TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #12440010
Played Aug 16Finished
Olha Ponko
Home
4.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
1–4Last 5Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511211511––––
Polina Pashchenko
Away
1.17
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:23 and never touched — 70.9% is still 70.9%
Graded at full timePolina Pashchenko to win
70.9%
70.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOlha Ponko above · Polina Pashchenko below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 2-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 45 set 3, 5-11 — our read held Polina Pashchenko at 70.9%
45 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 16:23What took a side3 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.17 (79%)
Pashchenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Ponko 20% vs Pashchenko 80%
Pashchenko
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ponko 20% vs Pashchenko 70%
Pashchenko
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Ponko +1 · Pashchenko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 79% — Strong (leans Pashchenko) · live re-read · sealed at 71% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPonko 4.50 / Pashchenko 1.17
Signal prob.21% / 79%
Edge (Pashchenko)-0.0pp
Setka Cup Women · #12440010
Ponko4.50
20%won 1 of 5 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 1 of 5
Pashchenko1.17
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricPonkoPashchenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime1 / 5 vs 60 / 10920%55.1%1 / 5 vs 60 / 109Avg sets wonper match0.62.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PashchenkoPonko 4.50/Pashchenko 1.17
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
79.4%
Pashchenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Pashchenko won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
O. Ponko8
LAug 16 · 16:40O. Ponko1.737670O. Melnik2.001111113LAug 16 · 15:10O. Ponko5.001181171V. Kurtenko1.1413119113LAug 16 · 13:40O. Ponko1.73911491A. Plashchynska2.0011811113WAug 16 · 10:40O. Ponko3.751111133O. Kolbasenko1.2598110LJun 4 · 11:30O. Ponko3.407990S. Yureneva1.301111113LJun 4 · 09:28V. Kurtenko1.281111113O. Ponko3.509770LJun 4 · 07:28A. Telykh1.281111113O. Ponko3.506870LNov 3 · 17:50A. Pavlovic1.501411113O. Ponko2.5012680
P. Pashchenko10
LSep 1 · 11:00Y. Mykhailyk1.8011411113P. Pashchenko1.91811781WSep 1 · 10:00A. Plashchynska6.004390P. Pashchenko1.111111113WSep 1 · 08:30V. Kurtenko1.73111113552P. Pashchenko2.00481511113WSep 1 · 06:30S. Yureneva1.44111141042P. Pashchenko2.63641112113WSep 1 · 04:30A. Rzhevska1.738480P. Pashchenko2.001111113WAug 21 · 10:14P. Pashchenko2.2511119113Y. Mykhailyk1.57461141LAug 21 · 08:30A. Rzhevska1.9171111113P. Pashchenko1.80117291LAug 21 · 07:00S. Yureneva1.531111113P. Pashchenko2.383770LAug 21 · 05:30Y. Mykhailyk1.5711118113P. Pashchenko2.25591131WAug 21 · 04:30U. Dronova1.576131171P. Pashchenko2.2511157113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.