TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #13084798
Played Sep 6Finished
Anna Rzhevska
Home
1.29
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
911112511113119
Olha Kolbasenko
Away
3.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:59 and never touched — 79.4% is still 79.4%
Graded at full timeAnna Rzhevska to win
79.4%
79.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAnna Rzhevska above · Olha Kolbasenko below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-2
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-3
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 83 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Anna Rzhevska at 79.4%
83 points played in total.
H2H Anna Rzhevska 19–2 Olha Kolbasenko Olha Kolbasenko has won 2 of their 21 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:59What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (73%)
Rzhevska
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
19-2 in 21
Rzhevska
Correct
gap of 17 in 21, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rzhevska 1530 vs Kolbasenko 1373
Rzhevska
Correct
both rated, 157 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rzhevska 60% vs Kolbasenko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rzhevska 70% vs Kolbasenko 50%
Rzhevska
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Rzhevska +1 · Kolbasenko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Rzhevska) · live re-read · sealed at 79% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolbasenko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRzhevska 1.28 / Kolbasenko 3.50
Signal prob.77% / 23%
Edge (Rzhevska)+3.5pp
Setka Cup Women · #13084798
Rzhevska1.28
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Kolbasenko3.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRzhevska10wins
AwayKolbasenko0wins
1 of 10 to a deciderRzhevska leads 10–0, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRzhevska100%8 of 8
AwayKolbasenkon = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rzhevska8Kolbasenko2n = 10Rzhevska took 8 of 10
S2Rzhevska4Kolbasenko6n = 10Kolbasenko took 6 of 10
S3Rzhevska8Kolbasenko2n = 10Rzhevska took 8 of 10
S4Rzhevska9Kolbasenko0n = 9Rzhevska took 9 of 9
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home880%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricRzhevskaKolbasenkoR − KBasisWins100+10in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match41.330.6+10.7per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRzhevskaKolbasenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime139 / 253 vs 207 / 41654.9%49.8%139 / 253 vs 207 / 416Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.735.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RzhevskaRzhevska 1.28/Kolbasenko 3.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
76.6%
Rzhevska · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Rzhevska won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 2 · 11:10A. Rzhevska—111011113O. Kolbasenko—412681
WJun 26 · 05:00A. Rzhevska—91111123O. Kolbasenko—1198101
WJun 19 · 05:00A. Rzhevska—11147113O. Kolbasenko—9121131
WJun 5 · 08:00A. Rzhevska—101411113O. Kolbasenko—1212561
WMay 17 · 12:40A. Rzhevska—11711113O. Kolbasenko—511361
WMay 13 · 12:04A. Rzhevska—11811113O. Kolbasenko—411521
WApr 8 · 10:04A. Rzhevska—1111113O. Kolbasenko—8490
WApr 8 · 07:35A. Rzhevska—11611113O. Kolbasenko—811761
WApr 5 · 12:40A. Rzhevska—116511113O. Kolbasenko—61111442
WApr 2 · 09:05A. Rzhevska—11811113O. Kolbasenko—611781
A. Rzhevska10
WSep 6 · 16:09Y. Mykhailyk2.201011751A. Rzhevska1.6112211113WSep 6 · 15:10O. Melnik6.00111351A. Rzhevska1.1111811113LSep 6 · 13:40A. Rzhevska1.50811481Y. Mykhailyk2.5011211113WSep 6 · 10:40A. Rzhevska1.051211113A. Plashchynska8.5010560LSep 1 · 10:30A. Rzhevska1.28109100V. Kurtenko3.501211123WSep 1 · 09:00A. Rzhevska1.50119114113Y. Mykhailyk2.5071141192LSep 1 · 07:30A. Rzhevska2.205860S. Yureneva1.611111113WSep 1 · 06:00A. Rzhevska1.061111113A. Plashchynska8.007630LSep 1 · 04:30A. Rzhevska1.738480P. Pashchenko2.001111113WAug 21 · 09:45A. Rzhevska2.10511512123S. Yureneva1.671191110102
O. Kolbasenko10
WSep 6 · 15:42A. Plashchynska1.83811101182O. Kolbasenko1.83115128113WSep 6 · 14:10O. Melnik3.001031151O. Kolbasenko1.3612113113LSep 6 · 13:10O. Kolbasenko1.30115611102A. Plashchynska3.40211116123LSep 6 · 11:10O. Kolbasenko1.3685110Y. Mykhailyk3.001111133WAug 16 · 17:10V. Kurtenko1.307990O. Kolbasenko3.401111113LAug 16 · 16:10P. Pashchenko1.331111113O. Kolbasenko3.259840WAug 16 · 14:40O. Melnik3.2511812652O. Kolbasenko1.335111011113WAug 16 · 12:40A. Plashchynska3.40111915102O. Kolbasenko1.307111113123LAug 16 · 10:40O. Ponko3.751111133O. Kolbasenko1.2598110WAug 9 · 15:39O. Kolbasenko1.441111113O. Melnik2.635830
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