TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #12439961
Played Aug 16Finished
Olha Ponko
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
1–5Last 6Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911118411911––
Anhelina Plashchynska
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:21 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeOlha Ponko to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingOlha Ponko above · Anhelina Plashchynska below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 74 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Olha Ponko at 57.7%
74 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 16:21What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Ponko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Ponko 1332 vs Plashchynska 1208
Ponko
Wrong
both rated, 124 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ponko 20% vs Plashchynska 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ponko 17% vs Plashchynska 10%
—
Too close
7pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Ponko -1 · Plashchynska -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Ponko) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Plashchynska form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPonko 1.73 / Plashchynska 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Ponko)+0.3pp
Setka Cup Women · #12439961
Ponko1.73
17%won 1 of 6 · last 10
oldest → newest
17%takes the first set · 1 of 6
Plashchynska2.00
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricPonkoPlashchynskaBasisWin rate · lifetime1 / 5 vs 85 / 28320%30%1 / 5 vs 85 / 283Avg sets wonper match0.61.4per matchAvg pointsper match23.232.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PonkoPonko 1.73/Plashchynska 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Ponko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Plashchynska won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
O. Ponko8
LAug 16 · 16:40O. Ponko1.737670O. Melnik2.001111113LAug 16 · 15:10O. Ponko5.001181171V. Kurtenko1.1413119113LAug 16 · 12:10O. Ponko4.505250P. Pashchenko1.171111113WAug 16 · 10:40O. Ponko3.751111133O. Kolbasenko1.2598110LJun 4 · 11:30O. Ponko3.407990S. Yureneva1.301111113LJun 4 · 09:28V. Kurtenko1.281111113O. Ponko3.509770LJun 4 · 07:28A. Telykh1.281111113O. Ponko3.506870LNov 3 · 17:50A. Pavlovic1.501411113O. Ponko2.5012680
A. Plashchynska10
LSep 6 · 15:42A. Plashchynska1.83811101182O. Kolbasenko1.83115128113LSep 6 · 14:40Y. Mykhailyk1.221171111113A. Plashchynska4.0013117842WSep 6 · 13:10O. Kolbasenko1.30115611102A. Plashchynska3.40211116123WSep 6 · 11:40O. Melnik2.636380A. Plashchynska1.441111113LSep 6 · 10:40A. Rzhevska1.051211113A. Plashchynska8.5010560LSep 1 · 11:30S. Yureneva1.221181111113A. Plashchynska4.0081113452LSep 1 · 10:00A. Plashchynska6.004390P. Pashchenko1.111111113LSep 1 · 08:00Y. Mykhailyk1.251111113A. Plashchynska3.757870LSep 1 · 06:00A. Rzhevska1.061111113A. Plashchynska8.007630LSep 1 · 05:00V. Kurtenko1.141111113A. Plashchynska5.006990
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