TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #12466663
Played Aug 21Finished
Yana Mykhailyk
Home
3.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
41110121214––––
Svitlana Yureneva
Away
1.36
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:24 and never touched — 72.8% is still 72.8%
Graded at full timeSvitlana Yureneva to win
72.8%
72.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYana Mykhailyk above · Svitlana Yureneva below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 12-14
Point 63 set 3, 12-14 — our read held Svitlana Yureneva at 72.8%
63 points played in total.
H2H Yana Mykhailyk 42–102 Svitlana Yureneva Yana Mykhailyk has won 42 of their 144 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:24What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Yureneva
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
42-102 in 144
Yureneva
Correct
gap of 60 in 144, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mykhailyk 1484 vs Yureneva 1530
Yureneva
Correct
both rated, 46 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mykhailyk 40% vs Yureneva 60%
Yureneva
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mykhailyk 50% vs Yureneva 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Mykhailyk -1 · Yureneva +3
Yureneva
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Yureneva) · live re-read · sealed at 73% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Yureneva form (60%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMykhailyk 3.00 / Yureneva 1.36
Signal prob.25% / 75%
Edge (Yureneva)+6.0pp
Setka Cup Women · #12466663
Mykhailyk3.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Yureneva1.36
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMykhailyk3wins
AwayYureneva7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderYureneva leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMykhailyk100%3 of 3
AwayYureneva100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mykhailyk3Yureneva7n = 10Yureneva took 7 of 10
S2Mykhailyk3Yureneva7n = 10Yureneva took 7 of 10
S3Mykhailyk3Yureneva7n = 10Yureneva took 7 of 10
S4Mykhailyk2Yureneva2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricMykhailykYurenevaM − YBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match29.037.4−8.4per matchSweeps15−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMykhailykYurenevaBasisWin rate · lifetime242 / 503 vs 369 / 60048.1%61.5%242 / 503 vs 369 / 600Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match35.637.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
YurenevaMykhailyk 3.00/Yureneva 1.36
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
74.8%
Yureneva · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Yureneva won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 5 · 06:00Y. Mykhailyk—8520S. Yureneva—1111113
LAug 4 · 09:31Y. Mykhailyk—1112125102S. Yureneva—13101011123
LAug 4 · 06:30Y. Mykhailyk—87120S. Yureneva—1111143
LJul 21 · 05:30Y. Mykhailyk—5730S. Yureneva—1111113
WJul 16 · 11:30Y. Mykhailyk—1112133S. Yureneva—910110
LJul 15 · 12:10Y. Mykhailyk—4980S. Yureneva—1111113
WJul 12 · 10:38Y. Mykhailyk—119611113S. Yureneva—71111782
WJul 12 · 08:05Y. Mykhailyk—12311113S. Yureneva—1011781
LJul 1 · 07:05Y. Mykhailyk—311851S. Yureneva—11711113
LJun 21 · 06:35Y. Mykhailyk—5450S. Yureneva—1111113
Y. Mykhailyk10
LSep 6 · 16:09Y. Mykhailyk2.201011751A. Rzhevska1.6112211113WSep 6 · 14:40Y. Mykhailyk1.221171111113A. Plashchynska4.0013117842WSep 6 · 13:40A. Rzhevska1.50811481Y. Mykhailyk2.5011211113WSep 6 · 12:40O. Melnik3.00561181Y. Mykhailyk1.3611118113WSep 6 · 11:10O. Kolbasenko1.3685110Y. Mykhailyk3.001111133WSep 1 · 11:00Y. Mykhailyk1.8011411113P. Pashchenko1.91811781LSep 1 · 09:00A. Rzhevska1.50119114113Y. Mykhailyk2.5071141192WSep 1 · 08:00Y. Mykhailyk1.251111113A. Plashchynska3.757870LSep 1 · 07:00V. Kurtenko1.301111113Y. Mykhailyk3.405760LSep 1 · 05:30Y. Mykhailyk3.00811651S. Yureneva1.3611711113
S. Yureneva10
WSep 1 · 11:30S. Yureneva1.221181111113A. Plashchynska4.0081113452LSep 1 · 09:30V. Kurtenko1.911111113S. Yureneva1.804770WSep 1 · 07:30A. Rzhevska2.205860S. Yureneva1.611111113LSep 1 · 06:30S. Yureneva1.44111141042P. Pashchenko2.63641112113WSep 1 · 05:30Y. Mykhailyk3.00811651S. Yureneva1.3611711113LAug 21 · 09:45A. Rzhevska2.10511512123S. Yureneva1.671191110102WAug 21 · 07:00S. Yureneva1.531111113P. Pashchenko2.383770WAug 21 · 06:00U. Dronova1.30118111382S. Yureneva3.40611715113WAug 21 · 05:00S. Yureneva1.67971111113A. Rzhevska2.1011119482LAug 20 · 17:10S. Yureneva1.1710940A. Plashchynska4.501211113
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