TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #12461420
Played Aug 20Finished
Viktoria Kurtenko
Home
3.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
911118118411311
Anna Rzhevska
Away
1.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:05 and never touched — 85.8% is still 85.8%
Graded at full timeAnna Rzhevska to win
85.8%
85.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingViktoria Kurtenko above · Anna Rzhevska below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 4-11
Set 5 · 3-11
Point 87 set 5, 3-11 — our read held Anna Rzhevska at 85.8%
87 points played in total.
H2H Viktoria Kurtenko 3–16 Anna Rzhevska Viktoria Kurtenko has won 3 of their 19 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:05What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (75%)
Rzhevska
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-16 in 19
Rzhevska
Correct
gap of 13 in 19, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kurtenko 1508 vs Rzhevska 1519
Rzhevska
Correct
both rated, 11 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kurtenko 80% vs Rzhevska 40%
Kurtenko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kurtenko 70% vs Rzhevska 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kurtenko -1 · Rzhevska -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 91% — Strong (leans Rzhevska) · live re-read · sealed at 86% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rzhevska form (40%) is below what odds imply (80%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKurtenko 3.75 / Rzhevska 1.25
Signal prob.9% / 91%
Edge (Rzhevska)+15.8pp
Setka Cup Women · #12461420
Kurtenko3.75
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Rzhevska1.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKurtenko1wins
AwayRzhevska9wins
1 of 10 to a deciderRzhevska leads 9–1, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKurtenkon = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayRzhevska87.5%7 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kurtenko2Rzhevska8n = 10Rzhevska took 8 of 10
S2Kurtenko2Rzhevska8n = 10Rzhevska took 8 of 10
S3Kurtenko2Rzhevska8n = 10Rzhevska took 8 of 10
S4Kurtenko1Rzhevska3n = 4Rzhevska took 3 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away660%
These 10 meetings
MetricKurtenkoRzhevskaK − RBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match26.137.2−11.1per matchSweeps06−63–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKurtenkoRzhevskaBasisWin rate · lifetime91 / 177 vs 138 / 25251.4%54.8%91 / 177 vs 138 / 252Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.337.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RzhevskaKurtenko 3.75/Rzhevska 1.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
90.8%
Rzhevska · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Rzhevska won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 20 · 11:10V. Kurtenko—91111432A. Rzhevska—118811113
LAug 11 · 06:35V. Kurtenko—154481A. Rzhevska—131111113
LAug 5 · 06:30V. Kurtenko—5940A. Rzhevska—1111113
LAug 4 · 06:00V. Kurtenko—5650A. Rzhevska—1111113
LJul 30 · 08:30V. Kurtenko—154531A. Rzhevska—131111113
LJul 16 · 10:30V. Kurtenko—1110100A. Rzhevska—1312123
LApr 27 · 06:00V. Kurtenko—3840A. Rzhevska—1111113
LApr 26 · 11:40V. Kurtenko—79110A. Rzhevska—1111133
LApr 6 · 15:10V. Kurtenko—1970A. Rzhevska—1111113
WOct 20 · 06:05V. Kurtenko—81111113A. Rzhevska—114751
V. Kurtenko10
WSep 1 · 10:30A. Rzhevska1.28109100V. Kurtenko3.501211123WSep 1 · 09:30V. Kurtenko1.911111113S. Yureneva1.804770LSep 1 · 08:30V. Kurtenko1.73111113552P. Pashchenko2.00481511113WSep 1 · 07:00V. Kurtenko1.301111113Y. Mykhailyk3.405760WSep 1 · 05:00V. Kurtenko1.141111113A. Plashchynska5.006990LAug 20 · 16:40A. Kurtenko1.6781111113V. Kurtenko2.10114571LAug 20 · 15:40V. Kurtenko3.00116951U. Dronova1.3671111113WAug 20 · 14:40V. Kurtenko1.141111113A. Plashchynska5.009580WAug 20 · 13:10V. Kurtenko1.831211113S. Yureneva1.8310960LAug 16 · 17:10V. Kurtenko1.307990O. Kolbasenko3.401111113
A. Rzhevska10
WSep 6 · 16:09Y. Mykhailyk2.201011751A. Rzhevska1.6112211113WSep 6 · 15:10O. Melnik6.00111351A. Rzhevska1.1111811113LSep 6 · 13:40A. Rzhevska1.50811481Y. Mykhailyk2.5011211113WSep 6 · 12:10A. Rzhevska1.28911511113O. Kolbasenko3.5011211392WSep 6 · 10:40A. Rzhevska1.051211113A. Plashchynska8.5010560LSep 1 · 10:30A. Rzhevska1.28109100V. Kurtenko3.501211123WSep 1 · 09:00A. Rzhevska1.50119114113Y. Mykhailyk2.5071141192LSep 1 · 07:30A. Rzhevska2.205860S. Yureneva1.611111113WSep 1 · 06:00A. Rzhevska1.061111113A. Plashchynska8.007630LSep 1 · 04:30A. Rzhevska1.738480P. Pashchenko2.001111113
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