TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12378777
Played Aug 9Finished
Volodymyr Ivasiv
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
118711811611––
Maksym Khomenko
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:36 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Ivasiv to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVolodymyr Ivasiv above · Maksym Khomenko below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 73 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Volodymyr Ivasiv at 54.0%
73 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Ivasiv 69–79 Maksym Khomenko Volodymyr Ivasiv has won 69 of their 148 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:36What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Khomenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
69-79 in 148
Khomenko
Correct
gap of 10 in 148, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ivasiv 1522 vs Khomenko 1513
Ivasiv
Wrong
both rated, 9 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ivasiv 40% vs Khomenko 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ivasiv 40% vs Khomenko 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Ivasiv -1 · Khomenko -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Ivasiv)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Khomenko form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsIvasiv 1.83 / Khomenko 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Ivasiv)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #12378777
Ivasiv1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Khomenko1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeIvasiv4wins
AwayKhomenko6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKhomenko leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeIvasiv60%3 of 5
AwayKhomenko80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ivasiv5Khomenko5n = 10split evenly
S2Ivasiv5Khomenko5n = 10split evenly
S3Ivasiv4Khomenko6n = 10Khomenko took 6 of 10
S4Ivasiv3Khomenko4n = 7Khomenko took 4 of 7
S5Ivasiv1Khomenko2n = 3Khomenko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricIvasivKhomenkoI − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match34.338.2−3.9per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricIvasivKhomenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime554 / 1154 vs 512 / 89948%57%554 / 1154 vs 512 / 899Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.136.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
IvasivIvasiv 1.83/Khomenko 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Ivasiv · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Khomenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 2 · 18:05V. Ivasiv—12411113M. Khomenko—1011761
WAug 2 · 24:00V. Ivasiv—111264113M. Khomenko—710111172
WJul 26 · 24:00V. Ivasiv—41111123M. Khomenko—1169101
WJul 19 · 24:00V. Ivasiv—1115113M. Khomenko—81320
LJul 12 · 18:05V. Ivasiv—9350M. Khomenko—1111113
LJul 12 · 02:00V. Ivasiv—11630M. Khomenko—1311113
LJul 5 · 18:05V. Ivasiv—612991M. Khomenko—111011113
LJun 29 · 07:05V. Ivasiv—118541M. Khomenko—81111113
LJun 28 · 18:05V. Ivasiv—511116102M. Khomenko—114511123
LJun 28 · 24:00V. Ivasiv—11571182M. Khomenko—711118113
V. Ivasiv10
WAug 10 · 11:05V. Kovalchuk2.63521211V. Ivasiv1.44111110113WAug 10 · 10:05O. Rodin1.674890V. Ivasiv2.101111113WAug 10 · 08:35M. Khomenko1.919811101V. Ivasiv1.8011116123WAug 10 · 06:35Y. Kolos1.441169101V. Ivasiv2.6371111123LAug 10 · 04:35O. Alieksieev1.571111113V. Ivasiv2.258650LAug 9 · 19:05O. Alieksieev1.67111111113V. Ivasiv2.10913621LAug 9 · 17:35V. Ivasiv2.00116131072O. Rodin1.73511111293WAug 9 · 15:35V. Kovalchuk2.5010460V. Ivasiv1.501211113WAug 9 · 13:35R. Novak1.734540V. Ivasiv2.001111113WAug 9 · 12:35M. Khomenko1.8011470V. Ivasiv1.911311113
M. Khomenko10
WSep 7 · 09:44M. Khomenko1.281111113Y. Kolos3.505630LSep 7 · 08:05D. Shchegelskyi1.571381111113M. Khomenko2.2515115982LSep 7 · 07:05M. Khomenko2.389670Y. Vorsuliak1.531111113WSep 7 · 06:05Y. Kolos3.258540M. Khomenko1.331111113WSep 7 · 05:05M. Khomenko1.831111113O. Rodin1.833880WSep 6 · 18:05I. Hrekh1.4415730M. Khomenko2.631711113WSep 6 · 17:05M. Khomenko2.101113113O. Rodin1.6761140WSep 6 · 16:05M. Khomenko1.80111143M. Loboda1.914210LAug 10 · 08:35M. Khomenko1.919811101V. Ivasiv1.8011116123LAug 9 · 12:35M. Khomenko1.8011470V. Ivasiv1.911311113
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