TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12392397
Played Aug 10Finished
Oleksii Rodin
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
411811911––––
Volodymyr Ivasiv
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:11 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleksii Rodin to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleksii Rodin above · Volodymyr Ivasiv below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 54 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Oleksii Rodin at 54.0%
54 points played in total.
H2H Oleksii Rodin 3–3 Volodymyr Ivasiv Dead even across their 6 meetings.
Last 6 · 3–3Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:11What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Rodin
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-3 in 6
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rodin 1593 vs Ivasiv 1551
Rodin
Wrong
both rated, 42 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rodin 40% vs Ivasiv 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rodin 50% vs Ivasiv 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Rodin -3 · Ivasiv +2
Rodin
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Rodin) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rodin form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRodin 1.67 / Ivasiv 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Rodin)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #12392397
Rodin1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite66% won 127 of 192
Up 2–0, closes it97% 61 of 63
Up 1–0, closes it81% 86 of 106
Ivasiv2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog43% won 104 of 244
Down 0–1, comes back23% 28 of 122
Down 0–2, comes back6% 4 of 70
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeRodin3wins
AwayIvasiv3wins
2 of 6 to a deciderLevel at 3–3, and 2 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRodin66.7%2 of 3
AwayIvasiv66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rodin3Ivasiv3n = 6split evenly
S2Rodin3Ivasiv3n = 6split evenly
S3Rodin3Ivasiv3n = 6split evenly
S4Rodin3Ivasiv3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home233%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away233%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricRodinIvasivR − IBasisWins330in 6 meetingsFirst set330of 6Avg pointsper match41.840.7+1.1per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRodinIvasivBasisWin rate · lifetime145 / 229 vs 555 / 115863.3%47.9%145 / 229 vs 555 / 1158Avg sets wonper match2.31.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.437.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RodinRodin 1.67/Ivasiv 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.8%
Rodin · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Ivasiv won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WAug 9 · 17:35O. Rodin—511111293V. Ivasiv—116131072
LAug 8 · 20:00O. Rodin—10811111V. Ivasiv—12119133
WAug 3 · 10:03O. Rodin—11611113V. Ivasiv—211861
WAug 3 · 04:35O. Rodin—131115113V. Ivasiv—1171781
LAug 2 · 12:05O. Rodin—11911372V. Ivasiv—111611113
LAug 2 · 01:30O. Rodin—711691V. Ivasiv—11911113
O. Rodin10
WSep 7 · 08:35O. Rodin2.0011114133Y. Vorsuliak1.737611111LSep 7 · 07:35Y. Kolos1.911111127113O. Rodin1.8087141172LSep 7 · 06:35D. Shchegelskyi1.73117112153O. Rodin2.00811911132LSep 7 · 05:05M. Khomenko1.831111113O. Rodin1.833880LSep 6 · 19:05O. Rodin1.839560Y. Vorsuliak1.831111103LSep 6 · 17:05M. Khomenko2.101113113O. Rodin1.6761140LSep 6 · 15:05I. Hrekh1.611111113O. Rodin2.206340WSep 6 · 14:05O. Rodin2.38111111113M. Loboda1.53138571WSep 6 · 13:05D. Shchegelskyi1.73631181O. Rodin2.001111793WSep 3 · 19:05O. Rodin2.1011116113A. Romanenko1.67661161
V. Ivasiv10
WAug 10 · 11:05V. Kovalchuk2.63521211V. Ivasiv1.44111110113WAug 10 · 08:35M. Khomenko1.919811101V. Ivasiv1.8011116123WAug 10 · 06:35Y. Kolos1.441169101V. Ivasiv2.6371111123LAug 10 · 04:35O. Alieksieev1.571111113V. Ivasiv2.258650LAug 9 · 19:05O. Alieksieev1.67111111113V. Ivasiv2.10913621LAug 9 · 17:35V. Ivasiv2.00116131072O. Rodin1.73511111293WAug 9 · 15:35V. Kovalchuk2.5010460V. Ivasiv1.501211113WAug 9 · 13:35R. Novak1.734540V. Ivasiv2.001111113WAug 9 · 12:35M. Khomenko1.8011470V. Ivasiv1.911311113LAug 9 · 02:00V. Ivasiv1.83117861M. Khomenko1.8381111113
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