TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #12440011
Played Aug 16Finished
Olga Melnik
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 6
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
71112101113115511
Anhelina Plashchynska
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:08 and never touched — 57.8% is still 57.8%
Graded at full timeAnhelina Plashchynska to win
57.8%
57.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOlga Melnik above · Anhelina Plashchynska below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 96 set 5, 5-11 — our read held Anhelina Plashchynska at 57.8%
96 points played in total.
H2H Olga Melnik 4–14 Anhelina Plashchynska Olga Melnik has won 4 of their 18 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 16:08What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Plashchynska
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-14 in 18
Plashchynska
Correct
gap of 10 in 18, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Melnik 1236 vs Plashchynska 1224
Melnik
Wrong
both rated, 13 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Melnik 0% vs Plashchynska 40%
Plashchynska
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Melnik 30% vs Plashchynska 20%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Melnik -5 · Plashchynska +1
Melnik
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Plashchynska) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Plashchynska form (40%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMelnik 2.63 / Plashchynska 1.44
Signal prob.32% / 69%
Edge (Plashchynska)+4.0pp
Setka Cup Women · #12440011
Melnik2.63
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Plashchynska1.44
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMelnik2wins
AwayPlashchynska8wins
Plashchynska leads 8–2.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMelnik66.7%2 of 3
AwayPlashchynska100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Melnik3Plashchynska7n = 10Plashchynska took 7 of 10
S2Melnik3Plashchynska7n = 10Plashchynska took 7 of 10
S3Melnik3Plashchynska7n = 10Plashchynska took 7 of 10
S4Melnik1Plashchynska4n = 5Plashchynska took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricMelnikPlashchynskaM − PBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match28.636.0−7.4per matchSweeps14−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMelnikPlashchynskaBasisWin rate · lifetime77 / 257 vs 86 / 28430%30.3%77 / 257 vs 86 / 284Avg sets wonper match1.51.4per matchAvg pointsper match34.532.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PlashchynskaMelnik 2.63/Plashchynska 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.5%
Plashchynska · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Plashchynska won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 18 · 09:00O. Melnik—1112113A. Plashchynska—51080
LJul 10 · 15:30O. Melnik—5630A. Plashchynska—1111113
LJul 5 · 06:05O. Melnik—118681A. Plashchynska—91111113
LMay 31 · 11:10O. Melnik—9128101A. Plashchynska—111011123
LMay 24 · 12:10O. Melnik—771151A. Plashchynska—11119113
LMay 3 · 09:05O. Melnik—812651A. Plashchynska—111011113
LMar 28 · 12:00O. Melnik—6560A. Plashchynska—1111113
WMar 22 · 06:35O. Melnik—11911113A. Plashchynska—211891
LMar 15 · 10:00O. Melnik—8950A. Plashchynska—1111113
LMar 8 · 06:35O. Melnik—102120A. Plashchynska—1211143
O. Melnik10
LSep 6 · 15:10O. Melnik6.00111351A. Rzhevska1.1111811113LSep 6 · 14:10O. Melnik3.001031151O. Kolbasenko1.3612113113LSep 6 · 12:40O. Melnik3.00561181Y. Mykhailyk1.3611118113LSep 6 · 11:40O. Melnik2.636380A. Plashchynska1.441111113WAug 16 · 16:40O. Ponko1.737670O. Melnik2.001111113LAug 16 · 14:40O. Melnik3.2511812652O. Kolbasenko1.335111011113LAug 16 · 13:10O. Melnik4.00781271V. Kurtenko1.22111110113LAug 16 · 11:10O. Melnik4.50113691P. Pashchenko1.1771111113LAug 9 · 15:39O. Kolbasenko1.441111113O. Melnik2.635830LAug 9 · 14:10V. Kurtenko1.221111109113O. Melnik4.0077121172
A. Plashchynska10
LSep 6 · 15:42A. Plashchynska1.83811101182O. Kolbasenko1.83115128113LSep 6 · 14:40Y. Mykhailyk1.221171111113A. Plashchynska4.0013117842WSep 6 · 13:10O. Kolbasenko1.30115611102A. Plashchynska3.40211116123WSep 6 · 11:40O. Melnik2.636380A. Plashchynska1.441111113LSep 6 · 10:40A. Rzhevska1.051211113A. Plashchynska8.5010560LSep 1 · 11:30S. Yureneva1.221181111113A. Plashchynska4.0081113452LSep 1 · 10:00A. Plashchynska6.004390P. Pashchenko1.111111113LSep 1 · 08:00Y. Mykhailyk1.251111113A. Plashchynska3.757870LSep 1 · 06:00A. Rzhevska1.061111113A. Plashchynska8.007630LSep 1 · 05:00V. Kurtenko1.141111113A. Plashchynska5.006990
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