TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #12439978
Played Aug 16Finished
Viktoria Kurtenko
Home
1.30
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711911911––––
Olha Kolbasenko
Away
3.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:07 and never touched — 76.9% is still 76.9%
Graded at full timeViktoria Kurtenko to win
76.9%
76.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingViktoria Kurtenko above · Olha Kolbasenko below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 58 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Viktoria Kurtenko at 76.9%
58 points played in total.
H2H Viktoria Kurtenko 15–5 Olha Kolbasenko Olha Kolbasenko has won 5 of their 20 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 16:07What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Kurtenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-5 in 20
Kurtenko
Wrong
gap of 10 in 20, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kurtenko 1577 vs Kolbasenko 1353
Kurtenko
Wrong
both rated, 224 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kurtenko 80% vs Kolbasenko 60%
Kurtenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kurtenko 80% vs Kolbasenko 40%
Kurtenko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kurtenko +4 · Kolbasenko -1
Kurtenko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 83% — Strong (leans Kurtenko) · live re-read · sealed at 77% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolbasenko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKurtenko 1.30 / Kolbasenko 3.40
Signal prob.83% / 17%
Edge (Kurtenko)+11.0pp
Setka Cup Women · #12439978
Kurtenko1.30
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Kolbasenko3.40
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKurtenko7wins
AwayKolbasenko3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKurtenko leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKurtenko100%5 of 5
AwayKolbasenko60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kurtenko5Kolbasenko5n = 10split evenly
S2Kurtenko7Kolbasenko3n = 10Kurtenko took 7 of 10
S3Kurtenko8Kolbasenko2n = 10Kurtenko took 8 of 10
S4Kurtenko6Kolbasenko2n = 8Kurtenko took 6 of 8
S5Kurtenko1Kolbasenko3n = 4Kolbasenko took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKurtenkoKolbasenkoKurtenko − KolbasenkoBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match42.238.9+3.3per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKurtenkoKolbasenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime91 / 175 vs 206 / 41452%49.8%91 / 175 vs 206 / 414Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.335.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KurtenkoKurtenko 1.30/Kolbasenko 3.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
83.3%
Kurtenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kolbasenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 9 · 12:40V. Kurtenko—1112113O. Kolbasenko—91090
WJul 26 · 05:00V. Kurtenko—11119143O. Kolbasenko—3911121
LJun 11 · 05:00V. Kurtenko—61311462O. Kolbasenko—1111711113
WJun 9 · 07:35V. Kurtenko—12119113O. Kolbasenko—1051181
WJun 4 · 07:00V. Kurtenko—911114113O. Kolbasenko—11671162
WJun 2 · 07:35V. Kurtenko—71111113O. Kolbasenko—115841
LMay 26 · 07:35V. Kurtenko—98151212O. Kolbasenko—11111310113
WMay 24 · 13:10V. Kurtenko—1111113O. Kolbasenko—9890
WApr 9 · 07:00V. Kurtenko—11411113O. Kolbasenko—711841
LMar 28 · 08:30V. Kurtenko—9101311162O. Kolbasenko—1112118183
V. Kurtenko10
WSep 1 · 10:30A. Rzhevska1.28109100V. Kurtenko3.501211123WSep 1 · 09:30V. Kurtenko1.911111113S. Yureneva1.804770LSep 1 · 08:30V. Kurtenko1.73111113552P. Pashchenko2.00481511113WSep 1 · 07:00V. Kurtenko1.301111113Y. Mykhailyk3.405760WSep 1 · 05:00V. Kurtenko1.141111113A. Plashchynska5.006990LAug 20 · 16:40A. Kurtenko1.6781111113V. Kurtenko2.10114571LAug 20 · 15:40V. Kurtenko3.00116951U. Dronova1.3671111113WAug 20 · 14:40V. Kurtenko1.141111113A. Plashchynska5.009580WAug 20 · 13:10V. Kurtenko1.831211113S. Yureneva1.8310960LAug 20 · 11:10V. Kurtenko3.7591111432A. Rzhevska1.25118811113
O. Kolbasenko10
WSep 6 · 15:42A. Plashchynska1.83811101182O. Kolbasenko1.83115128113WSep 6 · 14:10O. Melnik3.001031151O. Kolbasenko1.3612113113LSep 6 · 13:10O. Kolbasenko1.30115611102A. Plashchynska3.40211116123LSep 6 · 12:10A. Rzhevska1.28911511113O. Kolbasenko3.5011211392LSep 6 · 11:10O. Kolbasenko1.3685110Y. Mykhailyk3.001111133LAug 16 · 16:10P. Pashchenko1.331111113O. Kolbasenko3.259840WAug 16 · 14:40O. Melnik3.2511812652O. Kolbasenko1.335111011113WAug 16 · 12:40A. Plashchynska3.40111915102O. Kolbasenko1.307111113123LAug 16 · 10:40O. Ponko3.751111133O. Kolbasenko1.2598110WAug 9 · 15:39O. Kolbasenko1.441111113O. Melnik2.635830
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