TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #12384363
Played Aug 9Finished
Viktoria Kurtenko
Home
1.22
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1171171012911117
Olga Melnik
Away
4.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:20 and never touched — 87.6% is still 87.6%
Graded at full timeViktoria Kurtenko to win
87.6%
87.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingViktoria Kurtenko above · Olga Melnik below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 96 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Viktoria Kurtenko at 87.6%
96 points played in total.
H2H Viktoria Kurtenko 6–0 Olga Melnik Olga Melnik has won 0 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:20What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.22 (77%)
Kurtenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-0 in 6
Kurtenko
Correct
gap of 6 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kurtenko 1415 vs Melnik 1248
Kurtenko
Correct
both rated, 167 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kurtenko 20% vs Melnik 60%
Melnik
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kurtenko 20% vs Melnik 50%
Melnik
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kurtenko +1 · Melnik -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 83% — Strong (leans Kurtenko) · live re-read · sealed at 88% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Melnik form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (25%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKurtenko 1.22 / Melnik 4.00
Signal prob.83% / 17%
Edge (Kurtenko)+6.0pp
Setka Cup Women · #12384363
Kurtenko1.22
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Melnik4.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeKurtenko6wins
AwayMelnik0wins
2 of 6 to a deciderKurtenko leads 6–0, and 2 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKurtenko100%4 of 4
AwayMelnikn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kurtenko4Melnik2n = 6Kurtenko took 4 of 6
S2Kurtenko6Melnik0n = 6Kurtenko took 6 of 6
S3Kurtenko4Melnik2n = 6Kurtenko took 4 of 6
S4Kurtenko2Melnik2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home233%
3–1Four sets, home233%
3–2Decider, home233%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricKurtenkoMelnikK − MBasisWins60+6in 6 meetingsFirst set42+2of 6Avg pointsper match41.334.8+6.5per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKurtenkoMelnikBasisWin rate · lifetime85 / 171 vs 77 / 25249.7%30.6%85 / 171 vs 77 / 252Avg sets wonper match1.91.5per matchAvg pointsper match36.034.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KurtenkoKurtenko 1.22/Melnik 4.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
82.6%
Kurtenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kurtenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WJul 26 · 08:00V. Kurtenko—31111113O. Melnik—119591
WMay 24 · 15:10V. Kurtenko—11118113O. Melnik—271151
WMar 28 · 10:00V. Kurtenko—1114136113O. Melnik—812151192
WMar 22 · 12:05V. Kurtenko—711117113O. Melnik—11481172
WMar 15 · 06:30V. Kurtenko—1111113O. Melnik—9980
WMar 8 · 12:05V. Kurtenko—1411113O. Melnik—12970
V. Kurtenko10
WSep 1 · 10:30A. Rzhevska1.28109100V. Kurtenko3.501211123WSep 1 · 09:30V. Kurtenko1.911111113S. Yureneva1.804770LSep 1 · 08:30V. Kurtenko1.73111113552P. Pashchenko2.00481511113WSep 1 · 07:00V. Kurtenko1.301111113Y. Mykhailyk3.405760WSep 1 · 05:00V. Kurtenko1.141111113A. Plashchynska5.006990LAug 20 · 16:40A. Kurtenko1.6781111113V. Kurtenko2.10114571LAug 20 · 15:40V. Kurtenko3.00116951U. Dronova1.3671111113WAug 20 · 14:40V. Kurtenko1.141111113A. Plashchynska5.009580WAug 20 · 13:10V. Kurtenko1.831211113S. Yureneva1.8310960LAug 20 · 11:10V. Kurtenko3.7591111432A. Rzhevska1.25118811113
O. Melnik10
LSep 6 · 15:10O. Melnik6.00111351A. Rzhevska1.1111811113LSep 6 · 14:10O. Melnik3.001031151O. Kolbasenko1.3612113113LSep 6 · 12:40O. Melnik3.00561181Y. Mykhailyk1.3611118113LSep 6 · 11:40O. Melnik2.636380A. Plashchynska1.441111113WAug 16 · 16:40O. Ponko1.737670O. Melnik2.001111113LAug 16 · 15:40O. Melnik2.63712111152A. Plashchynska1.441110135113LAug 16 · 14:40O. Melnik3.2511812652O. Kolbasenko1.335111011113LAug 16 · 13:10O. Melnik4.00781271V. Kurtenko1.22111110113LAug 16 · 11:10O. Melnik4.50113691P. Pashchenko1.1771111113LAug 9 · 15:39O. Kolbasenko1.441111113O. Melnik2.635830
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