TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12384733
Played Aug 9Finished
Volodymyr Ivasiv
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1156111311101279
Oleksii Rodin
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:15 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeOleksii Rodin to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVolodymyr Ivasiv above · Oleksii Rodin below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 7-9
Point 95 set 5, 7-9 — our read held Oleksii Rodin at 57.7%
95 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Ivasiv 2–1 Oleksii Rodin Oleksii Rodin has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:15What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Rodin
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ivasiv 1555 vs Rodin 1601
Rodin
Correct
both rated, 45 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ivasiv 60% vs Rodin 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ivasiv 60% vs Rodin 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Ivasiv +3 · Rodin -1
Ivasiv
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Rodin) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsIvasiv 2.00 / Rodin 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Rodin)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #12384733
Ivasiv2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog43% won 102 of 240
Down 0–1, comes back23% 28 of 121
Down 0–2, comes back6% 4 of 70
Rodin1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite66% won 124 of 188
Up 2–0, closes it97% 59 of 61
Up 1–0, closes it81% 84 of 104
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeIvasiv2wins
AwayRodin1wins
1 of 3 to a deciderIvasiv leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ivasiv1Rodin2n = 3Rodin took 2 of 3
S2Ivasiv1Rodin2n = 3Rodin took 2 of 3
S3Ivasiv2Rodin1n = 3Ivasiv took 2 of 3
S4Ivasiv2Rodin1n = 3Ivasiv took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricIvasivRodinI − RBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match41.741.3+0.4per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricIvasivRodinBasisWin rate · lifetime557 / 1158 vs 143 / 22448.1%63.8%557 / 1158 vs 143 / 224Avg sets wonper match1.92.3per matchAvg pointsper match37.138.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RodinIvasiv 2.00/Rodin 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Rodin · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Rodin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LAug 3 · 04:35V. Ivasiv—1171781O. Rodin—131115113
WAug 2 · 12:05V. Ivasiv—111611113O. Rodin—11911372
WAug 2 · 01:30V. Ivasiv—11911113O. Rodin—711691
V. Ivasiv10
WAug 10 · 11:05V. Kovalchuk2.63521211V. Ivasiv1.44111110113WAug 10 · 10:05O. Rodin1.674890V. Ivasiv2.101111113WAug 10 · 08:35M. Khomenko1.919811101V. Ivasiv1.8011116123WAug 10 · 06:35Y. Kolos1.441169101V. Ivasiv2.6371111123LAug 10 · 04:35O. Alieksieev1.571111113V. Ivasiv2.258650LAug 9 · 19:05O. Alieksieev1.67111111113V. Ivasiv2.10913621WAug 9 · 15:35V. Kovalchuk2.5010460V. Ivasiv1.501211113WAug 9 · 13:35R. Novak1.734540V. Ivasiv2.001111113WAug 9 · 12:35M. Khomenko1.8011470V. Ivasiv1.911311113LAug 9 · 02:00V. Ivasiv1.83117861M. Khomenko1.8381111113
O. Rodin10
WSep 7 · 08:35O. Rodin2.0011114133Y. Vorsuliak1.737611111LSep 7 · 07:35Y. Kolos1.911111127113O. Rodin1.8087141172LSep 7 · 06:35D. Shchegelskyi1.73117112153O. Rodin2.00811911132LSep 7 · 05:05M. Khomenko1.831111113O. Rodin1.833880LSep 6 · 19:05O. Rodin1.839560Y. Vorsuliak1.831111103LSep 6 · 17:05M. Khomenko2.101113113O. Rodin1.6761140LSep 6 · 15:05I. Hrekh1.611111113O. Rodin2.206340WSep 6 · 14:05O. Rodin2.38111111113M. Loboda1.53138571WSep 6 · 13:05D. Shchegelskyi1.73631181O. Rodin2.001111793LAug 10 · 10:05O. Rodin1.674890V. Ivasiv2.101111113
Upcoming Matches
V. Ivasiv
Nothing scheduled
O. Rodin
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