TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #13084926
Played Sep 6Finished
Olha Kolbasenko
Home
1.36
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
8115111113––––
Yana Mykhailyk
Away
3.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:38 and never touched — 67.2% is still 67.2%
Graded at full timeOlha Kolbasenko to win
67.2%
67.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingOlha Kolbasenko above · Yana Mykhailyk below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-13
Point 59 set 3, 11-13 — our read held Olha Kolbasenko at 67.2%
59 points played in total.
H2H Olha Kolbasenko 49–20 Yana Mykhailyk Yana Mykhailyk has won 20 of their 69 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:38What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Kolbasenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
49-20 in 69
Kolbasenko
Wrong
gap of 29 in 69, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolbasenko 1397 vs Mykhailyk 1447
Mykhailyk
Correct
both rated, 50 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolbasenko 60% vs Mykhailyk 40%
Kolbasenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolbasenko 50% vs Mykhailyk 30%
Kolbasenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolbasenko +1 · Mykhailyk +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Kolbasenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolbasenko form (60%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolbasenko 1.36 / Mykhailyk 3.00
Signal prob.67% / 33%
Edge (Kolbasenko)-1.6pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup Women · #13084926
Kolbasenko1.36
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Mykhailyk3.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKolbasenko8wins
AwayMykhailyk2wins
1 of 10 to a deciderKolbasenko leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolbasenko83.3%5 of 6
AwayMykhailyk25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolbasenko6Mykhailyk4n = 10Kolbasenko took 6 of 10
S2Kolbasenko7Mykhailyk3n = 10Kolbasenko took 7 of 10
S3Kolbasenko8Mykhailyk2n = 10Kolbasenko took 8 of 10
S4Kolbasenko3Mykhailyk2n = 5Kolbasenko took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKolbasenkoMykhailykK − MBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match34.727.6+7.1per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolbasenkoMykhailykBasisWin rate · lifetime207 / 415 vs 236 / 49749.9%47.5%207 / 415 vs 236 / 497Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match35.435.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolbasenkoKolbasenko 1.36/Mykhailyk 3.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
67.2%
Kolbasenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Mykhailyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 2 · 13:40O. Kolbasenko—1111113Y. Mykhailyk—6540
WJul 26 · 07:30O. Kolbasenko—51111113Y. Mykhailyk—118991
LJul 18 · 09:29O. Kolbasenko—9730Y. Mykhailyk—1111113
LJul 18 · 05:00O. Kolbasenko—1166101Y. Mykhailyk—81111123
WJul 7 · 08:35O. Kolbasenko—1111113Y. Mykhailyk—4980
WJul 5 · 05:35O. Kolbasenko—41111113Y. Mykhailyk—118541
WJun 26 · 10:08O. Kolbasenko—1111113Y. Mykhailyk—4440
WJun 26 · 06:30O. Kolbasenko—3111110113Y. Mykhailyk—11821282
WJun 23 · 08:35O. Kolbasenko—11911113Y. Mykhailyk—411881
WJun 19 · 09:30O. Kolbasenko—1111113Y. Mykhailyk—8350
O. Kolbasenko10
WSep 6 · 15:42A. Plashchynska1.83811101182O. Kolbasenko1.83115128113WSep 6 · 14:10O. Melnik3.001031151O. Kolbasenko1.3612113113LSep 6 · 13:10O. Kolbasenko1.30115611102A. Plashchynska3.40211116123LSep 6 · 12:10A. Rzhevska1.28911511113O. Kolbasenko3.5011211392WAug 16 · 17:10V. Kurtenko1.307990O. Kolbasenko3.401111113LAug 16 · 16:10P. Pashchenko1.331111113O. Kolbasenko3.259840WAug 16 · 14:40O. Melnik3.2511812652O. Kolbasenko1.335111011113WAug 16 · 12:40A. Plashchynska3.40111915102O. Kolbasenko1.307111113123LAug 16 · 10:40O. Ponko3.751111133O. Kolbasenko1.2598110WAug 9 · 15:39O. Kolbasenko1.441111113O. Melnik2.635830
Y. Mykhailyk10
LSep 6 · 16:09Y. Mykhailyk2.201011751A. Rzhevska1.6112211113WSep 6 · 14:40Y. Mykhailyk1.221171111113A. Plashchynska4.0013117842WSep 6 · 13:40A. Rzhevska1.50811481Y. Mykhailyk2.5011211113WSep 6 · 12:40O. Melnik3.00561181Y. Mykhailyk1.3611118113WSep 1 · 11:00Y. Mykhailyk1.8011411113P. Pashchenko1.91811781LSep 1 · 09:00A. Rzhevska1.50119114113Y. Mykhailyk2.5071141192WSep 1 · 08:00Y. Mykhailyk1.251111113A. Plashchynska3.757870LSep 1 · 07:00V. Kurtenko1.301111113Y. Mykhailyk3.405760LSep 1 · 05:30Y. Mykhailyk3.00811651S. Yureneva1.3611711113LAug 21 · 10:14P. Pashchenko2.2511119113Y. Mykhailyk1.57461141
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