TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #12461457
Played Aug 20Finished
Alina Kurtenko
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
811114115117––
Viktoria Kurtenko
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:00 and never touched — 62.5% is still 62.5%
Graded at full timeAlina Kurtenko to win
62.5%
62.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAlina Kurtenko above · Viktoria Kurtenko below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 68 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Alina Kurtenko at 62.5%
68 points played in total.
H2H Alina Kurtenko 13–12 Viktoria Kurtenko Viktoria Kurtenko has won 12 of their 25 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:00What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Kurtenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-12 in 25
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kurtenko 1647 vs Kurtenko 1520
Kurtenko
Correct
both rated, 127 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kurtenko 80% vs Kurtenko 40%
Kurtenko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kurtenko 50% vs Kurtenko 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kurtenko +4 · Kurtenko -1
Kurtenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Kurtenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kurtenko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKurtenko 1.67 / Kurtenko 2.10
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Kurtenko)+7.0pp
Setka Cup Women · #12461457
Kurtenko1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Kurtenko2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKurtenko7wins
AwayKurtenko3wins
6 of 10 to a deciderKurtenko leads 7–3, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKurtenko60%3 of 5
AwayKurtenko20%1 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kurtenko5Kurtenko5n = 10split evenly
S2Kurtenko4Kurtenko6n = 10Kurtenko took 6 of 10
S3Kurtenko4Kurtenko6n = 10Kurtenko took 6 of 10
S4Kurtenko6Kurtenko2n = 8Kurtenko took 6 of 8
S5Kurtenko5Kurtenko1n = 6Kurtenko took 5 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home550%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKurtenkoKurtenkoKurtenko − KurtenkoBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.340.0+1.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKurtenkoKurtenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime118 / 222 vs 93 / 18053.2%51.7%118 / 222 vs 93 / 180Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.836.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KurtenkoKurtenko 1.67/Kurtenko 2.10
Miss
What we said
62.8%
Kurtenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kurtenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 30 · 05:00A. Kurtenko—9101111113V. Kurtenko—11129882
WJul 21 · 10:30A. Kurtenko—111111113V. Kurtenko—137771
WJul 16 · 08:30A. Kurtenko—911116113V. Kurtenko—11891122
LJun 9 · 05:35A. Kurtenko—12791152V. Kurtenko—1011117113
WApr 27 · 10:30A. Kurtenko—611911113V. Kurtenko—11411972
LApr 26 · 13:10A. Kurtenko—6340V. Kurtenko—111153
LApr 7 · 07:00A. Kurtenko—118691V. Kurtenko—91111113
WMar 9 · 12:10A. Kurtenko—115911113V. Kurtenko—81111882
WJan 22 · 06:05A. Kurtenko—1112113V. Kurtenko—61090
WNov 12 · 09:05A. Kurtenko—117911113V. Kurtenko—61111892
A. Kurtenko10
WAug 20 · 15:10A. Kurtenko1.201110211113S. Yureneva4.3381211592WAug 20 · 13:40A. Kurtenko2.2551111113U. Dronova1.57117641WAug 20 · 12:10A. Kurtenko1.80115712113A. Rzhevska1.91311111092WAug 20 · 10:40A. Kurtenko1.1711119113A. Plashchynska4.50261151LAug 13 · 11:00I. Yevtodii1.17291111113A. Kurtenko4.5011118682LAug 13 · 10:00A. Rzhevska1.91311117113A. Kurtenko1.8011721172LAug 13 · 08:30U. Dronova1.671113113A. Kurtenko2.1031190LAug 13 · 06:30A. Ovriakh1.25981113113A. Kurtenko3.75111131162WAug 13 · 04:30N. Plokhotniuk1.2858110A. Kurtenko3.501111133LAug 12 · 11:30U. Dronova1.67116611113A. Kurtenko2.1031111932
V. Kurtenko10
WSep 1 · 10:30A. Rzhevska1.28109100V. Kurtenko3.501211123WSep 1 · 09:30V. Kurtenko1.911111113S. Yureneva1.804770LSep 1 · 08:30V. Kurtenko1.73111113552P. Pashchenko2.00481511113WSep 1 · 07:00V. Kurtenko1.301111113Y. Mykhailyk3.405760WSep 1 · 05:00V. Kurtenko1.141111113A. Plashchynska5.006990LAug 20 · 15:40V. Kurtenko3.00116951U. Dronova1.3671111113WAug 20 · 14:40V. Kurtenko1.141111113A. Plashchynska5.009580WAug 20 · 13:10V. Kurtenko1.831211113S. Yureneva1.8310960LAug 20 · 11:10V. Kurtenko3.7591111432A. Rzhevska1.25118811113LAug 16 · 17:10V. Kurtenko1.307990O. Kolbasenko3.401111113
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