TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #12461437
Played Aug 20Finished
Alina Kurtenko
Home
1.20
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1181012211115119
Svitlana Yureneva
Away
4.33
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:02 and never touched — 89.1% is still 89.1%
Graded at full timeAlina Kurtenko to win
89.1%
89.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAlina Kurtenko above · Svitlana Yureneva below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 2-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 90 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Alina Kurtenko at 89.1%
90 points played in total.
H2H Alina Kurtenko 42–3 Svitlana Yureneva Svitlana Yureneva has won 3 of their 45 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:02What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.20 (78%)
Kurtenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
42-3 in 45
Kurtenko
Correct
gap of 39 in 45, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kurtenko 1655 vs Yureneva 1491
Kurtenko
Correct
both rated, 164 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kurtenko 60% vs Yureneva 40%
Kurtenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kurtenko 40% vs Yureneva 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kurtenko +3 · Yureneva +1
Kurtenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 94% — Strong (leans Kurtenko) · live re-read · sealed at 89% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Yureneva form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (23%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKurtenko 1.20 / Yureneva 4.33
Signal prob.94% / 6%
Edge (Kurtenko)+15.8pp
Setka Cup Women · #12461437
Kurtenko1.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Yureneva4.33
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKurtenko10wins
AwayYureneva0wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKurtenko leads 10–0, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKurtenko100%5 of 5
AwayYureneva0%0 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kurtenko5Yureneva5n = 10split evenly
S2Kurtenko7Yureneva3n = 10Kurtenko took 7 of 10
S3Kurtenko8Yureneva2n = 10Kurtenko took 8 of 10
S4Kurtenko6Yureneva2n = 8Kurtenko took 6 of 8
S5Kurtenko4Yureneva0n = 4Kurtenko took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKurtenkoYurenevaK − YBasisWins100+10in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match44.337.0+7.3per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKurtenkoYurenevaBasisWin rate · lifetime119 / 223 vs 366 / 59753.4%61.3%119 / 223 vs 366 / 597Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KurtenkoKurtenko 1.20/Yureneva 4.33
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
94.1%
Kurtenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kurtenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 20 · 15:10A. Kurtenko—1110211113S. Yureneva—81211592
WAug 5 · 10:18A. Kurtenko—1111113S. Yureneva—9570
WAug 5 · 04:30A. Kurtenko—11511163S. Yureneva—9117141
WJul 30 · 11:30A. Kurtenko—41111123S. Yureneva—1198101
WJul 21 · 09:00A. Kurtenko—513911113S. Yureneva—111111262
WJul 16 · 06:30A. Kurtenko—1111113S. Yureneva—7550
WJun 25 · 05:30A. Kurtenko—61111113S. Yureneva—119691
WJun 9 · 12:05A. Kurtenko—11101116113S. Yureneva—31271852
WMay 30 · 10:05A. Kurtenko—121311113S. Yureneva—1411681
WMay 17 · 14:10A. Kurtenko—12111113103S. Yureneva—14461592
A. Kurtenko10
WAug 20 · 16:40A. Kurtenko1.6781111113V. Kurtenko2.10114571WAug 20 · 13:40A. Kurtenko2.2551111113U. Dronova1.57117641WAug 20 · 12:10A. Kurtenko1.80115712113A. Rzhevska1.91311111092WAug 20 · 10:40A. Kurtenko1.1711119113A. Plashchynska4.50261151LAug 13 · 11:00I. Yevtodii1.17291111113A. Kurtenko4.5011118682LAug 13 · 10:00A. Rzhevska1.91311117113A. Kurtenko1.8011721172LAug 13 · 08:30U. Dronova1.671113113A. Kurtenko2.1031190LAug 13 · 06:30A. Ovriakh1.25981113113A. Kurtenko3.75111131162WAug 13 · 04:30N. Plokhotniuk1.2858110A. Kurtenko3.501111133LAug 12 · 11:30U. Dronova1.67116611113A. Kurtenko2.1031111932
S. Yureneva10
WSep 1 · 11:30S. Yureneva1.221181111113A. Plashchynska4.0081113452LSep 1 · 09:30V. Kurtenko1.911111113S. Yureneva1.804770WSep 1 · 07:30A. Rzhevska2.205860S. Yureneva1.611111113LSep 1 · 06:30S. Yureneva1.44111141042P. Pashchenko2.63641112113WSep 1 · 05:30Y. Mykhailyk3.00811651S. Yureneva1.3611711113LAug 21 · 09:45A. Rzhevska2.10511512123S. Yureneva1.671191110102WAug 21 · 08:00Y. Mykhailyk3.00410120S. Yureneva1.361112143WAug 21 · 07:00S. Yureneva1.531111113P. Pashchenko2.383770WAug 21 · 06:00U. Dronova1.30118111382S. Yureneva3.40611715113WAug 21 · 05:00S. Yureneva1.67971111113A. Rzhevska2.1011119482
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