TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12314661
Played Jul 28Finished
Martin Jirasek
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 5
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
11613111614––––
Michal Sokol
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:46 and never touched — 58.8% is still 58.8%
Graded at full timeMartin Jirasek to win
58.8%
58.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Jirasek above · Michal Sokol below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 16-14
Point 71 set 3, 16-14 — our read held Martin Jirasek at 58.8%
71 points played in total.
H2H Martin Jirasek 4–1 Michal Sokol Michal Sokol has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:46What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Jirasek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-1 in 5
Jirasek
Correct
gap of 3 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jirasek 1466 vs Sokol 1526
Sokol
Wrong
both rated, 60 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jirasek 0% vs Sokol 40%
Sokol
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jirasek 20% vs Sokol 40%
Sokol
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jirasek -5 · Sokol -2
Jirasek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Jirasek) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jirasek form (0%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJirasek 1.73 / Sokol 2.00
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Jirasek)+3.0pp
TT Cup · #12314661
Jirasek1.73
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite66% won 41 of 62
Up 2–0, closes it92% 24 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it81% 33 of 41
Sokol2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog47% won 8 of 17
Down 0–1, comes back36% 4 of 11
Down 0–2, comes back33% 2 of 6
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeJirasek4wins
AwaySokol1wins
1 of 5 to a deciderJirasek leads 4–1, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJirasek75%3 of 4
AwaySokoln = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jirasek4Sokol1n = 5Jirasek took 4 of 5
S2Jirasek5Sokol0n = 5Jirasek took 5 of 5
S3Jirasek1Sokol4n = 5Sokol took 4 of 5
S4Jirasek4Sokol1n = 5Jirasek took 4 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home480%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricJirasekSokolJ − SBasisWins41+3in 5 meetingsFirst set41+3of 5Avg pointsper match42.238.2+4.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJirasekSokolBasisWin rate · lifetime137 / 278 vs 48 / 9049.3%53.3%137 / 278 vs 48 / 90Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JirasekJirasek 1.73/Sokol 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.7%
Jirasek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Jirasek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LJun 1 · 20:35M. Jirasek—11128672M. Sokol—8101111113
WMay 6 · 18:05M. Jirasek—81111123M. Sokol—1178101
WApr 19 · 19:05M. Jirasek—11117113M. Sokol—831181
WMar 31 · 21:35M. Jirasek—11138113M. Sokol—5111191
WMar 31 · 18:35M. Jirasek—11119113M. Sokol—991191
M. Jirasek10
LAug 1 · 13:40M. Jirasek—11711792J. Lovl—511411113LAug 1 · 12:35R. Fitl1.8311118113M. Jirasek1.83991151WAug 1 · 11:35M. Jirasek2.6311811113D. Hons1.44711851WAug 1 · 10:05J. Lovl1.619190M. Jirasek2.201111113WJul 31 · 17:35M. Jirasek1.9111714113M. Holub1.785111241LJul 31 · 16:35M. Jirasek1.919880R. Fitl1.801111113WJul 31 · 15:05M. Holub1.5094111162M. Jirasek2.50111179113WJul 31 · 14:35P. Chvatal1.309118101M. Jirasek3.4011611123WJul 28 · 21:35M. Jirasek2.2812119123R. Vosyka1.5110811101WJul 28 · 20:35M. Flesar1.809980M. Jirasek1.911111113
M. Sokol10
LAug 23 · 21:05M. Sokol—371181M. Flesar—11119113LAug 23 · 20:05M. Sokol1.9173111582L. Vosyka1.801111813113WAug 23 · 19:05M. Sokol1.401111113M. Flesar2.755870LAug 23 · 18:05M. Sokol1.61811921M. Chmelicek2.2011611113LAug 16 · 21:44M. Sokol1.405890M. Chmelicek2.751111113WAug 16 · 20:05M. Sokol2.00871111113L. Vosyka1.7311116482LAug 16 · 19:05M. Sokol1.401191071J. Kabelka2.7571112113WAug 16 · 18:05M. Sokol1.4411117113M. Chmelicek2.63791181LAug 13 · 13:33M. Holub1.671111113M. Sokol2.106640WAug 13 · 12:35M. Sokol1.501111113M. Flesar2.507640
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.