TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #13084792
Played Sep 6Finished
Olga Melnik
Home
3.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1012311113511––
Olha Kolbasenko
Away
1.36
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:48 and never touched — 72.0% is still 72.0%
Graded at full timeOlha Kolbasenko to win
72.0%
72.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOlga Melnik above · Olha Kolbasenko below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 66 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Olha Kolbasenko at 72.0%
66 points played in total.
H2H Olga Melnik 14–22 Olha Kolbasenko Olga Melnik has won 14 of their 36 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:48What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Kolbasenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-22 in 36
Kolbasenko
Correct
gap of 8 in 36, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Melnik 1203 vs Kolbasenko 1339
Kolbasenko
Correct
both rated, 136 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Melnik 20% vs Kolbasenko 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Melnik 10% vs Kolbasenko 40%
Kolbasenko
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Melnik -2 · Kolbasenko -3
Kolbasenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Kolbasenko) · live re-read · sealed at 72% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolbasenko form (20%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMelnik 3.00 / Kolbasenko 1.36
Signal prob.31% / 69%
Edge (Kolbasenko)+0.4pp
Setka Cup Women · #13084792
Melnik3.00
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Kolbasenko1.36
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMelnik4wins
AwayKolbasenko6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKolbasenko leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMelnik60%3 of 5
AwayKolbasenko80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Melnik5Kolbasenko5n = 10split evenly
S2Melnik2Kolbasenko8n = 10Kolbasenko took 8 of 10
S3Melnik6Kolbasenko4n = 10Melnik took 6 of 10
S4Melnik3Kolbasenko3n = 6split evenly
S5Melnik1Kolbasenko2n = 3Kolbasenko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricMelnikKolbasenkoM − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match34.035.8−1.8per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMelnikKolbasenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime77 / 251 vs 207 / 41830.7%49.5%77 / 251 vs 207 / 418Avg sets wonper match1.51.9per matchAvg pointsper match34.635.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolbasenkoMelnik 3.00/Kolbasenko 1.36
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
69.2%
Kolbasenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kolbasenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 16 · 14:40O. Melnik—11812652O. Kolbasenko—5111011113
LAug 9 · 15:39O. Melnik—5830O. Kolbasenko—1111113
WAug 9 · 11:10O. Melnik—1111113O. Kolbasenko—5750
LAug 2 · 12:40O. Melnik—9890O. Kolbasenko—1111113
WJul 26 · 10:18O. Melnik—11711113O. Kolbasenko—611421
LJul 26 · 06:30O. Melnik—391111O. Kolbasenko—1111993
LJul 18 · 08:00O. Melnik—7750O. Kolbasenko—1111113
WJul 10 · 14:00O. Melnik—139117113O. Kolbasenko—111151192
LJul 5 · 10:38O. Melnik—11781192O. Kolbasenko—911117113
WJul 5 · 08:35O. Melnik—101111113O. Kolbasenko—129861
O. Melnik10
LSep 6 · 15:10O. Melnik6.00111351A. Rzhevska1.1111811113LSep 6 · 12:40O. Melnik3.00561181Y. Mykhailyk1.3611118113LSep 6 · 11:40O. Melnik2.636380A. Plashchynska1.441111113WAug 16 · 16:40O. Ponko1.737670O. Melnik2.001111113LAug 16 · 15:40O. Melnik2.63712111152A. Plashchynska1.441110135113LAug 16 · 14:40O. Melnik3.2511812652O. Kolbasenko1.335111011113LAug 16 · 13:10O. Melnik4.00781271V. Kurtenko1.22111110113LAug 16 · 11:10O. Melnik4.50113691P. Pashchenko1.1771111113LAug 9 · 15:39O. Kolbasenko1.441111113O. Melnik2.635830LAug 9 · 14:10V. Kurtenko1.221111109113O. Melnik4.0077121172
O. Kolbasenko10
WSep 6 · 15:42A. Plashchynska1.83811101182O. Kolbasenko1.83115128113LSep 6 · 13:10O. Kolbasenko1.30115611102A. Plashchynska3.40211116123LSep 6 · 12:10A. Rzhevska1.28911511113O. Kolbasenko3.5011211392LSep 6 · 11:10O. Kolbasenko1.3685110Y. Mykhailyk3.001111133WAug 16 · 17:10V. Kurtenko1.307990O. Kolbasenko3.401111113LAug 16 · 16:10P. Pashchenko1.331111113O. Kolbasenko3.259840WAug 16 · 14:40O. Melnik3.2511812652O. Kolbasenko1.335111011113WAug 16 · 12:40A. Plashchynska3.40111915102O. Kolbasenko1.307111113123LAug 16 · 10:40O. Ponko3.751111133O. Kolbasenko1.2598110WAug 9 · 15:39O. Kolbasenko1.441111113O. Melnik2.635830
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