TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #12440023
Played Aug 16Finished
Olha Ponko
Home
3.75
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
0–4Last 4Lost last 4
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1191181311––––
Olha Kolbasenko
Away
1.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:24 and never touched — 60.8% is still 60.8%
Graded at full timeOlha Kolbasenko to win
60.8%
60.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingOlha Ponko above · Olha Kolbasenko below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 13-11
Point 63 set 3, 13-11 — our read held Olha Kolbasenko at 60.8%
63 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 16:24What took a side3 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (75%)
Kolbasenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Ponko 0% vs Kolbasenko 40%
Kolbasenko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ponko 0% vs Kolbasenko 40%
Kolbasenko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Ponko -4 · Kolbasenko +1
Ponko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Kolbasenko) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolbasenko form (40%) is below what odds imply (80%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPonko 3.75 / Kolbasenko 1.25
Signal prob.25% / 75%
Edge (Kolbasenko)+0.0pp
Setka Cup Women · #12440023
Ponko3.75
0%won 0 of 4 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest0%takes the first set · 0 of 4
Kolbasenko1.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricPonkoKolbasenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime0 / 4 vs 204 / 4100%49.8%0 / 4 vs 204 / 410Avg sets wonper match1.51.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolbasenkoPonko 3.75/Kolbasenko 1.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
75%
Kolbasenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Ponko won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
O. Ponko8
LAug 16 · 16:40O. Ponko1.737670O. Melnik2.001111113LAug 16 · 15:10O. Ponko5.001181171V. Kurtenko1.1413119113LAug 16 · 13:40O. Ponko1.73911491A. Plashchynska2.0011811113LAug 16 · 12:10O. Ponko4.505250P. Pashchenko1.171111113LJun 4 · 11:30O. Ponko3.407990S. Yureneva1.301111113LJun 4 · 09:28V. Kurtenko1.281111113O. Ponko3.509770LJun 4 · 07:28A. Telykh1.281111113O. Ponko3.506870LNov 3 · 17:50A. Pavlovic1.501411113O. Ponko2.5012680
O. Kolbasenko10
WSep 6 · 15:42A. Plashchynska1.83811101182O. Kolbasenko1.83115128113WSep 6 · 14:10O. Melnik3.001031151O. Kolbasenko1.3612113113LSep 6 · 13:10O. Kolbasenko1.30115611102A. Plashchynska3.40211116123LSep 6 · 12:10A. Rzhevska1.28911511113O. Kolbasenko3.5011211392LSep 6 · 11:10O. Kolbasenko1.3685110Y. Mykhailyk3.001111133WAug 16 · 17:10V. Kurtenko1.307990O. Kolbasenko3.401111113LAug 16 · 16:10P. Pashchenko1.331111113O. Kolbasenko3.259840WAug 16 · 14:40O. Melnik3.2511812652O. Kolbasenko1.335111011113WAug 16 · 12:40A. Plashchynska3.40111915102O. Kolbasenko1.307111113123WAug 9 · 15:39O. Kolbasenko1.441111113O. Melnik2.635830
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