TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #13055144
Played Sep 1Finished
Viktoria Kurtenko
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1141181315511511
Polina Pashchenko
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:07 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeViktoria Kurtenko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingViktoria Kurtenko above · Polina Pashchenko below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 13-15
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 94 set 5, 5-11 — our read held Viktoria Kurtenko at 54.0%
94 points played in total.
H2H Viktoria Kurtenko 5–6 Polina Pashchenko Viktoria Kurtenko has won 5 of their 11 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:07What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Kurtenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-6 in 11
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kurtenko 1531 vs Pashchenko 1527
Kurtenko
Wrong
both rated, 4 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kurtenko 60% vs Pashchenko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kurtenko 60% vs Pashchenko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kurtenko +2 · Pashchenko +3
Pashchenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Pashchenko) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKurtenko 1.73 / Pashchenko 2.00
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Pashchenko)+7.7pp
Setka Cup Women · #13055144
Kurtenko1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Pashchenko2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKurtenko5wins
AwayPashchenko5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKurtenko60%3 of 5
AwayPashchenko60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kurtenko5Pashchenko5n = 10split evenly
S2Kurtenko6Pashchenko4n = 10Kurtenko took 6 of 10
S3Kurtenko6Pashchenko4n = 10Kurtenko took 6 of 10
S4Kurtenko3Pashchenko4n = 7Pashchenko took 4 of 7
S5Kurtenko1Pashchenko2n = 3Pashchenko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKurtenkoPashchenkoK − PBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.134.3+4.8per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKurtenkoPashchenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime95 / 183 vs 66 / 11951.9%55.5%95 / 183 vs 66 / 119Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.136.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PashchenkoKurtenko 1.73/Pashchenko 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Pashchenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Pashchenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 16 · 14:10V. Kurtenko—1111113P. Pashchenko—1890
WAug 9 · 16:08V. Kurtenko—691111103P. Pashchenko—11116972
LAug 9 · 11:40V. Kurtenko—11119762P. Pashchenko—571111113
LAug 4 · 07:00V. Kurtenko—91080P. Pashchenko—1112113
WJul 30 · 07:00V. Kurtenko—1113113P. Pashchenko—61150
WJul 26 · 09:49V. Kurtenko—71111113P. Pashchenko—116341
LJul 26 · 07:00V. Kurtenko—111191292P. Pashchenko—171114113
WJul 21 · 08:30V. Kurtenko—11119113P. Pashchenko—761191
LJun 9 · 09:05V. Kurtenko—961171P. Pashchenko—11116113
LMay 26 · 05:35V. Kurtenko—9101181P. Pashchenko—11126113
V. Kurtenko10
WSep 1 · 10:30A. Rzhevska1.28109100V. Kurtenko3.501211123WSep 1 · 09:30V. Kurtenko1.911111113S. Yureneva1.804770WSep 1 · 07:00V. Kurtenko1.301111113Y. Mykhailyk3.405760WSep 1 · 05:00V. Kurtenko1.141111113A. Plashchynska5.006990LAug 20 · 16:40A. Kurtenko1.6781111113V. Kurtenko2.10114571LAug 20 · 15:40V. Kurtenko3.00116951U. Dronova1.3671111113WAug 20 · 14:40V. Kurtenko1.141111113A. Plashchynska5.009580WAug 20 · 13:10V. Kurtenko1.831211113S. Yureneva1.8310960LAug 20 · 11:10V. Kurtenko3.7591111432A. Rzhevska1.25118811113LAug 16 · 17:10V. Kurtenko1.307990O. Kolbasenko3.401111113
P. Pashchenko10
LSep 1 · 11:00Y. Mykhailyk1.8011411113P. Pashchenko1.91811781WSep 1 · 10:00A. Plashchynska6.004390P. Pashchenko1.111111113WSep 1 · 06:30S. Yureneva1.44111141042P. Pashchenko2.63641112113WSep 1 · 04:30A. Rzhevska1.738480P. Pashchenko2.001111113WAug 21 · 10:14P. Pashchenko2.2511119113Y. Mykhailyk1.57461141LAug 21 · 08:30A. Rzhevska1.9171111113P. Pashchenko1.80117291LAug 21 · 07:00S. Yureneva1.531111113P. Pashchenko2.383770LAug 21 · 05:30Y. Mykhailyk1.5711118113P. Pashchenko2.25591131WAug 21 · 04:30U. Dronova1.576131171P. Pashchenko2.2511157113WAug 16 · 16:10P. Pashchenko1.331111113O. Kolbasenko3.259840
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