TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #12439973
Played Aug 16Finished
Olga Melnik
Home
4.00
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
7118111210711––
Viktoria Kurtenko
Away
1.22
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:22 and never touched — 87.6% is still 87.6%
Graded at full timeViktoria Kurtenko to win
87.6%
87.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOlga Melnik above · Viktoria Kurtenko below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 77 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Viktoria Kurtenko at 87.6%
77 points played in total.
H2H Olga Melnik 0–7 Viktoria Kurtenko Olga Melnik has won 0 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 16:22What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.22 (77%)
Kurtenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-7 in 7
Kurtenko
Correct
gap of 7 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Melnik 1235 vs Kurtenko 1547
Kurtenko
Correct
both rated, 313 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Melnik 20% vs Kurtenko 60%
Kurtenko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Melnik 30% vs Kurtenko 60%
Kurtenko
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Melnik -4 · Kurtenko +1
Melnik
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 88% — Strong (leans Kurtenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kurtenko form (60%) is below what odds imply (82%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMelnik 4.00 / Kurtenko 1.22
Signal prob.12% / 88%
Edge (Kurtenko)+11.0pp
Setka Cup Women · #12439973
Melnik4.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Kurtenko1.22
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeMelnik0wins
AwayKurtenko7wins
3 of 7 to a deciderKurtenko leads 7–0, and 3 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMelnikn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayKurtenko100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Melnik2Kurtenko5n = 7Kurtenko took 5 of 7
S2Melnik0Kurtenko7n = 7Kurtenko took 7 of 7
S3Melnik3Kurtenko4n = 7Kurtenko took 4 of 7
S4Melnik3Kurtenko2n = 5Melnik took 3 of 5
S5Melnik0Kurtenko3n = 3Kurtenko took 3 of 3
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away343%
1–3Four sets, away229%
0–3Straight, away229%
These 7 meetings
MetricMelnikKurtenkoM − KBasisWins07−7in 7 meetingsFirst set25−3of 7Avg pointsper match36.142.9−6.8per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMelnikKurtenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime77 / 255 vs 88 / 17230.2%51.2%77 / 255 vs 88 / 172Avg sets wonper match1.51.9per matchAvg pointsper match34.536.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KurtenkoMelnik 4.00/Kurtenko 1.22
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
87.6%
Kurtenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kurtenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LAug 9 · 14:10O. Melnik—77121172V. Kurtenko—1111109113
LJul 26 · 08:00O. Melnik—119591V. Kurtenko—31111113
LMay 24 · 15:10O. Melnik—271151V. Kurtenko—11118113
LMar 28 · 10:00O. Melnik—812151192V. Kurtenko—1114136113
LMar 22 · 12:05O. Melnik—11481172V. Kurtenko—711117113
LMar 15 · 06:30O. Melnik—9980V. Kurtenko—1111113
LMar 8 · 12:05O. Melnik—12970V. Kurtenko—1411113
O. Melnik10
LSep 6 · 15:10O. Melnik6.00111351A. Rzhevska1.1111811113LSep 6 · 14:10O. Melnik3.001031151O. Kolbasenko1.3612113113LSep 6 · 12:40O. Melnik3.00561181Y. Mykhailyk1.3611118113LSep 6 · 11:40O. Melnik2.636380A. Plashchynska1.441111113WAug 16 · 16:40O. Ponko1.737670O. Melnik2.001111113LAug 16 · 15:40O. Melnik2.63712111152A. Plashchynska1.441110135113LAug 16 · 14:40O. Melnik3.2511812652O. Kolbasenko1.335111011113LAug 16 · 11:10O. Melnik4.50113691P. Pashchenko1.1771111113LAug 9 · 15:39O. Kolbasenko1.441111113O. Melnik2.635830LAug 9 · 14:10V. Kurtenko1.221111109113O. Melnik4.0077121172
V. Kurtenko10
WSep 1 · 10:30A. Rzhevska1.28109100V. Kurtenko3.501211123WSep 1 · 09:30V. Kurtenko1.911111113S. Yureneva1.804770LSep 1 · 08:30V. Kurtenko1.73111113552P. Pashchenko2.00481511113WSep 1 · 07:00V. Kurtenko1.301111113Y. Mykhailyk3.405760WSep 1 · 05:00V. Kurtenko1.141111113A. Plashchynska5.006990LAug 20 · 16:40A. Kurtenko1.6781111113V. Kurtenko2.10114571LAug 20 · 15:40V. Kurtenko3.00116951U. Dronova1.3671111113WAug 20 · 14:40V. Kurtenko1.141111113A. Plashchynska5.009580WAug 20 · 13:10V. Kurtenko1.831211113S. Yureneva1.8310960WAug 9 · 14:10V. Kurtenko1.221111109113O. Melnik4.0077121172
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