TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #12461461
Played Aug 20Finished
Ulana Dronova
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
114113411111411
Anna Rzhevska
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:59 and never touched — 60.7% is still 60.7%
Graded at full timeUlana Dronova to win
60.7%
60.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingUlana Dronova above · Anna Rzhevska below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 1-11
Set 5 · 4-11
Point 71 set 5, 4-11 — our read held Ulana Dronova at 60.7%
71 points played in total.
H2H Ulana Dronova 0–3 Anna Rzhevska Ulana Dronova has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:59What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Dronova
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-3 in 3
Rzhevska
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dronova 1603 vs Rzhevska 1505
Dronova
Wrong
both rated, 98 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dronova 60% vs Rzhevska 40%
Dronova
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dronova 50% vs Rzhevska 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Dronova +1 · Rzhevska +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Dronova) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDronova 1.73 / Rzhevska 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Dronova)+0.3pp
Setka Cup Women · #12461461
Dronova1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Rzhevska2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeDronova0wins
AwayRzhevska3wins
1 of 3 to a deciderRzhevska leads 3–0, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDronova0%0 of 3
AwayRzhevskan = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dronova3Rzhevska0n = 3Dronova took 3 of 3
S2Dronova1Rzhevska2n = 3Rzhevska took 2 of 3
S3Dronova0Rzhevska3n = 3Rzhevska took 3 of 3
S4Dronova0Rzhevska3n = 3Rzhevska took 3 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away267%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricDronovaRzhevskaD − RBasisWins03−3in 3 meetingsFirst set30+3of 3Avg pointsper match29.042.3−13.3per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDronovaRzhevskaBasisWin rate · lifetime46 / 100 vs 139 / 25546%54.5%46 / 100 vs 139 / 255Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.437.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DronovaDronova 1.73/Rzhevska 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Dronova · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Rzhevska won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LAug 13 · 05:00U. Dronova—119691A. Rzhevska—71111113
LJul 16 · 09:00U. Dronova—115121A. Rzhevska—71111113
LApr 6 · 13:40U. Dronova—11117132A. Rzhevska—681111113
U. Dronova10
WAug 21 · 09:00Y. Mykhailyk3.40136811102U. Dronova1.301111115123LAug 21 · 07:30U. Dronova1.801250A. Rzhevska1.911111113LAug 21 · 06:00U. Dronova1.30118111382S. Yureneva3.40611715113LAug 21 · 04:30U. Dronova1.576131171P. Pashchenko2.2511157113WAug 20 · 15:40V. Kurtenko3.00116951U. Dronova1.3671111113LAug 20 · 13:40A. Kurtenko2.2551111113U. Dronova1.57117641WAug 20 · 12:40U. Dronova1.131111113A. Plashchynska5.503470WAug 20 · 11:40S. Yureneva3.2511118652U. Dronova1.33491111113LAug 13 · 10:30N. Plokhotniuk1.501111113U. Dronova2.508720LAug 13 · 09:30U. Dronova2.005680A. Ovriakh1.731111113
A. Rzhevska10
WSep 6 · 16:09Y. Mykhailyk2.201011751A. Rzhevska1.6112211113WSep 6 · 15:10O. Melnik6.00111351A. Rzhevska1.1111811113LSep 6 · 13:40A. Rzhevska1.50811481Y. Mykhailyk2.5011211113WSep 6 · 12:10A. Rzhevska1.28911511113O. Kolbasenko3.5011211392WSep 6 · 10:40A. Rzhevska1.051211113A. Plashchynska8.5010560LSep 1 · 10:30A. Rzhevska1.28109100V. Kurtenko3.501211123WSep 1 · 09:00A. Rzhevska1.50119114113Y. Mykhailyk2.5071141192LSep 1 · 07:30A. Rzhevska2.205860S. Yureneva1.611111113WSep 1 · 06:00A. Rzhevska1.061111113A. Plashchynska8.007630WAug 21 · 07:30U. Dronova1.801250A. Rzhevska1.911111113
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