TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12392286
Played Aug 10Finished
Yurii Kolos
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1176119111012––
Volodymyr Ivasiv
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:17 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeYurii Kolos to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingYurii Kolos above · Volodymyr Ivasiv below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 77 set 4, 10-12 — our read held Yurii Kolos at 57.7%
77 points played in total.
H2H Yurii Kolos 13–5 Volodymyr Ivasiv Volodymyr Ivasiv has won 5 of their 18 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:17What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Kolos
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-5 in 18
Kolos
Wrong
gap of 8 in 18, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolos 1546 vs Ivasiv 1579
Ivasiv
Correct
both rated, 32 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolos 60% vs Ivasiv 40%
Kolos
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolos 40% vs Ivasiv 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolos +1 · Ivasiv -3
Ivasiv
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Kolos) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolos 1.44 / Ivasiv 2.63
Signal prob.62% / 39%
Edge (Kolos)-3.0pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #12392286
Kolos1.44
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 22 of 38
Up 2–0, closes it91% 10 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it77% 17 of 22
Ivasiv2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog43% won 106 of 247
Down 0–1, comes back23% 29 of 124
Down 0–2, comes back6% 4 of 71
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKolos8wins
AwayIvasiv2wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKolos leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolos75%6 of 8
AwayIvasivn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolos8Ivasiv2n = 10Kolos took 8 of 10
S2Kolos4Ivasiv6n = 10Ivasiv took 6 of 10
S3Kolos7Ivasiv3n = 10Kolos took 7 of 10
S4Kolos5Ivasiv4n = 9Kolos took 5 of 9
S5Kolos3Ivasiv1n = 4Kolos took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKolosIvasivK − IBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match43.838.1+5.7per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolosIvasivBasisWin rate · lifetime45 / 93 vs 553 / 115048.4%48.1%45 / 93 vs 553 / 1150Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.337.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolosKolos 1.44/Ivasiv 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.5%
Kolos · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Ivasiv won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 10 · 06:35Y. Kolos—1169101V. Ivasiv—71111123
WAug 2 · 13:35Y. Kolos—512118113V. Ivasiv—111091142
LJul 27 · 10:05Y. Kolos—116111072V. Ivasiv—511712113
WJul 26 · 18:05Y. Kolos—111118113V. Ivasiv—8131691
WJul 19 · 15:05Y. Kolos—111211113V. Ivasiv—714991
WJun 21 · 12:05Y. Kolos—1111113V. Ivasiv—4870
WJun 14 · 14:05Y. Kolos—11117113V. Ivasiv—841171
WJun 8 · 06:05Y. Kolos—841111113V. Ivasiv—11115652
WMar 9 · 05:35Y. Kolos—1111108113V. Ivasiv—68121192
WMar 8 · 13:05Y. Kolos—111211113V. Ivasiv—214961
Y. Kolos10
LSep 7 · 09:44M. Khomenko1.281111113Y. Kolos3.505630LSep 7 · 09:05D. Shchegelskyi1.8312311153Y. Kolos1.8310118131WSep 7 · 07:35Y. Kolos1.911111127113O. Rodin1.8087141172LSep 7 · 06:05Y. Kolos3.258540M. Khomenko1.331111113LSep 7 · 04:35Y. Kolos2.1091113842Y. Vorsuliak1.671191111113LAug 30 · 19:05Y. Kolos1.22871171Y. Parahailo4.0011118113LAug 30 · 17:05M. Khomenko1.401111113Y. Kolos2.751680WAug 30 · 15:05Y. Vorsuliak1.539890Y. Kolos2.381111113WAug 30 · 14:05Y. Kolos2.00118115113O. Rodin1.7371131162WAug 30 · 13:05D. Shchegelskyi1.6189150Y. Kolos2.201111173
V. Ivasiv10
WAug 10 · 11:05V. Kovalchuk2.63521211V. Ivasiv1.44111110113WAug 10 · 10:05O. Rodin1.674890V. Ivasiv2.101111113WAug 10 · 08:35M. Khomenko1.919811101V. Ivasiv1.8011116123LAug 10 · 04:35O. Alieksieev1.571111113V. Ivasiv2.258650LAug 9 · 19:05O. Alieksieev1.67111111113V. Ivasiv2.10913621LAug 9 · 17:35V. Ivasiv2.00116131072O. Rodin1.73511111293WAug 9 · 15:35V. Kovalchuk2.5010460V. Ivasiv1.501211113WAug 9 · 13:35R. Novak1.734540V. Ivasiv2.001111113WAug 9 · 12:35M. Khomenko1.8011470V. Ivasiv1.911311113LAug 9 · 02:00V. Ivasiv1.83117861M. Khomenko1.8381111113
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