TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #13085007
Played Sep 6Finished
Olha Kolbasenko
Home
1.30
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1125116111161012
Anhelina Plashchynska
Away
3.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:59 and never touched — 71.3% is still 71.3%
Graded at full timeOlha Kolbasenko to win
71.3%
71.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingOlha Kolbasenko above · Anhelina Plashchynska below
Set 1 · 11-2
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 85 set 5, 10-12 — our read held Olha Kolbasenko at 71.3%
85 points played in total.
H2H Olha Kolbasenko 39–24 Anhelina Plashchynska Anhelina Plashchynska has won 24 of their 63 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:59What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Kolbasenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
39-24 in 63
Kolbasenko
Wrong
gap of 15 in 63, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolbasenko 1363 vs Plashchynska 1296
Kolbasenko
Wrong
both rated, 67 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolbasenko 40% vs Plashchynska 20%
Kolbasenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolbasenko 50% vs Plashchynska 20%
Kolbasenko
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolbasenko -2 · Plashchynska +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Kolbasenko) · live re-read · sealed at 71% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolbasenko form (40%) is below what odds imply (77%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolbasenko 1.30 / Plashchynska 3.40
Signal prob.73% / 27%
Edge (Kolbasenko)+0.4pp
Setka Cup Women · #13085007
Kolbasenko1.30
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Plashchynska3.40
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKolbasenko8wins
AwayPlashchynska2wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKolbasenko leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolbasenko80%4 of 5
AwayPlashchynska20%1 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolbasenko5Plashchynska5n = 10split evenly
S2Kolbasenko6Plashchynska4n = 10Kolbasenko took 6 of 10
S3Kolbasenko8Plashchynska2n = 10Kolbasenko took 8 of 10
S4Kolbasenko4Plashchynska2n = 6Kolbasenko took 4 of 6
S5Kolbasenko3Plashchynska1n = 4Kolbasenko took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKolbasenkoPlashchynskaK − PBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.232.2+7.0per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolbasenkoPlashchynskaBasisWin rate · lifetime209 / 420 vs 90 / 30049.8%30%209 / 420 vs 90 / 300Avg sets wonper match1.91.4per matchAvg pointsper match35.532.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolbasenkoKolbasenko 1.30/Plashchynska 3.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
72.7%
Kolbasenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Plashchynska won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 6 · 15:42O. Kolbasenko—115128113A. Plashchynska—811101182
LSep 6 · 13:10O. Kolbasenko—115611102A. Plashchynska—211116123
WAug 16 · 12:40O. Kolbasenko—7111113123A. Plashchynska—111915102
WAug 9 · 13:40O. Kolbasenko—1111113A. Plashchynska—9460
WJul 18 · 06:00O. Kolbasenko—1111113A. Plashchynska—5640
WJul 10 · 12:30O. Kolbasenko—1111113A. Plashchynska—4640
WJul 7 · 09:35O. Kolbasenko—871111113A. Plashchynska—11118452
LJul 5 · 07:35O. Kolbasenko—7890A. Plashchynska—1111113
WJul 2 · 05:00O. Kolbasenko—71111113A. Plashchynska—118781
WJun 19 · 08:30O. Kolbasenko—41111113A. Plashchynska—116871
O. Kolbasenko10
WSep 6 · 15:42A. Plashchynska1.83811101182O. Kolbasenko1.83115128113WSep 6 · 14:10O. Melnik3.001031151O. Kolbasenko1.3612113113LSep 6 · 12:10A. Rzhevska1.28911511113O. Kolbasenko3.5011211392LSep 6 · 11:10O. Kolbasenko1.3685110Y. Mykhailyk3.001111133WAug 16 · 17:10V. Kurtenko1.307990O. Kolbasenko3.401111113LAug 16 · 16:10P. Pashchenko1.331111113O. Kolbasenko3.259840WAug 16 · 14:40O. Melnik3.2511812652O. Kolbasenko1.335111011113WAug 16 · 12:40A. Plashchynska3.40111915102O. Kolbasenko1.307111113123LAug 16 · 10:40O. Ponko3.751111133O. Kolbasenko1.2598110WAug 9 · 15:39O. Kolbasenko1.441111113O. Melnik2.635830
A. Plashchynska10
LSep 6 · 15:42A. Plashchynska1.83811101182O. Kolbasenko1.83115128113LSep 6 · 14:40Y. Mykhailyk1.221171111113A. Plashchynska4.0013117842WSep 6 · 11:40O. Melnik2.636380A. Plashchynska1.441111113LSep 6 · 10:40A. Rzhevska1.051211113A. Plashchynska8.5010560LSep 1 · 11:30S. Yureneva1.221181111113A. Plashchynska4.0081113452LSep 1 · 10:00A. Plashchynska6.004390P. Pashchenko1.111111113LSep 1 · 08:00Y. Mykhailyk1.251111113A. Plashchynska3.757870LSep 1 · 06:00A. Rzhevska1.061111113A. Plashchynska8.007630LSep 1 · 05:00V. Kurtenko1.141111113A. Plashchynska5.006990LAug 16 · 12:40A. Plashchynska3.40111915102O. Kolbasenko1.307111113123
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.