TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #13085190
Played Sep 6Finished
Olga Melnik
Home
6.00
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
111118311511––
Anna Rzhevska
Away
1.11
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:18 and never touched — 88.6% is still 88.6%
Graded at full timeAnna Rzhevska to win
88.6%
88.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOlga Melnik above · Anna Rzhevska below
Set 1 · 1-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 61 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Anna Rzhevska at 88.6%
61 points played in total.
H2H Olga Melnik 3–11 Anna Rzhevska Olga Melnik has won 3 of their 14 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 24:18What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.11 (84%)
Rzhevska
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-11 in 14
Rzhevska
Correct
gap of 8 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Melnik 1174 vs Rzhevska 1549
Rzhevska
Correct
both rated, 375 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Melnik 20% vs Rzhevska 60%
Rzhevska
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Melnik 10% vs Rzhevska 60%
Rzhevska
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Melnik -3 · Rzhevska -1
Melnik
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 88% — Strong (leans Rzhevska) · live re-read · sealed at 89% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rzhevska form (60%) is below what odds imply (90%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMelnik 6.00 / Rzhevska 1.11
Signal prob.12% / 88%
Edge (Rzhevska)+3.5pp
Setka Cup Women · #13085190
Melnik6.00
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Rzhevska1.11
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMelnik3wins
AwayRzhevska7wins
1 of 10 to a deciderRzhevska leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMelnik100%3 of 3
AwayRzhevska100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Melnik3Rzhevska7n = 10Rzhevska took 7 of 10
S2Melnik5Rzhevska5n = 10split evenly
S3Melnik2Rzhevska8n = 10Rzhevska took 8 of 10
S4Melnik2Rzhevska4n = 6Rzhevska took 4 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricMelnikRzhevskaM − RBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match28.836.1−7.3per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMelnikRzhevskaBasisWin rate · lifetime77 / 253 vs 142 / 25730.4%55.3%77 / 253 vs 142 / 257Avg sets wonper match1.52.1per matchAvg pointsper match34.537.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RzhevskaMelnik 6.00/Rzhevska 1.11
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
87.9%
Rzhevska · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Rzhevska won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 6 · 15:10O. Melnik—111351A. Rzhevska—11811113
LAug 2 · 14:10O. Melnik—7111081A. Rzhevska—11912113
LJun 21 · 07:05O. Melnik—81030A. Rzhevska—1112113
LMay 17 · 13:40O. Melnik—211581A. Rzhevska—11911113
LApr 5 · 13:40O. Melnik—21060A. Rzhevska—1112113
LDec 28 · 07:05O. Melnik—7170A. Rzhevska—1111113
WSep 23 · 09:35O. Melnik—118911113A. Rzhevska—81111362
WSep 16 · 11:35O. Melnik—11611113A. Rzhevska—911481
LSep 7 · 16:40O. Melnik—711641A. Rzhevska—11911113
WAug 17 · 12:40O. Melnik—1111133A. Rzhevska—46110
O. Melnik10
LSep 6 · 14:10O. Melnik3.001031151O. Kolbasenko1.3612113113LSep 6 · 12:40O. Melnik3.00561181Y. Mykhailyk1.3611118113LSep 6 · 11:40O. Melnik2.636380A. Plashchynska1.441111113WAug 16 · 16:40O. Ponko1.737670O. Melnik2.001111113LAug 16 · 15:40O. Melnik2.63712111152A. Plashchynska1.441110135113LAug 16 · 14:40O. Melnik3.2511812652O. Kolbasenko1.335111011113LAug 16 · 13:10O. Melnik4.00781271V. Kurtenko1.22111110113LAug 16 · 11:10O. Melnik4.50113691P. Pashchenko1.1771111113LAug 9 · 15:39O. Kolbasenko1.441111113O. Melnik2.635830LAug 9 · 14:10V. Kurtenko1.221111109113O. Melnik4.0077121172
A. Rzhevska10
WSep 6 · 16:09Y. Mykhailyk2.201011751A. Rzhevska1.6112211113LSep 6 · 13:40A. Rzhevska1.50811481Y. Mykhailyk2.5011211113WSep 6 · 12:10A. Rzhevska1.28911511113O. Kolbasenko3.5011211392WSep 6 · 10:40A. Rzhevska1.051211113A. Plashchynska8.5010560LSep 1 · 10:30A. Rzhevska1.28109100V. Kurtenko3.501211123WSep 1 · 09:00A. Rzhevska1.50119114113Y. Mykhailyk2.5071141192LSep 1 · 07:30A. Rzhevska2.205860S. Yureneva1.611111113WSep 1 · 06:00A. Rzhevska1.061111113A. Plashchynska8.007630LSep 1 · 04:30A. Rzhevska1.738480P. Pashchenko2.001111113WAug 21 · 09:45A. Rzhevska2.10511512123S. Yureneva1.671191110102
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