TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12384645
Played Aug 9Finished
Maksym Khomenko
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1113411711––––
Volodymyr Ivasiv
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:06 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Ivasiv to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMaksym Khomenko above · Volodymyr Ivasiv below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 57 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Volodymyr Ivasiv at 54.0%
57 points played in total.
H2H Maksym Khomenko 80–69 Volodymyr Ivasiv Volodymyr Ivasiv has won 69 of their 149 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:06What took a side0 for · 5 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Khomenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
80-69 in 149
Khomenko
Wrong
gap of 11 in 149, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Khomenko 1526 vs Ivasiv 1510
Khomenko
Wrong
both rated, 16 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Khomenko 60% vs Ivasiv 40%
Khomenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Khomenko 50% vs Ivasiv 30%
Khomenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Khomenko +1 · Ivasiv -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Khomenko) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ivasiv form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKhomenko 1.80 / Ivasiv 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Khomenko)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #12384645
Khomenko1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite59% won 77 of 131
Up 2–0, closes it100% 39 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it82% 51 of 62
Ivasiv1.91
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog43% won 102 of 240
Down 0–1, comes back23% 28 of 121
Down 0–2, comes back6% 4 of 70
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKhomenko6wins
AwayIvasiv4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKhomenko leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKhomenko80%4 of 5
AwayIvasiv60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Khomenko5Ivasiv5n = 10split evenly
S2Khomenko5Ivasiv5n = 10split evenly
S3Khomenko6Ivasiv4n = 10Khomenko took 6 of 10
S4Khomenko5Ivasiv2n = 7Khomenko took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKhomenkoIvasivK − IBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.533.3+4.2per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKhomenkoIvasivBasisWin rate · lifetime513 / 900 vs 554 / 115557%48%513 / 900 vs 554 / 1155Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.937.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KhomenkoKhomenko 1.80/Ivasiv 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Khomenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Ivasiv won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 9 · 02:00M. Khomenko—81111113V. Ivasiv—117861
LAug 2 · 18:05M. Khomenko—1011761V. Ivasiv—12411113
LAug 2 · 24:00M. Khomenko—710111172V. Ivasiv—111264113
LJul 26 · 24:00M. Khomenko—1169101V. Ivasiv—41111123
LJul 19 · 24:00M. Khomenko—81320V. Ivasiv—1115113
WJul 12 · 18:05M. Khomenko—1111113V. Ivasiv—9350
WJul 12 · 02:00M. Khomenko—1311113V. Ivasiv—11630
WJul 5 · 18:05M. Khomenko—111011113V. Ivasiv—612991
WJun 29 · 07:05M. Khomenko—81111113V. Ivasiv—118541
WJun 28 · 18:05M. Khomenko—114511123V. Ivasiv—511116102
M. Khomenko10
WSep 7 · 09:44M. Khomenko1.281111113Y. Kolos3.505630LSep 7 · 08:05D. Shchegelskyi1.571381111113M. Khomenko2.2515115982LSep 7 · 07:05M. Khomenko2.389670Y. Vorsuliak1.531111113WSep 7 · 06:05Y. Kolos3.258540M. Khomenko1.331111113WSep 7 · 05:05M. Khomenko1.831111113O. Rodin1.833880WSep 6 · 18:05I. Hrekh1.4415730M. Khomenko2.631711113WSep 6 · 17:05M. Khomenko2.101113113O. Rodin1.6761140WSep 6 · 16:05M. Khomenko1.80111143M. Loboda1.914210WSep 6 · 14:35M. Khomenko2.10911711113D. Shchegelskyi1.6711611542LSep 6 · 12:35M. Khomenko2.25119921Y. Vorsuliak1.5791111113
V. Ivasiv10
WAug 10 · 11:05V. Kovalchuk2.63521211V. Ivasiv1.44111110113WAug 10 · 10:05O. Rodin1.674890V. Ivasiv2.101111113WAug 10 · 08:35M. Khomenko1.919811101V. Ivasiv1.8011116123WAug 10 · 06:35Y. Kolos1.441169101V. Ivasiv2.6371111123LAug 10 · 04:35O. Alieksieev1.571111113V. Ivasiv2.258650LAug 9 · 19:05O. Alieksieev1.67111111113V. Ivasiv2.10913621LAug 9 · 17:35V. Ivasiv2.00116131072O. Rodin1.73511111293WAug 9 · 15:35V. Kovalchuk2.5010460V. Ivasiv1.501211113WAug 9 · 13:35R. Novak1.734540V. Ivasiv2.001111113LAug 9 · 02:00V. Ivasiv1.83117861M. Khomenko1.8381111113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.