TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #12439999
Played Aug 16Finished
Olha Ponko
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
1–7Last 8Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711611711––––
Olga Melnik
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 7
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:08 and never touched — 60.8% is still 60.8%
Graded at full timeOlha Ponko to win
60.8%
60.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingOlha Ponko above · Olga Melnik below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 53 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Olha Ponko at 60.8%
53 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 16:08What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Ponko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Ponko 1199 vs Melnik 1211
Melnik
Correct
both rated, 13 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ponko 20% vs Melnik 0%
Ponko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ponko 13% vs Melnik 30%
Melnik
Correct
18pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Ponko -3 · Melnik -5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Ponko) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Melnik form (0%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPonko 1.73 / Melnik 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Ponko)+0.3pp
Setka Cup Women · #12439999
Ponko1.73
13%won 1 of 8 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest25%takes the first set · 2 of 8
Melnik2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 7
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricPonkoMelnikBasisWin rate · lifetime1 / 7 vs 77 / 25814.3%29.8%1 / 7 vs 77 / 258Avg sets wonper match0.71.5per matchAvg pointsper match26.634.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PonkoPonko 1.73/Melnik 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Ponko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Melnik won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
O. Ponko8
LAug 16 · 15:10O. Ponko5.001181171V. Kurtenko1.1413119113LAug 16 · 13:40O. Ponko1.73911491A. Plashchynska2.0011811113LAug 16 · 12:10O. Ponko4.505250P. Pashchenko1.171111113WAug 16 · 10:40O. Ponko3.751111133O. Kolbasenko1.2598110LJun 4 · 11:30O. Ponko3.407990S. Yureneva1.301111113LJun 4 · 09:28V. Kurtenko1.281111113O. Ponko3.509770LJun 4 · 07:28A. Telykh1.281111113O. Ponko3.506870LNov 3 · 17:50A. Pavlovic1.501411113O. Ponko2.5012680
O. Melnik10
LSep 6 · 15:10O. Melnik6.00111351A. Rzhevska1.1111811113LSep 6 · 14:10O. Melnik3.001031151O. Kolbasenko1.3612113113LSep 6 · 12:40O. Melnik3.00561181Y. Mykhailyk1.3611118113LSep 6 · 11:40O. Melnik2.636380A. Plashchynska1.441111113LAug 16 · 15:40O. Melnik2.63712111152A. Plashchynska1.441110135113LAug 16 · 14:40O. Melnik3.2511812652O. Kolbasenko1.335111011113LAug 16 · 13:10O. Melnik4.00781271V. Kurtenko1.22111110113LAug 16 · 11:10O. Melnik4.50113691P. Pashchenko1.1771111113LAug 9 · 15:39O. Kolbasenko1.441111113O. Melnik2.635830LAug 9 · 14:10V. Kurtenko1.221111109113O. Melnik4.0077121172
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