TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #12461423
Played Aug 20Finished
Svitlana Yureneva
Home
1.17
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1012911411––––
Anhelina Plashchynska
Away
4.50
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:00 and never touched — 95.0% is still 95.0%
Graded at full timeSvitlana Yureneva to win
95.0%
95.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingSvitlana Yureneva above · Anhelina Plashchynska below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Point 57 set 3, 4-11 — our read held Svitlana Yureneva at 95.0%
57 points played in total.
H2H Svitlana Yureneva 45–10 Anhelina Plashchynska Anhelina Plashchynska has won 10 of their 55 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:00What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.17 (79%)
Yureneva
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
45-10 in 55
Yureneva
Wrong
gap of 35 in 55, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Yureneva 1491 vs Plashchynska 1256
Yureneva
Wrong
both rated, 235 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Yureneva 40% vs Plashchynska 20%
Yureneva
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Yureneva 40% vs Plashchynska 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Yureneva -1 · Plashchynska -4
Plashchynska
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 88% — Strong (leans Yureneva) · live re-read · sealed at 95% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Yureneva form (40%) is below what odds imply (86%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsYureneva 1.17 / Plashchynska 4.50
Signal prob.88% / 12%
Edge (Yureneva)+8.8pp
Setka Cup Women · #12461423
Yureneva1.17
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Plashchynska4.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeYureneva7wins
AwayPlashchynska3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderYureneva leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeYureneva85.7%6 of 7
AwayPlashchynska66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Yureneva7Plashchynska3n = 10Yureneva took 7 of 10
S2Yureneva7Plashchynska3n = 10Yureneva took 7 of 10
S3Yureneva7Plashchynska3n = 10Yureneva took 7 of 10
S4Yureneva2Plashchynska2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricYurenevaPlashchynskaY − PBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match36.428.4+8.0per matchSweeps51+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricYurenevaPlashchynskaBasisWin rate · lifetime366 / 597 vs 88 / 29061.3%30.3%366 / 597 vs 88 / 290Avg sets wonper match2.21.4per matchAvg pointsper match37.132.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
YurenevaYureneva 1.17/Plashchynska 4.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
88.2%
Yureneva · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Plashchynska won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 20 · 17:10S. Yureneva—10940A. Plashchynska—1211113
WAug 11 · 06:05S. Yureneva—1111113A. Plashchynska—7950
WJul 21 · 08:00S. Yureneva—1111113A. Plashchynska—6740
LJul 15 · 14:10S. Yureneva—1495101A. Plashchynska—121111123
WJul 1 · 08:35S. Yureneva—121111113A. Plashchynska—144351
WJun 19 · 11:00S. Yureneva—1110113113A. Plashchynska—41241142
WJun 16 · 07:05S. Yureneva—1111113A. Plashchynska—3460
LJun 4 · 10:00S. Yureneva—71681152A. Plashchynska—1114117113
WJun 2 · 12:05S. Yureneva—1111113A. Plashchynska—9840
WMay 31 · 17:40S. Yureneva—1111113A. Plashchynska—4760
S. Yureneva10
WSep 1 · 11:30S. Yureneva1.221181111113A. Plashchynska4.0081113452LSep 1 · 09:30V. Kurtenko1.911111113S. Yureneva1.804770WSep 1 · 07:30A. Rzhevska2.205860S. Yureneva1.611111113LSep 1 · 06:30S. Yureneva1.44111141042P. Pashchenko2.63641112113WSep 1 · 05:30Y. Mykhailyk3.00811651S. Yureneva1.3611711113LAug 21 · 09:45A. Rzhevska2.10511512123S. Yureneva1.671191110102WAug 21 · 08:00Y. Mykhailyk3.00410120S. Yureneva1.361112143WAug 21 · 07:00S. Yureneva1.531111113P. Pashchenko2.383770WAug 21 · 06:00U. Dronova1.30118111382S. Yureneva3.40611715113WAug 21 · 05:00S. Yureneva1.67971111113A. Rzhevska2.1011119482
A. Plashchynska10
LSep 6 · 15:42A. Plashchynska1.83811101182O. Kolbasenko1.83115128113LSep 6 · 14:40Y. Mykhailyk1.221171111113A. Plashchynska4.0013117842WSep 6 · 13:10O. Kolbasenko1.30115611102A. Plashchynska3.40211116123WSep 6 · 11:40O. Melnik2.636380A. Plashchynska1.441111113LSep 6 · 10:40A. Rzhevska1.051211113A. Plashchynska8.5010560LSep 1 · 11:30S. Yureneva1.221181111113A. Plashchynska4.0081113452LSep 1 · 10:00A. Plashchynska6.004390P. Pashchenko1.111111113LSep 1 · 08:00Y. Mykhailyk1.251111113A. Plashchynska3.757870LSep 1 · 06:00A. Rzhevska1.061111113A. Plashchynska8.007630LSep 1 · 05:00V. Kurtenko1.141111113A. Plashchynska5.006990
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