TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #12461454
Played Aug 20Finished
Alina Kurtenko
Home
1.17
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
112116911115––
Anhelina Plashchynska
Away
4.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:06 and never touched — 86.4% is still 86.4%
Graded at full timeAlina Kurtenko to win
86.4%
86.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAlina Kurtenko above · Anhelina Plashchynska below
Set 1 · 11-2
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 66 set 4, 11-5 — our read held Alina Kurtenko at 86.4%
66 points played in total.
H2H Alina Kurtenko 3–1 Anhelina Plashchynska Anhelina Plashchynska has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:06What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.17 (79%)
Kurtenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-1 in 4
Kurtenko
Correct
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kurtenko 1619 vs Plashchynska 1244
Kurtenko
Correct
both rated, 374 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kurtenko 20% vs Plashchynska 60%
Plashchynska
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kurtenko 10% vs Plashchynska 30%
Plashchynska
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kurtenko -4 · Plashchynska +2
Kurtenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 79% — Strong (leans Kurtenko) · live re-read · sealed at 86% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Plashchynska form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (22%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKurtenko 1.17 / Plashchynska 4.50
Signal prob.79% / 21%
Edge (Kurtenko)-0.0pp
Setka Cup Women · #12461454
Kurtenko1.17
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Plashchynska4.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeKurtenko3wins
AwayPlashchynska1wins
1 of 4 to a deciderKurtenko leads 3–1, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKurtenko66.7%2 of 3
AwayPlashchynskan = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kurtenko3Plashchynska1n = 4Kurtenko took 3 of 4
S2Kurtenko2Plashchynska2n = 4split evenly
S3Kurtenko2Plashchynska2n = 4split evenly
S4Kurtenko2Plashchynska1n = 3Kurtenko took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricKurtenkoPlashchynskaK − PBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match41.034.8+6.2per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKurtenkoPlashchynskaBasisWin rate · lifetime115 / 219 vs 87 / 28652.5%30.4%115 / 219 vs 87 / 286Avg sets wonper match2.11.4per matchAvg pointsper match37.732.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KurtenkoKurtenko 1.17/Plashchynska 4.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
79.4%
Kurtenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kurtenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WAug 20 · 10:40A. Kurtenko—11119113A. Plashchynska—261151
LJul 21 · 06:00A. Kurtenko—1195111A. Plashchynska—81111133
WMay 13 · 11:04A. Kurtenko—8101111113A. Plashchynska—11129872
WJan 5 · 07:30A. Kurtenko—1311113A. Plashchynska—11680
A. Kurtenko10
WAug 20 · 16:40A. Kurtenko1.6781111113V. Kurtenko2.10114571WAug 20 · 15:10A. Kurtenko1.201110211113S. Yureneva4.3381211592WAug 20 · 13:40A. Kurtenko2.2551111113U. Dronova1.57117641WAug 20 · 12:10A. Kurtenko1.80115712113A. Rzhevska1.91311111092LAug 13 · 11:00I. Yevtodii1.17291111113A. Kurtenko4.5011118682LAug 13 · 10:00A. Rzhevska1.91311117113A. Kurtenko1.8011721172LAug 13 · 08:30U. Dronova1.671113113A. Kurtenko2.1031190LAug 13 · 06:30A. Ovriakh1.25981113113A. Kurtenko3.75111131162WAug 13 · 04:30N. Plokhotniuk1.2858110A. Kurtenko3.501111133LAug 12 · 11:30U. Dronova1.67116611113A. Kurtenko2.1031111932
A. Plashchynska10
LSep 6 · 15:42A. Plashchynska1.83811101182O. Kolbasenko1.83115128113LSep 6 · 14:40Y. Mykhailyk1.221171111113A. Plashchynska4.0013117842WSep 6 · 13:10O. Kolbasenko1.30115611102A. Plashchynska3.40211116123WSep 6 · 11:40O. Melnik2.636380A. Plashchynska1.441111113LSep 6 · 10:40A. Rzhevska1.051211113A. Plashchynska8.5010560LSep 1 · 11:30S. Yureneva1.221181111113A. Plashchynska4.0081113452LSep 1 · 10:00A. Plashchynska6.004390P. Pashchenko1.111111113LSep 1 · 08:00Y. Mykhailyk1.251111113A. Plashchynska3.757870LSep 1 · 06:00A. Rzhevska1.061111113A. Plashchynska8.007630LSep 1 · 05:00V. Kurtenko1.141111113A. Plashchynska5.006990
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