TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #12417160
Played Aug 13Finished
Alina Ovriakh
Home
1.17
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119119117––––
Anna Rzhevska
Away
4.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:30 and never touched — 95.0% is still 95.0%
Graded at full timeAlina Ovriakh to win
95.0%
95.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAlina Ovriakh above · Anna Rzhevska below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 58 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Alina Ovriakh at 95.0%
58 points played in total.
H2H Alina Ovriakh 10–2 Anna Rzhevska Anna Rzhevska has won 2 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 23:30What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.17 (79%)
Ovriakh
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-2 in 12
Ovriakh
Correct
gap of 8 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ovriakh 1865 vs Rzhevska 1511
Ovriakh
Correct
both rated, 354 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ovriakh 80% vs Rzhevska 40%
Ovriakh
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ovriakh 60% vs Rzhevska 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Ovriakh +3 · Rzhevska +1
Ovriakh
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 95% — Strong (leans Ovriakh)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rzhevska form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (22%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOvriakh 1.17 / Rzhevska 4.50
Signal prob.95% / 5%
Edge (Ovriakh)+15.6pp
Setka Cup Women · #12417160
Ovriakh1.17
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Rzhevska4.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeOvriakh8wins
AwayRzhevska2wins
Ovriakh leads 8–2.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOvriakh100%7 of 7
AwayRzhevska66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ovriakh7Rzhevska3n = 10Ovriakh took 7 of 10
S2Ovriakh8Rzhevska2n = 10Ovriakh took 8 of 10
S3Ovriakh8Rzhevska2n = 10Ovriakh took 8 of 10
S4Ovriakh3Rzhevska2n = 5Ovriakh took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricOvriakhRzhevskaO − RBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match35.829.4+6.4per matchSweeps50+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOvriakhRzhevskaBasisWin rate · lifetime50 / 77 vs 141 / 25564.9%55.3%50 / 77 vs 141 / 255Avg sets wonper match2.42.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.337.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OvriakhOvriakh 1.17/Rzhevska 4.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
95%
Ovriakh · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Ovriakh won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 23 · 07:30A. Ovriakh—1112113A. Rzhevska—31070
WJul 22 · 08:30A. Ovriakh—1212123A. Rzhevska—1010100
WJul 22 · 06:00A. Ovriakh—11711113A. Rzhevska—611681
WJul 7 · 05:00A. Ovriakh—1111113A. Rzhevska—5980
LJul 6 · 09:39A. Ovriakh—691271A. Rzhevska—111110113
WJul 6 · 08:30A. Ovriakh—1411113A. Rzhevska—12480
WJun 25 · 10:00A. Ovriakh—11117113A. Rzhevska—491161
LJun 24 · 08:35A. Ovriakh—911971A. Rzhevska—11711113
WJun 18 · 10:00A. Ovriakh—31111113A. Rzhevska—119791
WMay 30 · 08:35A. Ovriakh—1111113A. Rzhevska—4590
A. Ovriakh10
WAug 13 · 09:30U. Dronova2.005680A. Ovriakh1.731111113WAug 13 · 07:30N. Plokhotniuk1.8010750A. Ovriakh1.911211113WAug 13 · 06:30A. Ovriakh1.25981113113A. Kurtenko3.75111131162LAug 13 · 05:30I. Yevtodii1.83811711113A. Ovriakh1.8311911792WAug 12 · 10:30N. Plokhotniuk1.83971191A. Ovriakh1.8311118113LAug 12 · 09:30A. Ovriakh1.50118951U. Dronova2.5091111113LAug 12 · 08:30A. Ovriakh1.44118681R. Budnyk2.6391111113LAug 12 · 07:00A. Ovriakh1.80101111562I. Yevtodii1.91129311113WAug 12 · 05:00A. Ovriakh1.301111113A. Kurtenko3.407520WJul 23 · 10:03A. Ovriakh1.91119117123N. Plokhotniuk1.80411711102
A. Rzhevska10
WSep 6 · 16:09Y. Mykhailyk2.201011751A. Rzhevska1.6112211113WSep 6 · 15:10O. Melnik6.00111351A. Rzhevska1.1111811113LSep 6 · 13:40A. Rzhevska1.50811481Y. Mykhailyk2.5011211113WSep 6 · 12:10A. Rzhevska1.28911511113O. Kolbasenko3.5011211392WSep 6 · 10:40A. Rzhevska1.051211113A. Plashchynska8.5010560LSep 1 · 10:30A. Rzhevska1.28109100V. Kurtenko3.501211123WSep 1 · 09:00A. Rzhevska1.50119114113Y. Mykhailyk2.5071141192LSep 1 · 07:30A. Rzhevska2.205860S. Yureneva1.611111113WSep 1 · 06:00A. Rzhevska1.061111113A. Plashchynska8.007630LSep 1 · 04:30A. Rzhevska1.738480P. Pashchenko2.001111113
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