TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #12383344
Played Aug 9Finished
Konrad Kulpa
Home
1.22
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
7111188111191113
Maciej Domin
Away
4.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:54 and never touched — 83.6% is still 83.6%
Graded at full timeKonrad Kulpa to win
83.6%
83.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingKonrad Kulpa above · Maciej Domin below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 11-13
Point 100 set 5, 11-13 — our read held Konrad Kulpa at 83.6%
100 points played in total.
H2H Konrad Kulpa 3–1 Maciej Domin Maciej Domin has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:54What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.22 (77%)
Kulpa
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-1 in 4
Kulpa
Wrong
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kulpa 1901 vs Domin 1887
Kulpa
Wrong
both rated, 14 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kulpa 80% vs Domin 40%
Kulpa
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kulpa 60% vs Domin 30%
Kulpa
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kulpa +4 · Domin +1
Kulpa
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 84% — Strong (leans Kulpa)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Domin form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (25%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKulpa 1.22 / Domin 4.00
Signal prob.84% / 16%
Edge (Kulpa)+7.0pp
TT Elite Series · #12383344
Kulpa1.22
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite57% won 21 of 37
Up 2–0, closes it100% 10 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it85% 17 of 20
Domin4.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog44% won 69 of 157
Down 0–1, comes back26% 22 of 85
Down 0–2, comes back9% 4 of 43
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeKulpa3wins
AwayDomin1wins
3 of 4 to a deciderKulpa leads 3–1, and 3 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kulpa2Domin2n = 4split evenly
S2Kulpa2Domin2n = 4split evenly
S3Kulpa2Domin2n = 4split evenly
S4Kulpa3Domin1n = 4Kulpa took 3 of 4
S5Kulpa2Domin1n = 3Kulpa took 2 of 3
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home250%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricKulpaDominK − DBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match46.845.2+1.6per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKulpaDominBasisWin rate · lifetime50 / 79 vs 517 / 98163.3%52.7%50 / 79 vs 517 / 981Avg sets wonper match2.42.1per matchAvg pointsper match41.038.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KulpaKulpa 1.22/Domin 4.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
83.6%
Kulpa · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Domin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WAug 9 · 10:25K. Kulpa—611116113M. Domin—11891172
LAug 9 · 07:20K. Kulpa—711811112M. Domin—118119133
WAug 8 · 10:25K. Kulpa—111112113M. Domin—6131071
WAug 8 · 03:25K. Kulpa—119711113M. Domin—91111972
K. Kulpa10
WAug 9 · 13:45K. Petas2.63136124102K. Kulpa1.4411111011123LAug 9 · 12:55M. Miastowski4.5011111011133K. Kulpa1.17813128112LAug 9 · 12:05K. Kulpa1.1781181172M. Nowalinski4.50119115113WAug 9 · 10:25K. Kulpa1.20611116113M. Domin4.3311891172WAug 9 · 09:40K. Wisniewski5.50661181K. Kulpa1.1311115113WAug 9 · 08:30K. Petas3.00891291K. Kulpa1.36111110113WAug 9 · 06:05M. Jadczyk2.381181171K. Kulpa1.5313118113WAug 9 · 04:55M. Miastowski4.50111170K. Kulpa1.171313113WAug 9 · 03:25M. Nowalinski3.756540K. Kulpa1.251111113WAug 8 · 14:10G. Poliniewicz3.006950K. Kulpa1.361111103
M. Domin10
WSep 6 · 14:10S. Sporek1.8011911181M. Domin1.9171113203WSep 6 · 13:20J. Braun1.404111271M. Domin2.7511514113WSep 6 · 11:15G. Adamiak1.80971191M. Domin1.9111113113LSep 6 · 10:25M. Nowalinski1.5711511113M. Domin2.25911791LSep 6 · 09:00S. Kolasa1.44121169113M. Domin2.63106111162LSep 6 · 07:45M. Domin2.63710100S. Kolasa1.441112123WSep 6 · 06:30M. Domin2.75111113113J. Braun1.405131161LSep 6 · 05:15M. Domin1.5711115192G. Poliniewicz2.25871111113WSep 6 · 04:10S. Sporek2.101178101M. Domin1.6781111123LAug 9 · 10:25K. Kulpa1.20611116113M. Domin4.3311891172
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