9% is still 87.9%
Graded at full timePolina Pashchenko to win
87.9%
87.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAnhelina Plashchynska above · Polina Pashchenko below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 49 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Polina Pashchenko at 87.9%
49 points played in total.
H2H Anhelina Plashchynska 0–10 Polina Pashchenko Anhelina Plashchynska has won 0 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:07What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.11 (84%)
Pashchenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-10 in 10
Pashchenko
Correct
gap of 10 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Plashchynska 1237 vs Pashchenko 1538
Pashchenko
Correct
both rated, 301 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Plashchynska 20% vs Pashchenko 80%
Pashchenko
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Plashchynska 30% vs Pashchenko 60%
Pashchenko
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Plashchynska -3 · Pashchenko +4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 88% — Strong (leans Pashchenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pashchenko form (80%) is below what odds imply (90%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPlashchynska 6.00 / Pashchenko 1.11
Signal prob.12% / 88%
Edge (Pashchenko)+3.5pp
Setka Cup Women · #13055141
Plashchynska6.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Pashchenko1.11
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePlashchynska0wins
AwayPashchenko10wins
1 of 10 to a deciderPashchenko leads 10–0, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePlashchynska0%0 of 3
AwayPashchenko100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Plashchynska3Pashchenko7n = 10Pashchenko took 7 of 10
S2Plashchynska1Pashchenko9n = 10Pashchenko took 9 of 10
S3Plashchynska2Pashchenko8n = 10Pashchenko took 8 of 10
S4Plashchynska0Pashchenko5n = 5Pashchenko took 5 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricPlashchynskaPashchenkoPlashchynska − PashchenkoBasisWins010−10in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match28.139.4−11.3per matchSweeps05−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPlashchynskaPashchenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime88 / 293 vs 67 / 12030%55.8%88 / 293 vs 67 / 120Avg sets wonper match1.42.1per matchAvg pointsper match32.036.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PashchenkoPlashchynska 6.00/Pashchenko 1.11
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
87.9%
Pashchenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Pashchenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 9 · 10:40A. Plashchynska—12620P. Pashchenko—1411113
LJul 21 · 10:00A. Plashchynska—4780P. Pashchenko—1111113
LJul 18 · 04:30A. Plashchynska—81170P. Pashchenko—1113113
LJul 10 · 14:30A. Plashchynska—6111091P. Pashchenko—11612113
LJul 7 · 05:05A. Plashchynska—1164111P. Pashchenko—71111133
LJul 2 · 08:30A. Plashchynska—3360P. Pashchenko—1111113
LJul 1 · 07:35A. Plashchynska—1162121P. Pashchenko—81111143
LJun 19 · 04:30A. Plashchynska—119118122P. Pashchenko—911911143
LMay 27 · 10:30A. Plashchynska—861241P. Pashchenko—111110113
LMay 26 · 06:35A. Plashchynska—61080P. Pashchenko—1112113
A. Plashchynska10
LSep 6 · 15:42A. Plashchynska1.83811101182O. Kolbasenko1.83115128113LSep 6 · 14:40Y. Mykhailyk1.221171111113A. Plashchynska4.0013117842WSep 6 · 13:10O. Kolbasenko1.30115611102A. Plashchynska3.40211116123WSep 6 · 11:40O. Melnik2.636380A. Plashchynska1.441111113LSep 6 · 10:40A. Rzhevska1.051211113A. Plashchynska8.5010560LSep 1 · 11:30S. Yureneva1.221181111113A. Plashchynska4.0081113452LSep 1 · 08:00Y. Mykhailyk1.251111113A. Plashchynska3.757870LSep 1 · 06:00A. Rzhevska1.061111113A. Plashchynska8.007630LSep 1 · 05:00V. Kurtenko1.141111113A. Plashchynska5.006990WAug 20 · 17:10S. Yureneva1.1710940A. Plashchynska4.501211113
P. Pashchenko10
LSep 1 · 11:00Y. Mykhailyk1.8011411113P. Pashchenko1.91811781WSep 1 · 08:30V. Kurtenko1.73111113552P. Pashchenko2.00481511113WSep 1 · 06:30S. Yureneva1.44111141042P. Pashchenko2.63641112113WSep 1 · 04:30A. Rzhevska1.738480P. Pashchenko2.001111113WAug 21 · 10:14P. Pashchenko2.2511119113Y. Mykhailyk1.57461141LAug 21 · 08:30A. Rzhevska1.9171111113P. Pashchenko1.80117291LAug 21 · 07:00S. Yureneva1.531111113P. Pashchenko2.383770LAug 21 · 05:30Y. Mykhailyk1.5711118113P. Pashchenko2.25591131WAug 21 · 04:30U. Dronova1.576131171P. Pashchenko2.2511157113WAug 16 · 16:10P. Pashchenko1.331111113O. Kolbasenko3.259840
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