TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #12383330
Played Aug 9Finished
Kacper Petas
Home
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
131161112104111012
Konrad Kulpa
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:57 and never touched — 61.8% is still 61.8%
Graded at full timeKonrad Kulpa to win
61.8%
61.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKacper Petas above · Konrad Kulpa below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 4-11
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 100 set 5, 10-12 — our read held Konrad Kulpa at 61.8%
100 points played in total.
H2H Kacper Petas 7–10 Konrad Kulpa Kacper Petas has won 7 of their 17 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:57What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Kulpa
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-10 in 17
Kulpa
Correct
gap of 3 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Petas 1859 vs Kulpa 1901
Kulpa
Correct
both rated, 42 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Petas 40% vs Kulpa 60%
Kulpa
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Petas 60% vs Kulpa 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Petas +1 · Kulpa -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Kulpa) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPetas 2.63 / Kulpa 1.44
Signal prob.35% / 66%
Edge (Kulpa)+1.0pp
TT Elite Series · #12383330
Petas2.63
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog45% won 126 of 279
Down 0–1, comes back19% 27 of 142
Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 75
Kulpa1.44
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite54% won 15 of 28
Up 2–0, closes it100% 6 of 6
Up 1–0, closes it81% 13 of 16
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePetas5wins
AwayKulpa5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePetasn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayKulpa50%4 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Petas2Kulpa8n = 10Kulpa took 8 of 10
S2Petas4Kulpa6n = 10Kulpa took 6 of 10
S3Petas10Kulpa0n = 10Petas took 10 of 10
S4Petas5Kulpa5n = 10split evenly
S5Petas2Kulpa3n = 5Kulpa took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPetasKulpaP − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match43.944.8−0.9per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPetasKulpaBasisWin rate · lifetime716 / 1369 vs 50 / 7952.3%63.3%716 / 1369 vs 50 / 79Avg sets wonper match2.02.4per matchAvg pointsper match37.841.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KulpaPetas 2.63/Kulpa 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.5%
Kulpa · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kulpa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 9 · 13:45K. Petas—136124102K. Kulpa—11111011123
LAug 9 · 08:30K. Petas—891291K. Kulpa—111110113
WAug 8 · 09:00K. Petas—1112118113K. Kulpa—71491162
WAug 8 · 06:30K. Petas—61311113K. Kulpa—1111981
LJul 20 · 10:45K. Petas—791181K. Kulpa—11118113
WJul 19 · 14:05K. Petas—71111113K. Kulpa—118951
LJul 19 · 05:50K. Petas—1112111362K. Kulpa—1314711113
WJun 22 · 15:10K. Petas—111111113K. Kulpa—139751
LJun 22 · 06:15K. Petas—98111452K. Kulpa—1111912113
WJun 21 · 11:10K. Petas—611114113K. Kulpa—11881182
K. Petas10
WSep 1 · 13:45J. Kosowski1.731145111K. Petas2.0071111133WSep 1 · 12:55P. Cyrnek1.61811571K. Petas2.2011511113WSep 1 · 12:05K. Petas1.50119116113K. Strowski2.5091161142LSep 1 · 10:25K. Petas1.50101110111K. Glazowski2.5012412133WSep 1 · 09:40K. Kolodziej1.671151271K. Petas2.10131110113LSep 1 · 08:30J. Kosowski1.7311611113K. Petas2.00911881WSep 1 · 07:20K. Petas1.501110118113J. Kuzmicz2.5081271162LSep 1 · 06:05M. Jadczyk1.61118911113K. Petas2.2081111342LSep 1 · 04:55P. Cyrnek1.5711124113K. Petas2.258101191WSep 1 · 03:25D. Prokopcov3.0061170K. Petas1.361113113
K. Kulpa10
LAug 9 · 12:55M. Miastowski4.5011111011133K. Kulpa1.17813128112LAug 9 · 12:05K. Kulpa1.1781181172M. Nowalinski4.50119115113WAug 9 · 10:25K. Kulpa1.20611116113M. Domin4.3311891172WAug 9 · 09:40K. Wisniewski5.50661181K. Kulpa1.1311115113WAug 9 · 08:30K. Petas3.00891291K. Kulpa1.36111110113LAug 9 · 07:20K. Kulpa1.22711811112M. Domin4.00118119133WAug 9 · 06:05M. Jadczyk2.381181171K. Kulpa1.5313118113WAug 9 · 04:55M. Miastowski4.50111170K. Kulpa1.171313113WAug 9 · 03:25M. Nowalinski3.756540K. Kulpa1.251111113WAug 8 · 14:10G. Poliniewicz3.006950K. Kulpa1.361111103
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