TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12445678
Played Aug 16Finished
Michal Sokol
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511811911––––
Martin Chmelicek
Away
2.75
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingMichal Sokol above · Martin Chmelicek below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 55 set 3, 9-11
55 points played in total.
H2H Michal Sokol 2–0 Martin Chmelicek Martin Chmelicek has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Sokol)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chmelicek form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSokol 1.40 / Chmelicek 2.75
Signal prob.73% / 27%
Edge (Sokol)+7.0pp
TT Cup · #12445678
Sokol1.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite48% won 11 of 23
Up 2–0, closes it100% 5 of 5
Up 1–0, closes it73% 8 of 11
Chmelicek2.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog35% won 46 of 130
Down 0–1, comes back10% 7 of 69
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 45
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeSokol2wins
AwayChmelicek0wins
1 of 2 to a deciderSokol leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricSokolChmelicekS − CBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match47.540.5+7.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSokolChmelicekBasisWin rate · lifetime57 / 108 vs 190 / 41552.8%45.8%57 / 108 vs 190 / 415Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.737.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SokolSokol 1.40/Chmelicek 2.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
73.3%
Sokol · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Chmelicek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WAug 16 · 18:05M. Sokol—11117113M. Chmelicek—791181
WMar 31 · 19:35M. Sokol—7111211143M. Chmelicek—116143122
M. Sokol10
LAug 23 · 21:05M. Sokol—371181M. Flesar—11119113LAug 23 · 20:05M. Sokol1.9173111582L. Vosyka1.801111813113WAug 23 · 19:05M. Sokol1.401111113M. Flesar2.755870LAug 23 · 18:05M. Sokol1.61811921M. Chmelicek2.2011611113WAug 16 · 20:05M. Sokol2.00871111113L. Vosyka1.7311116482LAug 16 · 19:05M. Sokol1.401191071J. Kabelka2.7571112113WAug 16 · 18:05M. Sokol1.4411117113M. Chmelicek2.63791181LAug 13 · 13:33M. Holub1.671111113M. Sokol2.106640WAug 13 · 12:35M. Sokol1.501111113M. Flesar2.507640WAug 13 · 11:05J. Ruzicka1.73111191092M. Sokol2.00751112113
M. Chmelicek10
WSep 9 · 17:35M. Chmelicek1.73111117113P. Pesout2.00891971WSep 9 · 16:05P. Pesout1.619390M. Chmelicek2.201111113WSep 9 · 15:35T. Motacek1.7371151172M. Chmelicek2.00117111113WSep 9 · 14:35M. Chmelicek2.00111011113M. Rojka1.73612591LSep 9 · 13:15J. Lovl1.44891111113M. Chmelicek2.6311117962LSep 9 · 12:35R. Vavricka1.61711911113M. Chmelicek2.2011711592LSep 9 · 11:35M. Chmelicek2.2061111101J. Lovl1.6111913123LSep 9 · 10:05R. Neterda1.731111113M. Chmelicek2.009570WAug 23 · 18:05M. Sokol1.61811921M. Chmelicek2.2011611113LAug 16 · 18:05M. Sokol1.4411117113M. Chmelicek2.63791181
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