Alina Ovriakh vs Nataliia Plokhotniuk 3-2

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women

Setka Cup WomenMatch #12287243

Played Jul 23Finished

Alina Ovriakh

Home

1.91

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

8–2Last 10Won last 2

Final

3 – 2

Set by set

1149111177111210

Nataliia Plokhotniuk

Away

1.80

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Lost last 1

How it is goingAlina Ovriakh above · Nataliia Plokhotniuk below

Set 1 · 11-4

Set 2 · 9-11

Set 3 · 11-7

Set 4 · 7-11

Set 5 · 12-10

Point 93 set 5, 12-10

93 points played in total.

H2H Alina Ovriakh 6–9 Nataliia Plokhotniuk Alina Ovriakh has won 6 of their 15 meetings.

Last 10 · 4–6Same sideHead to head

Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Ovriakh)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Ovriakh form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsOvriakh 1.91 / Plokhotniuk 1.80

Signal prob.54% / 46%

Edge (Ovriakh)+5.5pp

Setka Cup Women · #12287243

Ovriakh1.91

80%won 8 of 10 · last 10

Won last 2

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

Plokhotniuk1.80

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

70%takes the first set · 7 of 10

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeOvriakh4wins

AwayPlokhotniuk6wins

2 of 10 to a deciderPlokhotniuk leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeOvriakh75%3 of 4

AwayPlokhotniuk83.3%5 of 6

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Ovriakh4Plokhotniuk6n = 10Plokhotniuk took 6 of 10

S2Ovriakh6Plokhotniuk4n = 10Ovriakh took 6 of 10

S3Ovriakh4Plokhotniuk6n = 10Plokhotniuk took 6 of 10

S4Ovriakh1Plokhotniuk4n = 5Plokhotniuk took 4 of 5

Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home220%

3–1Four sets, home110%

3–2Decider, home110%

2–3Decider, away110%

1–3Four sets, away220%

0–3Straight, away330%

These 10 meetings

MetricOvriakhPlokhotniukO − PBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match33.135.6−2.5per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricOvriakhPlokhotniukBasisWin rate · lifetime44 / 67 vs 110 / 17865.7%61.8%44 / 67 vs 110 / 178Avg sets wonper match2.42.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.7per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Ovriakh

Ovriakh 1.91/Plokhotniuk 1.80

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

54%

Ovriakh · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–2

Ovriakh won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

WJul 23 · 09:00A. Ovriakh—41111113N. Plokhotniuk—112761

WJul 22 · 09:30A. Ovriakh—121198113N. Plokhotniuk—109111152

LJul 22 · 04:30A. Ovriakh—81110101N. Plokhotniuk—11912123

WJul 7 · 07:30A. Ovriakh—1111123N. Plokhotniuk—48100

LJul 6 · 07:00A. Ovriakh—13750N. Plokhotniuk—1511113

LJun 25 · 08:30A. Ovriakh—9980N. Plokhotniuk—1111113

LJun 24 · 10:35A. Ovriakh—4101151N. Plokhotniuk—11128113

LJun 18 · 11:30A. Ovriakh—11128472N. Plokhotniuk—6101111113

WJun 17 · 05:35A. Ovriakh—1111113N. Plokhotniuk—9690

LMay 30 · 09:35A. Ovriakh—6440N. Plokhotniuk—1111113

A. Ovriakh10

WAug 13 · 11:30A. Ovriakh1.171111113A. Rzhevska4.509970 WAug 13 · 09:30U. Dronova2.005680A. Ovriakh1.731111113 WAug 13 · 07:30N. Plokhotniuk1.8010750A. Ovriakh1.911211113 WAug 13 · 06:30A. Ovriakh1.25981113113A. Kurtenko3.75111131162 LAug 13 · 05:30I. Yevtodii1.83811711113A. Ovriakh1.8311911792 WAug 12 · 10:30N. Plokhotniuk1.83971191A. Ovriakh1.8311118113 LAug 12 · 09:30A. Ovriakh1.50118951U. Dronova2.5091111113 LAug 12 · 08:30A. Ovriakh1.44118681R. Budnyk2.6391111113 LAug 12 · 07:00A. Ovriakh1.80101111562I. Yevtodii1.91129311113 WAug 12 · 05:00A. Ovriakh1.301111113A. Kurtenko3.407520

N. Plokhotniuk10

WAug 13 · 10:30N. Plokhotniuk1.501111113U. Dronova2.508720 LAug 13 · 09:00N. Plokhotniuk2.50611381I. Yevtodii1.5011511113 LAug 13 · 07:30N. Plokhotniuk1.8010750A. Ovriakh1.911211113 WAug 13 · 06:00N. Plokhotniuk1.2061112113A. Rzhevska4.331131081 LAug 13 · 04:30N. Plokhotniuk1.2858110A. Kurtenko3.501111133 LAug 12 · 10:30N. Plokhotniuk1.83971191A. Ovriakh1.8311118113 LAug 12 · 09:00N. Plokhotniuk2.3858100I. Yevtodii1.531111123 WAug 12 · 07:30N. Plokhotniuk1.44911813113U. Dronova2.63115111162 WAug 12 · 06:00N. Plokhotniuk1.25119127113A. Kurtenko3.75611101182 LAug 12 · 04:30N. Plokhotniuk1.251211891R. Budnyk3.7514911113

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