TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12443901
Played Aug 16Finished
Michal Sokol
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
811711116114118
Ladislav Vosyka
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:22 and never touched — 56.7% is still 56.7%
Graded at full timeLadislav Vosyka to win
56.7%
56.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMichal Sokol above · Ladislav Vosyka below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-4
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 88 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Ladislav Vosyka at 56.7%
88 points played in total.
H2H Michal Sokol 16–10 Ladislav Vosyka Ladislav Vosyka has won 10 of their 26 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:22What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Vosyka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-10 in 26
Sokol
Correct
gap of 6 in 26, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sokol 1528 vs Vosyka 1450
Sokol
Correct
both rated, 78 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sokol 60% vs Vosyka 40%
Sokol
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sokol 50% vs Vosyka 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sokol -1 · Vosyka -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Vosyka) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vosyka form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSokol 2.00 / Vosyka 1.73
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Vosyka)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #12443901
Sokol2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog39% won 9 of 23
Down 0–1, comes back29% 5 of 17
Down 0–2, comes back25% 3 of 12
Vosyka1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite54% won 62 of 114
Up 2–0, closes it97% 38 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it76% 45 of 59
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSokol6wins
AwayVosyka4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderSokol leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSokoln = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayVosyka50%4 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sokol2Vosyka8n = 10Vosyka took 8 of 10
S2Sokol6Vosyka4n = 10Sokol took 6 of 10
S3Sokol5Vosyka5n = 10split evenly
S4Sokol4Vosyka3n = 7Sokol took 4 of 7
S5Sokol4Vosyka1n = 5Sokol took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSokolVosykaS − VBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match38.839.9−1.1per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSokolVosykaBasisWin rate · lifetime57 / 108 vs 189 / 37352.8%50.7%57 / 108 vs 189 / 373Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.737.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VosykaSokol 2.00/Vosyka 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.2%
Vosyka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Sokol won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 16 · 20:05M. Sokol—871111113L. Vosyka—11116482
WJun 1 · 19:05M. Sokol—111248123L. Vosyka—7101111102
LMay 14 · 18:35M. Sokol—8760L. Vosyka—1111113
LMay 6 · 20:05M. Sokol—71113482L. Vosyka—1161111113
WApr 22 · 21:35M. Sokol—1211123L. Vosyka—107100
WApr 22 · 20:05M. Sokol—71111113L. Vosyka—115581
WApr 19 · 21:55M. Sokol—215811113L. Vosyka—111311482
WApr 19 · 20:05M. Sokol—881611113L. Vosyka—111114682
LApr 15 · 21:05M. Sokol—711861L. Vosyka—11811113
LApr 15 · 20:35M. Sokol—9390L. Vosyka—1111113
M. Sokol10
LAug 23 · 21:05M. Sokol—371181M. Flesar—11119113LAug 23 · 20:05M. Sokol1.9173111582L. Vosyka1.801111813113WAug 23 · 19:05M. Sokol1.401111113M. Flesar2.755870LAug 23 · 18:05M. Sokol1.61811921M. Chmelicek2.2011611113LAug 16 · 21:44M. Sokol1.405890M. Chmelicek2.751111113LAug 16 · 19:05M. Sokol1.401191071J. Kabelka2.7571112113WAug 16 · 18:05M. Sokol1.4411117113M. Chmelicek2.63791181LAug 13 · 13:33M. Holub1.671111113M. Sokol2.106640WAug 13 · 12:35M. Sokol1.501111113M. Flesar2.507640WAug 13 · 11:05J. Ruzicka1.73111191092M. Sokol2.00751112113
L. Vosyka10
WSep 10 · 18:05S. Kafka1.83481191L. Vosyka1.8311119113WSep 8 · 21:33M. Flesar2.0051111942L. Vosyka1.73119411113LSep 8 · 20:35J. Vidourek2.2511411113L. Vosyka1.57411991WSep 8 · 19:35L. Vosyka1.8331111113M. Flesar1.83118691WSep 8 · 18:05R. Neterda1.73811811L. Vosyka2.0011911113LSep 7 · 17:09D. Hons2.201111113L. Vosyka1.618280LSep 7 · 16:35D. Hons2.0081112113L. Vosyka1.731151071LSep 7 · 15:35L. Vosyka2.009650R. Fitl1.731111113LSep 7 · 14:05R. Fnukal1.831111119113L. Vosyka1.8351381162WAug 23 · 20:05M. Sokol1.9173111582L. Vosyka1.801111813113
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