TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #13084807
Played Sep 6Finished
Olga Melnik
Home
3.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
511611118811––
Yana Mykhailyk
Away
1.36
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:58 and never touched — 72.8% is still 72.8%
Graded at full timeYana Mykhailyk to win
72.8%
72.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOlga Melnik above · Yana Mykhailyk below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 71 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Yana Mykhailyk at 72.8%
71 points played in total.
H2H Olga Melnik 12–27 Yana Mykhailyk Olga Melnik has won 12 of their 39 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:58What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Mykhailyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-27 in 39
Mykhailyk
Correct
gap of 15 in 39, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Melnik 1208 vs Mykhailyk 1470
Mykhailyk
Correct
both rated, 262 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Melnik 20% vs Mykhailyk 60%
Mykhailyk
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Melnik 20% vs Mykhailyk 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Melnik -1 · Mykhailyk +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Strong (leans Mykhailyk) · live re-read · sealed at 73% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mykhailyk form (60%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMelnik 3.00 / Mykhailyk 1.36
Signal prob.30% / 70%
Edge (Mykhailyk)+1.2pp
Setka Cup Women · #13084807
Melnik3.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Mykhailyk1.36
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMelnik4wins
AwayMykhailyk6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderMykhailyk leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMelnik80%4 of 5
AwayMykhailyk100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Melnik5Mykhailyk5n = 10split evenly
S2Melnik3Mykhailyk7n = 10Mykhailyk took 7 of 10
S3Melnik3Mykhailyk7n = 10Mykhailyk took 7 of 10
S4Melnik2Mykhailyk4n = 6Mykhailyk took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricMelnikMykhailykMelnik − MykhailykBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match33.438.5−5.1per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMelnikMykhailykBasisWin rate · lifetime77 / 250 vs 237 / 49830.8%47.6%77 / 250 vs 237 / 498Avg sets wonper match1.51.9per matchAvg pointsper match34.635.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MykhailykMelnik 3.00/Mykhailyk 1.36
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70%
Mykhailyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Mykhailyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 2 · 15:10O. Melnik—14119103Y. Mykhailyk—1241181
WJul 26 · 09:00O. Melnik—1120911113Y. Mykhailyk—52211682
LJul 18 · 06:30O. Melnik—7140Y. Mykhailyk—1111113
LJul 12 · 07:05O. Melnik—1110821Y. Mykhailyk—91211113
LJul 5 · 07:05O. Melnik—1141191Y. Mykhailyk—13119113
LJun 21 · 09:35O. Melnik—54110Y. Mykhailyk—1111133
WMay 31 · 16:40O. Melnik—115113113Y. Mykhailyk—91171182
LMay 3 · 05:35O. Melnik—811781Y. Mykhailyk—11811113
WMar 28 · 09:00O. Melnik—1311113Y. Mykhailyk—11480
LMar 15 · 09:00O. Melnik—4880Y. Mykhailyk—1111113
O. Melnik10
LSep 6 · 15:10O. Melnik6.00111351A. Rzhevska1.1111811113LSep 6 · 14:10O. Melnik3.001031151O. Kolbasenko1.3612113113LSep 6 · 11:40O. Melnik2.636380A. Plashchynska1.441111113WAug 16 · 16:40O. Ponko1.737670O. Melnik2.001111113LAug 16 · 15:40O. Melnik2.63712111152A. Plashchynska1.441110135113LAug 16 · 14:40O. Melnik3.2511812652O. Kolbasenko1.335111011113LAug 16 · 13:10O. Melnik4.00781271V. Kurtenko1.22111110113LAug 16 · 11:10O. Melnik4.50113691P. Pashchenko1.1771111113LAug 9 · 15:39O. Kolbasenko1.441111113O. Melnik2.635830LAug 9 · 14:10V. Kurtenko1.221111109113O. Melnik4.0077121172
Y. Mykhailyk10
LSep 6 · 16:09Y. Mykhailyk2.201011751A. Rzhevska1.6112211113WSep 6 · 14:40Y. Mykhailyk1.221171111113A. Plashchynska4.0013117842WSep 6 · 13:40A. Rzhevska1.50811481Y. Mykhailyk2.5011211113WSep 6 · 11:10O. Kolbasenko1.3685110Y. Mykhailyk3.001111133WSep 1 · 11:00Y. Mykhailyk1.8011411113P. Pashchenko1.91811781LSep 1 · 09:00A. Rzhevska1.50119114113Y. Mykhailyk2.5071141192WSep 1 · 08:00Y. Mykhailyk1.251111113A. Plashchynska3.757870LSep 1 · 07:00V. Kurtenko1.301111113Y. Mykhailyk3.405760LSep 1 · 05:30Y. Mykhailyk3.00811651S. Yureneva1.3611711113LAug 21 · 10:14P. Pashchenko2.2511119113Y. Mykhailyk1.57461141
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