TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #12466664
Played Aug 21Finished
Ulana Dronova
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
6111315117711––
Polina Pashchenko
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:26 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeUlana Dronova to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingUlana Dronova above · Polina Pashchenko below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 13-15
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 81 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Ulana Dronova at 58.9%
81 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:26What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Dronova
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Dronova 1589 vs Pashchenko 1510
Dronova
Wrong
both rated, 78 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dronova 60% vs Pashchenko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dronova 40% vs Pashchenko 80%
Pashchenko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Dronova -1 · Pashchenko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Dronova)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pashchenko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDronova 1.57 / Pashchenko 2.25
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Dronova)+0.0pp
Setka Cup Women · #12466664
Dronova1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Pashchenko2.25
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricDronovaPashchenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime46 / 101 vs 62 / 11245.5%55.4%46 / 101 vs 62 / 112Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.436.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DronovaDronova 1.57/Pashchenko 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.9%
Dronova · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Pashchenko won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
U. Dronova10
WAug 21 · 09:00Y. Mykhailyk3.40136811102U. Dronova1.301111115123LAug 21 · 07:30U. Dronova1.801250A. Rzhevska1.911111113LAug 21 · 06:00U. Dronova1.30118111382S. Yureneva3.40611715113LAug 20 · 17:40U. Dronova1.7311114142A. Rzhevska2.00431111113WAug 20 · 15:40V. Kurtenko3.00116951U. Dronova1.3671111113LAug 20 · 13:40A. Kurtenko2.2551111113U. Dronova1.57117641WAug 20 · 12:40U. Dronova1.131111113A. Plashchynska5.503470WAug 20 · 11:40S. Yureneva3.2511118652U. Dronova1.33491111113LAug 13 · 10:30N. Plokhotniuk1.501111113U. Dronova2.508720LAug 13 · 09:30U. Dronova2.005680A. Ovriakh1.731111113
P. Pashchenko10
LSep 1 · 11:00Y. Mykhailyk1.8011411113P. Pashchenko1.91811781WSep 1 · 10:00A. Plashchynska6.004390P. Pashchenko1.111111113WSep 1 · 08:30V. Kurtenko1.73111113552P. Pashchenko2.00481511113WSep 1 · 06:30S. Yureneva1.44111141042P. Pashchenko2.63641112113WSep 1 · 04:30A. Rzhevska1.738480P. Pashchenko2.001111113WAug 21 · 10:14P. Pashchenko2.2511119113Y. Mykhailyk1.57461141LAug 21 · 08:30A. Rzhevska1.9171111113P. Pashchenko1.80117291LAug 21 · 07:00S. Yureneva1.531111113P. Pashchenko2.383770LAug 21 · 05:30Y. Mykhailyk1.5711118113P. Pashchenko2.25591131WAug 16 · 16:10P. Pashchenko1.331111113O. Kolbasenko3.259840
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