TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #12440004
Played Aug 16Finished
Anhelina Plashchynska
Home
3.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
11711191115131012
Olha Kolbasenko
Away
1.30
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:23 and never touched — 81.1% is still 81.1%
Graded at full timeOlha Kolbasenko to win
81.1%
81.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAnhelina Plashchynska above · Olha Kolbasenko below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 1-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 15-13
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 100 set 5, 10-12 — our read held Olha Kolbasenko at 81.1%
100 points played in total.
H2H Anhelina Plashchynska 23–37 Olha Kolbasenko Anhelina Plashchynska has won 23 of their 60 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 16:23What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Kolbasenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
23-37 in 60
Kolbasenko
Correct
gap of 14 in 60, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Plashchynska 1215 vs Kolbasenko 1371
Kolbasenko
Correct
both rated, 156 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Plashchynska 20% vs Kolbasenko 40%
Kolbasenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Plashchynska 10% vs Kolbasenko 40%
Kolbasenko
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Plashchynska -1 · Kolbasenko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 80% — Strong (leans Kolbasenko) · live re-read · sealed at 81% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolbasenko form (40%) is below what odds imply (77%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPlashchynska 3.40 / Kolbasenko 1.30
Signal prob.20% / 80%
Edge (Kolbasenko)+8.0pp
Setka Cup Women · #12440004
Plashchynska3.40
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Kolbasenko1.30
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePlashchynska3wins
AwayKolbasenko7wins
1 of 10 to a deciderKolbasenko leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePlashchynska50%3 of 6
AwayKolbasenko100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Plashchynska6Kolbasenko4n = 10Plashchynska took 6 of 10
S2Plashchynska4Kolbasenko6n = 10Kolbasenko took 6 of 10
S3Plashchynska3Kolbasenko7n = 10Kolbasenko took 7 of 10
S4Plashchynska1Kolbasenko4n = 5Kolbasenko took 4 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricPlashchynskaKolbasenkoP − KBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match28.933.9−5.0per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPlashchynskaKolbasenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime85 / 282 vs 204 / 41130.1%49.6%85 / 282 vs 204 / 411Avg sets wonper match1.41.9per matchAvg pointsper match32.135.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolbasenkoPlashchynska 3.40/Kolbasenko 1.30
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
80.3%
Kolbasenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kolbasenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 9 · 13:40A. Plashchynska—9460O. Kolbasenko—1111113
LJul 18 · 06:00A. Plashchynska—5640O. Kolbasenko—1111113
LJul 10 · 12:30A. Plashchynska—4640O. Kolbasenko—1111113
LJul 7 · 09:35A. Plashchynska—11118452O. Kolbasenko—871111113
WJul 5 · 07:35A. Plashchynska—1111113O. Kolbasenko—7890
LJul 2 · 05:00A. Plashchynska—118781O. Kolbasenko—71111113
LJun 19 · 08:30A. Plashchynska—116871O. Kolbasenko—41111113
WJun 16 · 08:05A. Plashchynska—11116113O. Kolbasenko—931191
WJun 4 · 11:00A. Plashchynska—1111113O. Kolbasenko—5570
LJun 2 · 08:35A. Plashchynska—381191O. Kolbasenko—11119113
A. Plashchynska10
LSep 6 · 15:42A. Plashchynska1.83811101182O. Kolbasenko1.83115128113LSep 6 · 14:40Y. Mykhailyk1.221171111113A. Plashchynska4.0013117842WSep 6 · 13:10O. Kolbasenko1.30115611102A. Plashchynska3.40211116123WSep 6 · 11:40O. Melnik2.636380A. Plashchynska1.441111113LSep 6 · 10:40A. Rzhevska1.051211113A. Plashchynska8.5010560LSep 1 · 11:30S. Yureneva1.221181111113A. Plashchynska4.0081113452LSep 1 · 10:00A. Plashchynska6.004390P. Pashchenko1.111111113LSep 1 · 08:00Y. Mykhailyk1.251111113A. Plashchynska3.757870LSep 1 · 06:00A. Rzhevska1.061111113A. Plashchynska8.007630LSep 1 · 05:00V. Kurtenko1.141111113A. Plashchynska5.006990
O. Kolbasenko10
WSep 6 · 15:42A. Plashchynska1.83811101182O. Kolbasenko1.83115128113WSep 6 · 14:10O. Melnik3.001031151O. Kolbasenko1.3612113113LSep 6 · 13:10O. Kolbasenko1.30115611102A. Plashchynska3.40211116123LSep 6 · 12:10A. Rzhevska1.28911511113O. Kolbasenko3.5011211392LSep 6 · 11:10O. Kolbasenko1.3685110Y. Mykhailyk3.001111133WAug 16 · 17:10V. Kurtenko1.307990O. Kolbasenko3.401111113LAug 16 · 16:10P. Pashchenko1.331111113O. Kolbasenko3.259840WAug 16 · 14:40O. Melnik3.2511812652O. Kolbasenko1.335111011113LAug 16 · 10:40O. Ponko3.751111133O. Kolbasenko1.2598110WAug 9 · 15:39O. Kolbasenko1.441111113O. Melnik2.635830
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