TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #12380714
Played Aug 8Finished
Grzegorz Poliniewicz
Home
3.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611911510––––
Konrad Kulpa
Away
1.36
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:06 and never touched — 57.5% is still 57.5%
Graded at full timeGrzegorz Poliniewicz to win
57.5%
57.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingGrzegorz Poliniewicz above · Konrad Kulpa below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 5-10
Point 52 set 3, 5-10 — our read held Grzegorz Poliniewicz at 57.5%
52 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 03:06What took a side0 for · 2 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Kulpa
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Poliniewicz 1725 vs Kulpa 1893
Kulpa
Correct
both rated, 167 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Poliniewicz 40% vs Kulpa 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Poliniewicz 40% vs Kulpa 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Poliniewicz -1 · Kulpa -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 76% — Strong (leans Kulpa) · live re-read · sealed at 43% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kulpa form (40%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPoliniewicz 3.00 / Kulpa 1.36
Signal prob.24% / 76%
Edge (Kulpa)+7.0pp
TT Elite Series · #12380714
Poliniewicz3.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog37% won 140 of 374
Down 0–1, comes back22% 46 of 209
Down 0–2, comes back7% 9 of 123
Kulpa1.36
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite50% won 10 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it80% 8 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricPoliniewiczKulpaBasisWin rate · lifetime1253 / 2120 vs 42 / 6859.1%61.8%1253 / 2120 vs 42 / 68Avg sets wonper match2.22.3per matchAvg pointsper match38.840.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KulpaPoliniewicz 3.00/Kulpa 1.36
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
75.8%
Kulpa · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kulpa won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
G. Poliniewicz10
LSep 7 · 13:00K. Strowski1.6011115113G. Poliniewicz2.15971171WSep 7 · 12:10G. Poliniewicz2.1011138113K. Glazowski1.657111181WSep 7 · 10:30G. Poliniewicz3.1011911123K. Wloczko1.307116101LSep 7 · 09:45K. Wisniewski2.331111313123G. Poliniewicz1.51891115102LSep 7 · 08:30S. Kolasa1.4011115113G. Poliniewicz2.75381141LSep 7 · 06:05M. Jadczyk1.141111510113G. Poliniewicz5.0079111282LSep 7 · 04:55P. David1.081111113G. Poliniewicz7.003690LSep 7 · 03:25J. Kosowski1.281211133G. Poliniewicz3.50107110LSep 6 · 08:05J. Braun1.36111111113G. Poliniewicz3.00139741WSep 6 · 07:20M. Nowalinski1.508138101G. Poliniewicz2.50111111123
K. Kulpa10
WAug 9 · 13:45K. Petas2.63136124102K. Kulpa1.4411111011123LAug 9 · 12:55M. Miastowski4.5011111011133K. Kulpa1.17813128112LAug 9 · 12:05K. Kulpa1.1781181172M. Nowalinski4.50119115113WAug 9 · 10:25K. Kulpa1.20611116113M. Domin4.3311891172WAug 9 · 09:40K. Wisniewski5.50661181K. Kulpa1.1311115113WAug 9 · 08:30K. Petas3.00891291K. Kulpa1.36111110113LAug 9 · 07:20K. Kulpa1.22711811112M. Domin4.00118119133WAug 9 · 06:05M. Jadczyk2.381181171K. Kulpa1.5313118113WAug 9 · 04:55M. Miastowski4.50111170K. Kulpa1.171313113WAug 9 · 03:25M. Nowalinski3.756540K. Kulpa1.251111113
Upcoming Matches
G. Poliniewicz
K. Kulpa
Nothing scheduled
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