TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #12417209
Played Aug 13Finished
Anna Rzhevska
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
311117112711117
Alina Kurtenko
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:30 and never touched — 61.5% is still 61.5%
Graded at full timeAlina Kurtenko to win
61.5%
61.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongpick shipped
How it is goingAnna Rzhevska above · Alina Kurtenko below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-2
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 81 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Alina Kurtenko at 61.5%
81 points played in total.
H2H Anna Rzhevska 21–17 Alina Kurtenko Alina Kurtenko has won 17 of their 38 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 23:30What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Kurtenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
21-17 in 38
Rzhevska
Correct
gap of 4 in 38, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rzhevska 1495 vs Kurtenko 1634
Kurtenko
Wrong
both rated, 139 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rzhevska 40% vs Kurtenko 20%
Rzhevska
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rzhevska 60% vs Kurtenko 30%
Rzhevska
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Rzhevska -2 · Kurtenko -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Kurtenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kurtenko form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRzhevska 1.91 / Kurtenko 1.80
Signal prob.39% / 62%
Edge (Kurtenko)+10.0pp
Setka Cup Women · #12417209
Rzhevska1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Kurtenko1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRzhevska3wins
AwayKurtenko7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKurtenko leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRzhevska50%3 of 6
AwayKurtenko100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rzhevska6Kurtenko4n = 10Rzhevska took 6 of 10
S2Rzhevska3Kurtenko7n = 10Kurtenko took 7 of 10
S3Rzhevska4Kurtenko6n = 10Kurtenko took 6 of 10
S4Rzhevska3Kurtenko3n = 6split evenly
S5Rzhevska1Kurtenko3n = 4Kurtenko took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricRzhevskaKurtenkoR − KBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.939.4−0.5per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRzhevskaKurtenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime140 / 254 vs 114 / 21655.1%52.8%140 / 254 vs 114 / 216Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KurtenkoRzhevska 1.91/Kurtenko 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.5%
Kurtenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Rzhevska won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 5 · 05:30A. Rzhevska—115961A. Kurtenko—81111113
LJul 30 · 10:00A. Rzhevska—1112991A. Kurtenko—131011113
WJul 23 · 08:30A. Rzhevska—1111113A. Kurtenko—9580
LJul 22 · 10:00A. Rzhevska—126111272A. Kurtenko—1011214103
LJul 22 · 05:00A. Rzhevska—12830A. Kurtenko—1411113
LJul 16 · 04:30A. Rzhevska—79100A. Kurtenko—1111123
WJun 25 · 08:00A. Rzhevska—1171011113A. Kurtenko—91112982
WJun 24 · 07:35A. Rzhevska—1811113A. Kurtenko—16860
LJun 18 · 11:00A. Rzhevska—119111182A. Kurtenko—511132113
LMay 30 · 12:05A. Rzhevska—871111102A. Kurtenko—111159123
A. Rzhevska10
WSep 6 · 16:09Y. Mykhailyk2.201011751A. Rzhevska1.6112211113WSep 6 · 15:10O. Melnik6.00111351A. Rzhevska1.1111811113LSep 6 · 13:40A. Rzhevska1.50811481Y. Mykhailyk2.5011211113WSep 6 · 12:10A. Rzhevska1.28911511113O. Kolbasenko3.5011211392WSep 6 · 10:40A. Rzhevska1.051211113A. Plashchynska8.5010560LSep 1 · 10:30A. Rzhevska1.28109100V. Kurtenko3.501211123WSep 1 · 09:00A. Rzhevska1.50119114113Y. Mykhailyk2.5071141192LSep 1 · 07:30A. Rzhevska2.205860S. Yureneva1.611111113WSep 1 · 06:00A. Rzhevska1.061111113A. Plashchynska8.007630LSep 1 · 04:30A. Rzhevska1.738480P. Pashchenko2.001111113
A. Kurtenko10
WAug 20 · 16:40A. Kurtenko1.6781111113V. Kurtenko2.10114571WAug 20 · 15:10A. Kurtenko1.201110211113S. Yureneva4.3381211592WAug 20 · 13:40A. Kurtenko2.2551111113U. Dronova1.57117641WAug 20 · 12:10A. Kurtenko1.80115712113A. Rzhevska1.91311111092WAug 20 · 10:40A. Kurtenko1.1711119113A. Plashchynska4.50261151LAug 13 · 11:00I. Yevtodii1.17291111113A. Kurtenko4.5011118682LAug 13 · 08:30U. Dronova1.671113113A. Kurtenko2.1031190LAug 13 · 06:30A. Ovriakh1.25981113113A. Kurtenko3.75111131162WAug 13 · 04:30N. Plokhotniuk1.2858110A. Kurtenko3.501111133LAug 12 · 11:30U. Dronova1.67116611113A. Kurtenko2.1031111932
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