TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12338888
Played Jul 31Finished
Matej Holub
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
911411117119611
Martin Jirasek
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:37 and never touched — 62.5% is still 62.5%
Graded at full timeMatej Holub to win
62.5%
62.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMatej Holub above · Martin Jirasek below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 90 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Matej Holub at 62.5%
90 points played in total.
H2H Matej Holub 2–0 Martin Jirasek Martin Jirasek has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:37What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Holub
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Holub 1501 vs Jirasek 1543
Jirasek
Correct
both rated, 42 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Holub 40% vs Jirasek 80%
Jirasek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Holub 50% vs Jirasek 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Holub +1 · Jirasek +4
Jirasek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Holub)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jirasek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHolub 1.50 / Jirasek 2.50
Signal prob.63% / 38%
Edge (Holub)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #12338888
Holub1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite64% won 25 of 39
Up 2–0, closes it92% 12 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it77% 17 of 22
Jirasek2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog38% won 33 of 86
Down 0–1, comes back18% 8 of 45
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 31
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeHolub2wins
AwayJirasek0wins
Holub leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home2
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricHolubJirasekH − JBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match35.022.0+13.0per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHolubJirasekBasisWin rate · lifetime76 / 136 vs 141 / 28255.9%50%76 / 136 vs 141 / 282Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HolubHolub 1.50/Jirasek 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.5%
Holub · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Jirasek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WJul 27 · 14:05M. Holub—1111113M. Jirasek—7590
WMay 1 · 16:05M. Holub—1411123M. Jirasek—121100
M. Holub10
LSep 10 · 17:40M. Holub2.256411101J. Ruzicka1.5711117123WSep 10 · 16:35M. Holub2.381211113M. Mastera1.5310870WSep 10 · 15:05J. Ruzicka1.50118911102M. Holub2.50811119123WSep 10 · 14:35O. Polak1.506111081M. Holub2.5011412113LSep 10 · 13:10M. Holub2.00811111162R. Fitl1.73111398113LSep 10 · 12:05M. Holub1.7341113182J. Ruzicka2.001181111113LSep 10 · 11:05M. Holub1.801011112132R. Vosyka1.91126911153WSep 10 · 10:05M. Holub2.00111198113R. Fitl1.7377111172WSep 7 · 13:14R. Vavricka2.1051161162M. Holub1.67118118113WSep 7 · 12:05M. Holub1.839111111113R. Neterda1.8311713482
M. Jirasek10
LAug 1 · 13:40M. Jirasek—11711792J. Lovl—511411113LAug 1 · 12:35R. Fitl1.8311118113M. Jirasek1.83991151WAug 1 · 11:35M. Jirasek2.6311811113D. Hons1.44711851WAug 1 · 10:05J. Lovl1.619190M. Jirasek2.201111113WJul 31 · 17:35M. Jirasek1.9111714113M. Holub1.785111241LJul 31 · 16:35M. Jirasek1.919880R. Fitl1.801111113WJul 31 · 14:35P. Chvatal1.309118101M. Jirasek3.4011611123WJul 28 · 21:35M. Jirasek2.2812119123R. Vosyka1.5110811101WJul 28 · 20:35M. Flesar1.809980M. Jirasek1.911111113WJul 28 · 19:35M. Jirasek1.731113163M. Sokol2.00611140
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.