TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #12383376
Played Aug 9Finished
Karol Wisniewski
Home
5.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611611115811––
Konrad Kulpa
Away
1.13
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:01 and never touched — 86.4% is still 86.4%
Graded at full timeKonrad Kulpa to win
86.4%
86.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKarol Wisniewski above · Konrad Kulpa below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 69 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Konrad Kulpa at 86.4%
69 points played in total.
H2H Karol Wisniewski 0–2 Konrad Kulpa Karol Wisniewski has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 16:01What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.13 (83%)
Kulpa
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Wisniewski 1678 vs Kulpa 1922
Kulpa
Correct
both rated, 244 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wisniewski 60% vs Kulpa 80%
Kulpa
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wisniewski 40% vs Kulpa 60%
Kulpa
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Wisniewski -1 · Kulpa +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 90% — Strong (leans Kulpa) · live re-read · sealed at 86% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wisniewski form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (18%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWisniewski 5.50 / Kulpa 1.13
Signal prob.10% / 90%
Edge (Kulpa)+7.0pp
TT Elite Series · #12383376
Wisniewski5.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 273 of 695
Down 0–1, comes back20% 84 of 429
Down 0–2, comes back4% 11 of 248
Kulpa1.13
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite54% won 15 of 28
Up 2–0, closes it100% 6 of 6
Up 1–0, closes it81% 13 of 16
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeWisniewski0wins
AwayKulpa2wins
Kulpa leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricWisniewskiKulpaW − KBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match29.037.5−8.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWisniewskiKulpaBasisWin rate · lifetime1039 / 2267 vs 47 / 7445.8%63.5%1039 / 2267 vs 47 / 74Avg sets wonper match1.92.3per matchAvg pointsper match36.540.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KulpaWisniewski 5.50/Kulpa 1.13
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
90%
Kulpa · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kulpa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LApr 27 · 10:00K. Wisniewski—8980K. Kulpa—1111113
LApr 27 · 07:40K. Wisniewski—691171K. Kulpa—11119113
K. Wisniewski10
LSep 7 · 12:35M. Sklensky1.35711911113K. Wisniewski2.9511211432LSep 7 · 11:45K. Strowski1.471113123K. Wisniewski2.45911100LSep 7 · 10:55K. Wisniewski2.759811101K. Glazowski1.4011118123WSep 7 · 09:45K. Wisniewski2.331111313123G. Poliniewicz1.51891115102LSep 7 · 08:30M. Sklensky1.3711118113K. Wisniewski2.80761171LSep 7 · 07:15K. Wisniewski1.6881191132D. Solilo2.05113115113LSep 7 · 06:00A. Sobel2.60121111113K. Wisniewski1.42149591LSep 7 · 04:50M. Minda2.80101113153K. Wisniewski1.3712811131WSep 7 · 03:20J. Zochniak2.95881141K. Wisniewski1.3311116113LSep 4 · 14:15K. Wloczko1.411011116113K. Wisniewski2.6012781192
K. Kulpa10
WAug 9 · 13:45K. Petas2.63136124102K. Kulpa1.4411111011123LAug 9 · 12:55M. Miastowski4.5011111011133K. Kulpa1.17813128112LAug 9 · 12:05K. Kulpa1.1781181172M. Nowalinski4.50119115113WAug 9 · 10:25K. Kulpa1.20611116113M. Domin4.3311891172WAug 9 · 08:30K. Petas3.00891291K. Kulpa1.36111110113LAug 9 · 07:20K. Kulpa1.22711811112M. Domin4.00118119133WAug 9 · 06:05M. Jadczyk2.381181171K. Kulpa1.5313118113WAug 9 · 04:55M. Miastowski4.50111170K. Kulpa1.171313113WAug 9 · 03:25M. Nowalinski3.756540K. Kulpa1.251111113WAug 8 · 14:10G. Poliniewicz3.006950K. Kulpa1.361111103
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