TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #12439963
Played Aug 16Finished
Olha Ponko
Home
5.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
1–6Last 7Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1113811119711––
Viktoria Kurtenko
Away
1.14
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:09 and never touched — 81.4% is still 81.4%
Graded at full timeViktoria Kurtenko to win
81.4%
81.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOlha Ponko above · Viktoria Kurtenko below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 81 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Viktoria Kurtenko at 81.4%
81 points played in total.
H2H Olha Ponko 0–1 Viktoria Kurtenko Olha Ponko has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 16:09What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.14 (81%)
Kurtenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Ponko 1099 vs Kurtenko 1522
Kurtenko
Correct
both rated, 423 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ponko 20% vs Kurtenko 80%
Kurtenko
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ponko 14% vs Kurtenko 80%
Kurtenko
Correct
66pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Ponko -2 · Kurtenko +3
Kurtenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 81% — Strong (leans Kurtenko)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPonko 5.00 / Kurtenko 1.14
Signal prob.19% / 81%
Edge (Kurtenko)-0.0pp
Setka Cup Women · #12439963
Ponko5.00
14%won 1 of 7 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest14%takes the first set · 1 of 7
Kurtenko1.14
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomePonko0wins
AwayKurtenko1wins
Kurtenko leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricPonkoKurtenkoP − KBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match23.033.0−10.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPonkoKurtenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime1 / 8 vs 91 / 17612.5%51.7%1 / 8 vs 91 / 176Avg sets wonper match0.61.9per matchAvg pointsper match25.836.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KurtenkoPonko 5.00/Kurtenko 1.14
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
81.4%
Kurtenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kurtenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LJun 4 · 09:28O. Ponko—9770V. Kurtenko—1111113
O. Ponko8
LAug 16 · 16:40O. Ponko1.737670O. Melnik2.001111113LAug 16 · 13:40O. Ponko1.73911491A. Plashchynska2.0011811113LAug 16 · 12:10O. Ponko4.505250P. Pashchenko1.171111113WAug 16 · 10:40O. Ponko3.751111133O. Kolbasenko1.2598110LJun 4 · 11:30O. Ponko3.407990S. Yureneva1.301111113LJun 4 · 09:28V. Kurtenko1.281111113O. Ponko3.509770LJun 4 · 07:28A. Telykh1.281111113O. Ponko3.506870LNov 3 · 17:50A. Pavlovic1.501411113O. Ponko2.5012680
V. Kurtenko10
WSep 1 · 10:30A. Rzhevska1.28109100V. Kurtenko3.501211123WSep 1 · 09:30V. Kurtenko1.911111113S. Yureneva1.804770LSep 1 · 08:30V. Kurtenko1.73111113552P. Pashchenko2.00481511113WSep 1 · 07:00V. Kurtenko1.301111113Y. Mykhailyk3.405760WSep 1 · 05:00V. Kurtenko1.141111113A. Plashchynska5.006990LAug 20 · 16:40A. Kurtenko1.6781111113V. Kurtenko2.10114571LAug 20 · 15:40V. Kurtenko3.00116951U. Dronova1.3671111113WAug 20 · 14:40V. Kurtenko1.141111113A. Plashchynska5.009580WAug 20 · 13:10V. Kurtenko1.831211113S. Yureneva1.8310960WJun 4 · 09:28V. Kurtenko1.281111113O. Ponko3.509770
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