TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #13055151
Played Sep 1Finished
Anna Rzhevska
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811411811––––
Polina Pashchenko
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:06 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAnna Rzhevska to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingAnna Rzhevska above · Polina Pashchenko below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 53 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Anna Rzhevska at 54.0%
53 points played in total.
H2H Anna Rzhevska 5–5 Polina Pashchenko Dead even across their 10 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:06What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Rzhevska
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-5 in 10
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rzhevska 1559 vs Pashchenko 1499
Rzhevska
Wrong
both rated, 60 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rzhevska 80% vs Pashchenko 40%
Rzhevska
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rzhevska 70% vs Pashchenko 50%
Rzhevska
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Rzhevska +4 · Pashchenko +1
Rzhevska
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Rzhevska) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rzhevska form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRzhevska 1.73 / Pashchenko 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 46%
Edge (Rzhevska)+0.8pp
Setka Cup Women · #13055151
Rzhevska1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Pashchenko2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRzhevska5wins
AwayPashchenko5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRzhevska80%4 of 5
AwayPashchenko80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rzhevska5Pashchenko5n = 10split evenly
S2Rzhevska4Pashchenko6n = 10Pashchenko took 6 of 10
S3Rzhevska4Pashchenko6n = 10Pashchenko took 6 of 10
S4Rzhevska1Pashchenko4n = 5Pashchenko took 4 of 5
S5Rzhevska3Pashchenko1n = 4Rzhevska took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricRzhevskaPashchenkoR − PBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match34.737.2−2.5per matchSweeps14−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRzhevskaPashchenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime136 / 247 vs 64 / 11755.1%54.7%136 / 247 vs 64 / 117Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.936.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RzhevskaRzhevska 1.73/Pashchenko 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.5%
Rzhevska · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Pashchenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 21 · 08:30A. Rzhevska—71111113P. Pashchenko—117291
LAug 4 · 09:28A. Rzhevska—17811932P. Pashchenko—1511911113
LAug 4 · 04:30A. Rzhevska—88120P. Pashchenko—1111143
LAug 2 · 13:10A. Rzhevska—6560P. Pashchenko—1111103
WJul 30 · 11:00A. Rzhevska—1111113P. Pashchenko—9750
LJun 26 · 07:00A. Rzhevska—9770P. Pashchenko—1111113
WJun 21 · 09:05A. Rzhevska—111189123P. Pashchenko—941111102
WJun 19 · 06:00A. Rzhevska—111159113P. Pashchenko—89111162
LJun 5 · 10:00A. Rzhevska—5640P. Pashchenko—1111113
WMay 17 · 15:39A. Rzhevska—114127113P. Pashchenko—211101172
A. Rzhevska10
WSep 6 · 16:09Y. Mykhailyk2.201011751A. Rzhevska1.6112211113WSep 6 · 15:10O. Melnik6.00111351A. Rzhevska1.1111811113LSep 6 · 13:40A. Rzhevska1.50811481Y. Mykhailyk2.5011211113WSep 6 · 12:10A. Rzhevska1.28911511113O. Kolbasenko3.5011211392WSep 6 · 10:40A. Rzhevska1.051211113A. Plashchynska8.5010560LSep 1 · 10:30A. Rzhevska1.28109100V. Kurtenko3.501211123WSep 1 · 09:00A. Rzhevska1.50119114113Y. Mykhailyk2.5071141192LSep 1 · 07:30A. Rzhevska2.205860S. Yureneva1.611111113WSep 1 · 06:00A. Rzhevska1.061111113A. Plashchynska8.007630WAug 21 · 09:45A. Rzhevska2.10511512123S. Yureneva1.671191110102
P. Pashchenko10
LSep 1 · 11:00Y. Mykhailyk1.8011411113P. Pashchenko1.91811781WSep 1 · 10:00A. Plashchynska6.004390P. Pashchenko1.111111113WSep 1 · 08:30V. Kurtenko1.73111113552P. Pashchenko2.00481511113WSep 1 · 06:30S. Yureneva1.44111141042P. Pashchenko2.63641112113WAug 21 · 10:14P. Pashchenko2.2511119113Y. Mykhailyk1.57461141LAug 21 · 08:30A. Rzhevska1.9171111113P. Pashchenko1.80117291LAug 21 · 07:00S. Yureneva1.531111113P. Pashchenko2.383770LAug 21 · 05:30Y. Mykhailyk1.5711118113P. Pashchenko2.25591131WAug 21 · 04:30U. Dronova1.576131171P. Pashchenko2.2511157113WAug 16 · 16:10P. Pashchenko1.331111113O. Kolbasenko3.259840
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