TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #13055150
Played Sep 1Finished
Svitlana Yureneva
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1161144111012411
Polina Pashchenko
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:07 and never touched — 68.0% is still 68.0%
Graded at full timeSvitlana Yureneva to win
68.0%
68.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingSvitlana Yureneva above · Polina Pashchenko below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 4-11
Point 84 set 5, 4-11 — our read held Svitlana Yureneva at 68.0%
84 points played in total.
H2H Svitlana Yureneva 11–3 Polina Pashchenko Polina Pashchenko has won 3 of their 14 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:07What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Yureneva
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-3 in 14
Yureneva
Wrong
gap of 8 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Yureneva 1533 vs Pashchenko 1527
Yureneva
Wrong
both rated, 6 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Yureneva 80% vs Pashchenko 40%
Yureneva
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Yureneva 60% vs Pashchenko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Yureneva +1 · Pashchenko +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Yureneva) · live re-read · sealed at 68% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Yureneva form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsYureneva 1.44 / Pashchenko 2.63
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Yureneva)-0.6pp
Setka Cup Women · #13055150
Yureneva1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Pashchenko2.63
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeYureneva8wins
AwayPashchenko2wins
3 of 10 to a deciderYureneva leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeYureneva83.3%5 of 6
AwayPashchenko25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Yureneva6Pashchenko4n = 10Yureneva took 6 of 10
S2Yureneva6Pashchenko4n = 10Yureneva took 6 of 10
S3Yureneva8Pashchenko2n = 10Yureneva took 8 of 10
S4Yureneva4Pashchenko2n = 6Yureneva took 4 of 6
S5Yureneva2Pashchenko1n = 3Yureneva took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricYurenevaPashchenkoY − PBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.835.3+4.5per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricYurenevaPashchenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime359 / 592 vs 68 / 12260.6%55.7%359 / 592 vs 68 / 122Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.236.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
YurenevaYureneva 1.44/Pashchenko 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
63.9%
Yureneva · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Pashchenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 1 · 06:30S. Yureneva—111141042P. Pashchenko—641112113
WAug 21 · 07:00S. Yureneva—1111113P. Pashchenko—3770
WAug 4 · 05:30S. Yureneva—711114123P. Pashchenko—117511102
WJul 30 · 05:30S. Yureneva—1111113P. Pashchenko—9470
WJul 21 · 11:00S. Yureneva—14711113P. Pashchenko—1211751
WJul 12 · 05:05S. Yureneva—41111113P. Pashchenko—119881
WJul 1 · 06:05S. Yureneva—1911113P. Pashchenko—17890
WJun 21 · 10:36S. Yureneva—111217113P. Pashchenko—9141561
LJun 21 · 07:35S. Yureneva—11960P. Pashchenko—1311113
WJun 19 · 09:00S. Yureneva—791111113P. Pashchenko—11118862
S. Yureneva10
WSep 1 · 11:30S. Yureneva1.221181111113A. Plashchynska4.0081113452LSep 1 · 09:30V. Kurtenko1.911111113S. Yureneva1.804770WSep 1 · 07:30A. Rzhevska2.205860S. Yureneva1.611111113WSep 1 · 05:30Y. Mykhailyk3.00811651S. Yureneva1.3611711113LAug 21 · 09:45A. Rzhevska2.10511512123S. Yureneva1.671191110102WAug 21 · 08:00Y. Mykhailyk3.00410120S. Yureneva1.361112143WAug 21 · 07:00S. Yureneva1.531111113P. Pashchenko2.383770WAug 21 · 06:00U. Dronova1.30118111382S. Yureneva3.40611715113WAug 21 · 05:00S. Yureneva1.67971111113A. Rzhevska2.1011119482LAug 20 · 17:10S. Yureneva1.1710940A. Plashchynska4.501211113
P. Pashchenko10
LSep 1 · 11:00Y. Mykhailyk1.8011411113P. Pashchenko1.91811781WSep 1 · 10:00A. Plashchynska6.004390P. Pashchenko1.111111113WSep 1 · 08:30V. Kurtenko1.73111113552P. Pashchenko2.00481511113WSep 1 · 04:30A. Rzhevska1.738480P. Pashchenko2.001111113WAug 21 · 10:14P. Pashchenko2.2511119113Y. Mykhailyk1.57461141LAug 21 · 08:30A. Rzhevska1.9171111113P. Pashchenko1.80117291LAug 21 · 07:00S. Yureneva1.531111113P. Pashchenko2.383770LAug 21 · 05:30Y. Mykhailyk1.5711118113P. Pashchenko2.25591131WAug 21 · 04:30U. Dronova1.576131171P. Pashchenko2.2511157113WAug 16 · 16:10P. Pashchenko1.331111113O. Kolbasenko3.259840
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.